For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
72.303% |
17.151% |
|
89.454% |
|
6.517% |
2.579% |
1.012% |
0.347% |
0.090% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.653% |
42.702% |
|
56.355% |
|
23.969% |
11.300% |
5.219% |
2.404% |
0.745% |
0.008% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.452% |
15.093% |
|
22.545% |
|
19.633% |
20.061% |
17.056% |
12.524% |
7.779% |
0.373% |
0.029% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.800% |
11.158% |
|
13.958% |
|
23.639% |
25.401% |
19.362% |
11.862% |
5.623% |
0.153% |
0.002% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.183% |
4.256% |
|
5.439% |
|
9.593% |
14.456% |
18.900% |
23.597% |
26.031% |
1.825% |
0.159% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.224% |
5.074% |
|
6.298% |
|
9.449% |
13.957% |
18.430% |
23.376% |
25.781% |
2.414% |
0.295% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.385% |
4.566% |
|
5.951% |
|
7.190% |
12.192% |
19.764% |
24.909% |
28.505% |
1.391% |
0.098% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.030% |
0.155% |
0.584% |
3.182% |
54.444% |
41.219% |
0.383% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.024% |
0.102% |
0.397% |
2.263% |
39.331% |
57.220% |
0.656% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.060% |
0.978% |
98.961% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.631% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.583% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.948% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.690% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.469% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.249% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.617% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.275% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.514% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.757% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
48.321% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.052% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.535% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.917% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.544% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.085% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.630% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.161% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.822% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.761% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
71.710% |
17.042% |
|
88.752% |
|
6.559% |
2.862% |
1.239% |
0.456% |
0.132% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.199% |
40.625% |
|
53.824% |
|
23.913% |
12.122% |
6.219% |
2.935% |
0.978% |
0.009% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.203% |
14.140% |
|
21.343% |
|
17.632% |
18.468% |
18.283% |
14.884% |
9.076% |
0.302% |
0.012% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.775% |
10.411% |
|
13.186% |
|
21.039% |
24.020% |
20.161% |
13.979% |
7.480% |
0.133% |
0.002% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.647% |
9.512% |
|
12.159% |
|
15.196% |
18.622% |
20.134% |
18.949% |
14.404% |
0.533% |
0.003% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.299% |
4.142% |
|
5.441% |
|
6.548% |
10.624% |
17.063% |
26.640% |
32.539% |
1.090% |
0.055% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.167% |
4.128% |
|
5.295% |
|
9.111% |
13.264% |
16.807% |
21.733% |
32.405% |
1.310% |
0.075% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.018% |
0.089% |
0.380% |
2.406% |
68.132% |
28.596% |
0.377% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.044% |
0.580% |
28.394% |
69.607% |
1.370% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.097% |
1.650% |
98.253% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.322% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.749% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.355% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.860% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.292% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.166% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.222% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.202% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.223% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.593% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
45.614% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.915% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.845% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.390% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.029% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.959% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.287% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.985% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.559% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.777% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
72.723% |
16.991% |
|
89.714% |
|
6.344% |
2.587% |
0.908% |
0.362% |
0.084% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.639% |
43.958% |
|
57.597% |
|
23.490% |
11.075% |
5.053% |
2.094% |
0.678% |
0.012% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.498% |
15.253% |
|
22.751% |
|
20.573% |
20.395% |
16.570% |
11.942% |
7.327% |
0.403% |
0.039% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.887% |
11.453% |
|
14.340% |
|
24.551% |
25.741% |
18.815% |
11.220% |
5.154% |
0.174% |
0.005% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.213% |
4.436% |
|
5.649% |
|
10.001% |
15.183% |
19.786% |
23.931% |
23.407% |
1.859% |
0.184% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.424% |
4.571% |
|
5.995% |
|
7.607% |
12.917% |
20.522% |
23.831% |
27.611% |
1.385% |
0.132% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.616% |
3.338% |
|
3.954% |
|
7.430% |
12.059% |
18.136% |
25.662% |
30.144% |
2.396% |
0.219% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.025% |
0.142% |
0.627% |
3.402% |
50.562% |
44.874% |
0.367% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.018% |
0.068% |
0.331% |
2.193% |
43.151% |
53.857% |
0.379% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.057% |
0.689% |
99.254% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.874% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.774% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.177% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.785% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.493% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.618% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.488% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.792% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.584% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.826% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
49.659% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.267% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.805% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.563% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.296% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.701% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.124% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.291% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.830% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.762% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
72.882% |
17.220% |
|
90.102% |
|
6.367% |
2.429% |
0.823% |
0.231% |
0.047% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.758% |
44.895% |
|
58.653% |
|
23.907% |
10.651% |
4.622% |
1.766% |
0.379% |
0.019% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.742% |
16.208% |
|
23.950% |
|
22.124% |
22.663% |
15.621% |
9.781% |
5.109% |
0.686% |
0.066% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.859% |
11.686% |
|
14.545% |
|
26.376% |
27.454% |
18.020% |
9.661% |
3.653% |
0.282% |
0.009% |
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.444% |
4.706% |
|
6.150% |
|
8.067% |
14.561% |
25.092% |
23.865% |
19.437% |
2.513% |
0.315% |
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.184% |
4.289% |
|
5.473% |
|
10.139% |
15.705% |
22.325% |
28.103% |
14.934% |
3.023% |
0.298% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.131% |
0.994% |
|
1.125% |
|
2.989% |
6.324% |
12.576% |
22.817% |
38.485% |
12.736% |
2.946% |
0.002% |
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.021% |
0.176% |
0.719% |
2.790% |
12.491% |
51.708% |
31.995% |
0.098% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.037% |
0.202% |
0.986% |
5.465% |
29.015% |
63.856% |
0.429% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.017% |
0.512% |
99.471% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
42.849% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
12.620% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.490% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.982% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.785% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.764% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.354% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.698% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.826% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.598% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
50.831% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.405% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.088% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.741% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.164% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.917% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.274% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.871% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.836% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.765% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.49 |
1.32 |
1.91 |
54 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.5 |
11.64 |
1.25 |
2.74 |
23 |
30 |
20 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.0 |
10.72 |
1.35 |
3.98 |
7 |
15 |
20 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.5 |
10.69 |
1.42 |
4.00 |
8 |
15 |
18 |
19 |
16 |
13 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
5.0 |
9.79 |
1.47 |
5.13 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
9.74 |
1.49 |
5.20 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
22 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.0 |
9.62 |
1.40 |
5.37 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
18 |
23 |
24 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.31 |
1.39 |
8.33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
8 |
42 |
44 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
6.18 |
1.36 |
8.41 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
39 |
48 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.81 |
1.26 |
9.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 02:09 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:18 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:27 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 05:36 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 06:45 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 07:54 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:03 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:12 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:21 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:30 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:39 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:48 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:57 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:06 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:15 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:24 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:33 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:42 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:51 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:59 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:08 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:17 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:26 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:35 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:44 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:53 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:02 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:11 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:20 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:29 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:38 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:47 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:56 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:05 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:14 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:23 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:32 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:41 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:50 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:59 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:08 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:16 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |