For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
71.435% |
17.256% |
|
88.691% |
|
6.684% |
2.806% |
1.190% |
0.508% |
0.120% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.226% |
40.753% |
|
53.979% |
|
23.837% |
12.256% |
6.074% |
2.802% |
1.046% |
0.006% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.242% |
13.752% |
|
20.994% |
|
17.636% |
18.810% |
18.345% |
14.811% |
9.112% |
0.285% |
0.007% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.912% |
10.315% |
|
13.227% |
|
21.256% |
23.799% |
20.357% |
13.994% |
7.241% |
0.126% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.705% |
9.709% |
|
12.414% |
|
15.286% |
18.536% |
20.112% |
18.621% |
14.490% |
0.537% |
0.004% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.317% |
4.090% |
|
5.407% |
|
6.274% |
10.701% |
17.136% |
26.742% |
32.594% |
1.101% |
0.045% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.163% |
4.125% |
|
5.288% |
|
9.024% |
13.066% |
16.697% |
22.092% |
32.432% |
1.312% |
0.089% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.025% |
0.078% |
0.379% |
2.391% |
68.211% |
28.546% |
0.367% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.011% |
0.051% |
0.574% |
28.326% |
69.730% |
1.307% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.095% |
1.579% |
98.326% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.451% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.319% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.212% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
8.082% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.304% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.155% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.217% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.154% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.251% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.619% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
45.755% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.474% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.787% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.673% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.045% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.957% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.344% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.053% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.474% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.785% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Asymptote 0.8 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
70.827% |
17.473% |
|
88.300% |
|
6.799% |
2.962% |
1.318% |
0.502% |
0.119% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.401% |
40.586% |
|
53.987% |
|
23.428% |
12.277% |
6.276% |
3.008% |
1.018% |
0.006% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
6.987% |
12.947% |
|
19.934% |
|
16.540% |
18.067% |
18.956% |
18.839% |
7.359% |
0.296% |
0.009% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.716% |
9.794% |
|
12.510% |
|
19.300% |
22.664% |
22.285% |
17.293% |
5.825% |
0.123% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.397% |
9.971% |
|
13.368% |
|
18.840% |
22.214% |
20.976% |
16.811% |
7.623% |
0.157% |
0.011% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.471% |
8.340% |
|
10.811% |
|
13.329% |
18.067% |
22.362% |
24.237% |
10.693% |
0.496% |
0.005% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.200% |
0.889% |
|
1.089% |
|
1.760% |
3.724% |
7.719% |
18.873% |
63.984% |
2.701% |
0.150% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.003% |
0.024% |
0.103% |
0.404% |
2.824% |
67.462% |
28.808% |
0.371% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
0.005% |
0.033% |
0.555% |
28.648% |
69.480% |
1.277% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.111% |
1.537% |
98.352% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.404% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.458% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.793% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.691% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.168% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.802% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.041% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.232% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.216% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
1.578% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
45.572% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.499% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
9.923% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.294% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.215% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.234% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.878% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.865% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.317% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
0.825% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Asymptote 0.8 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
71.940% |
17.124% |
|
89.064% |
|
6.452% |
2.701% |
1.193% |
0.458% |
0.132% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.444% |
41.107% |
|
54.551% |
|
23.793% |
11.889% |
5.945% |
2.747% |
1.064% |
0.011% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
7.319% |
14.301% |
|
21.620% |
|
17.809% |
19.015% |
17.966% |
13.676% |
9.606% |
0.297% |
0.011% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.842% |
10.494% |
|
13.336% |
|
21.832% |
24.206% |
19.662% |
13.082% |
7.736% |
0.142% |
0.004% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.650% |
9.989% |
|
12.639% |
|
15.717% |
18.438% |
19.564% |
17.741% |
15.318% |
0.578% |
0.005% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.996% |
3.783% |
|
4.779% |
|
6.393% |
11.139% |
18.431% |
28.830% |
29.628% |
0.776% |
0.024% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.809% |
3.201% |
|
4.010% |
|
8.000% |
12.593% |
17.155% |
23.041% |
33.946% |
1.192% |
0.063% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.004% |
0.018% |
0.077% |
0.384% |
2.084% |
68.325% |
28.780% |
0.327% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
0.041% |
0.486% |
28.558% |
69.545% |
1.362% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.121% |
1.568% |
98.311% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.840% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.905% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.410% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
8.333% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.577% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.298% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.966% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.485% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.313% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.634% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
46.417% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.203% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.984% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.853% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.605% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.445% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.001% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.053% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.541% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.733% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Asymptote 0.8 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
70.232% |
17.507% |
|
87.739% |
|
7.022% |
3.273% |
1.362% |
0.517% |
0.087% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.926% |
37.099% |
|
50.025% |
|
24.801% |
14.006% |
7.085% |
3.274% |
0.798% |
0.011% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
6.973% |
13.990% |
|
20.963% |
|
16.943% |
18.528% |
18.269% |
16.163% |
8.815% |
0.309% |
0.010% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.885% |
10.197% |
|
13.082% |
|
20.471% |
22.890% |
20.398% |
16.080% |
6.943% |
0.136% |
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.298% |
10.662% |
|
14.960% |
|
13.263% |
18.208% |
23.296% |
23.927% |
6.226% |
0.118% |
0.002% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.563% |
9.875% |
|
12.438% |
|
15.446% |
18.383% |
19.744% |
18.935% |
14.483% |
0.568% |
0.003% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.123% |
0.670% |
|
0.793% |
|
2.050% |
4.693% |
9.748% |
20.667% |
58.152% |
3.590% |
0.306% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.019% |
0.094% |
0.396% |
3.361% |
67.742% |
28.033% |
0.351% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.041% |
1.135% |
27.422% |
70.022% |
1.376% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.104% |
1.624% |
98.272% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.511% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.731% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.261% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
8.137% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.107% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.901% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.699% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.910% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.124% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.582% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.412% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.430% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.171% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.625% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.541% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.148% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.945% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.890% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.525% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.033% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.49 |
1.32 |
1.94 |
54 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.5 |
11.64 |
1.25 |
2.79 |
22 |
29 |
20 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.0 |
10.72 |
1.35 |
4.03 |
7 |
15 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
13 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.5 |
10.69 |
1.42 |
4.06 |
8 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
10 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.0 |
10.03 |
1.30 |
4.94 |
3 |
7 |
12 |
16 |
20 |
22 |
19 |
2 |
0 |
6 |
Monolith 2 |
5.0 |
9.79 |
1.46 |
5.20 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
24 |
4 |
1 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.0 |
9.75 |
1.48 |
5.25 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
25 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
6.31 |
1.39 |
8.26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
51 |
36 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
5.77 |
1.25 |
8.60 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
35 |
56 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.81 |
1.26 |
9.92 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 03:16 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:25 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 05:34 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 06:43 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 07:52 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:01 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:10 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:19 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:28 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:37 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:46 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:55 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:04 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:12 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:21 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:30 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:39 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:48 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:57 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:06 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:15 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:24 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:33 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:42 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:51 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:59 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:08 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:17 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:26 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:35 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:44 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:53 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:02 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:11 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:20 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:29 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:38 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:46 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:55 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:04 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:13 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |