For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
69.968% |
19.027% |
|
88.995% |
|
6.865% |
2.605% |
1.080% |
0.367% |
0.087% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
16.595% |
43.202% |
|
59.797% |
|
21.610% |
10.436% |
5.098% |
2.242% |
0.810% |
0.006% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.068% |
14.072% |
|
21.140% |
|
21.189% |
20.574% |
16.910% |
12.344% |
7.456% |
0.369% |
0.018% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.876% |
10.592% |
|
13.468% |
|
22.218% |
23.493% |
19.118% |
13.646% |
7.699% |
0.343% |
0.015% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.060% |
4.010% |
|
5.070% |
|
10.204% |
15.053% |
19.301% |
23.109% |
25.309% |
1.779% |
0.175% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.141% |
4.841% |
|
5.982% |
|
10.085% |
14.550% |
18.470% |
22.899% |
25.393% |
2.330% |
0.291% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.292% |
4.255% |
|
5.547% |
|
7.811% |
13.236% |
19.793% |
24.359% |
27.774% |
1.376% |
0.104% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
0.028% |
0.146% |
0.602% |
3.214% |
54.437% |
41.127% |
0.435% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.007% |
0.025% |
0.084% |
0.432% |
2.258% |
39.290% |
57.230% |
0.673% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.069% |
1.039% |
98.892% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.078% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.279% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.075% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.569% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.099% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.891% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.223% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.927% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.874% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.626% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
51.153% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.378% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.195% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.559% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.077% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.023% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.632% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.041% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.900% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.858% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – FabChess 1.14.2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.424% |
24.959% |
|
87.383% |
|
8.606% |
2.673% |
0.951% |
0.324% |
0.063% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
29.165% |
50.530% |
|
79.695% |
|
14.766% |
4.041% |
1.131% |
0.299% |
0.067% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.497% |
11.980% |
|
17.477% |
|
26.518% |
21.722% |
15.659% |
11.250% |
6.954% |
0.386% |
0.034% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.380% |
2.251% |
|
2.631% |
|
16.325% |
22.116% |
21.953% |
20.894% |
15.241% |
0.781% |
0.059% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.704% |
2.961% |
|
3.665% |
|
12.491% |
17.223% |
20.110% |
21.681% |
22.865% |
1.806% |
0.159% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.845% |
3.618% |
|
4.463% |
|
11.862% |
16.518% |
19.860% |
21.717% |
22.956% |
2.337% |
0.287% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.985% |
3.701% |
|
4.686% |
|
9.416% |
15.619% |
20.003% |
22.698% |
26.135% |
1.335% |
0.108% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.064% |
0.212% |
0.647% |
3.400% |
54.324% |
40.932% |
0.415% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.024% |
0.121% |
0.490% |
2.318% |
38.966% |
57.384% |
0.687% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.064% |
1.037% |
98.898% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
48.525% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.500% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.567% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.072% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.747% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.346% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.336% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.608% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.302% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
1.224% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
68.025% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.314% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.374% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.916% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.788% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.085% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.392% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.369% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.319% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.255% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – FabChess 1.14.2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
72.253% |
17.289% |
|
89.542% |
|
6.325% |
2.573% |
1.104% |
0.362% |
0.094% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.643% |
42.837% |
|
56.480% |
|
23.884% |
11.310% |
5.301% |
2.277% |
0.734% |
0.013% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.419% |
14.961% |
|
22.380% |
|
19.679% |
20.155% |
16.994% |
12.673% |
7.735% |
0.364% |
0.020% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.880% |
11.107% |
|
13.987% |
|
23.754% |
25.299% |
19.083% |
11.945% |
5.745% |
0.181% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.256% |
4.086% |
|
5.342% |
|
9.764% |
14.318% |
19.149% |
23.809% |
25.630% |
1.816% |
0.172% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.220% |
5.229% |
|
6.449% |
|
9.472% |
13.980% |
18.393% |
23.215% |
25.788% |
2.405% |
0.298% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.329% |
4.491% |
|
5.820% |
|
7.110% |
12.313% |
19.769% |
24.765% |
28.768% |
1.342% |
0.113% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.029% |
0.120% |
0.584% |
3.275% |
54.513% |
41.077% |
0.395% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.023% |
0.087% |
0.370% |
2.231% |
39.291% |
57.326% |
0.667% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.075% |
0.987% |
98.938% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.644% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.613% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.930% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.872% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.372% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.310% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.547% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.209% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.380% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.745% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
48.516% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.985% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.569% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.986% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.451% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.035% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.555% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.196% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.818% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.783% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – FabChess 1.14.2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
72.331% |
17.133% |
|
89.464% |
|
6.228% |
2.709% |
1.095% |
0.390% |
0.114% |
|
|
|
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
11.366% |
34.401% |
|
45.767% |
|
25.537% |
15.665% |
8.200% |
3.558% |
1.256% |
0.017% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
4.882% |
20.776% |
|
25.658% |
|
25.825% |
21.823% |
14.789% |
8.301% |
3.547% |
0.055% |
0.002% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.477% |
13.860% |
|
21.337% |
|
18.492% |
21.419% |
17.370% |
13.097% |
7.883% |
0.379% |
0.023% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.331% |
4.644% |
|
5.975% |
|
7.876% |
13.019% |
19.855% |
24.991% |
26.431% |
1.715% |
0.137% |
0.001% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.247% |
5.181% |
|
6.428% |
|
8.621% |
12.995% |
18.480% |
24.106% |
26.760% |
2.321% |
0.289% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.366% |
4.002% |
|
5.368% |
|
7.411% |
12.322% |
19.991% |
24.654% |
28.780% |
1.374% |
0.100% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.007% |
0.028% |
0.137% |
0.552% |
3.121% |
54.780% |
40.984% |
0.390% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.003% |
0.020% |
0.083% |
0.351% |
2.108% |
39.300% |
57.447% |
0.686% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.059% |
1.018% |
98.923% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
31.854% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.632% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.611% |
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.700% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.506% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.350% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.823% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.058% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.462% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.972% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
38.554% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.094% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.117% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.044% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.673% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.979% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.851% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.549% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.267% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.642% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.49 |
1.32 |
1.94 |
51 |
24 |
13 |
7 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
11.81 |
1.35 |
2.62 |
27 |
29 |
19 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.5 |
10.69 |
1.42 |
3.98 |
8 |
15 |
20 |
19 |
16 |
13 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.5 |
10.51 |
1.48 |
4.21 |
7 |
13 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
5.0 |
9.80 |
1.46 |
5.10 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
15 |
18 |
21 |
20 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
9.77 |
1.49 |
5.14 |
3 |
6 |
11 |
15 |
18 |
20 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.0 |
9.63 |
1.40 |
5.33 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
14 |
19 |
22 |
23 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.31 |
1.39 |
8.32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
42 |
43 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
6.17 |
1.36 |
8.41 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
39 |
48 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.82 |
1.26 |
9.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 01:35 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:45 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:55 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:04 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:14 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:24 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:33 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:43 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:53 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:03 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:12 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:22 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:32 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 16:41 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:51 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 19:01 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:10 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:20 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:30 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 23:39 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:49 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:59 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:09 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:18 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:28 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 06:38 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 07:47 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:57 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:07 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:16 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:26 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 13:36 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 14:46 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 15:55 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:05 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:15 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:24 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 20:34 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 21:44 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 22:53 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:03 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:13 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 02:23 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |