For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
67.534% |
19.119% |
|
86.653% |
|
8.017% |
3.258% |
1.424% |
0.492% |
0.156% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.695% |
35.649% |
|
48.344% |
|
26.132% |
14.131% |
6.970% |
3.165% |
1.256% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
12.849% |
21.355% |
|
34.204% |
|
22.053% |
18.528% |
13.682% |
7.741% |
3.781% |
0.011% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.707% |
9.367% |
|
12.074% |
|
18.149% |
24.373% |
22.145% |
14.470% |
8.725% |
0.062% |
0.002% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.563% |
8.661% |
|
11.224% |
|
13.629% |
18.085% |
20.484% |
19.114% |
17.263% |
0.197% |
0.004% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.870% |
3.078% |
|
3.948% |
|
5.596% |
10.226% |
18.424% |
30.609% |
30.833% |
0.345% |
0.019% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.782% |
2.771% |
|
3.553% |
|
6.424% |
11.394% |
16.857% |
24.276% |
36.785% |
0.683% |
0.028% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.008% |
0.091% |
0.757% |
59.133% |
39.286% |
0.720% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.042% |
0.444% |
39.396% |
58.805% |
1.307% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.171% |
1.856% |
97.973% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.667% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
16.324% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.366% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.277% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.015% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.256% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.385% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.233% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.018% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.952% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.923% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.690% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.536% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.284% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.337% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.758% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.462% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.781% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.368% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.228% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.636% |
21.995% |
|
84.631% |
|
9.296% |
3.834% |
1.559% |
0.554% |
0.126% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
18.827% |
27.013% |
|
45.840% |
|
23.987% |
15.663% |
8.979% |
4.030% |
1.500% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.267% |
30.709% |
|
42.976% |
|
29.035% |
15.539% |
7.701% |
3.493% |
1.253% |
0.003% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.550% |
8.083% |
|
10.633% |
|
14.904% |
26.293% |
23.940% |
15.269% |
8.892% |
0.068% |
0.001% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.264% |
7.350% |
|
9.614% |
|
12.244% |
17.980% |
21.694% |
20.195% |
18.095% |
0.178% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.800% |
2.523% |
|
3.323% |
|
5.276% |
9.715% |
18.759% |
31.218% |
31.345% |
0.359% |
0.005% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.656% |
2.327% |
|
2.983% |
|
5.258% |
10.976% |
17.351% |
25.127% |
37.605% |
0.670% |
0.030% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
0.088% |
0.740% |
59.435% |
39.469% |
0.253% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.026% |
0.444% |
39.237% |
59.719% |
0.572% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.049% |
0.776% |
99.175% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.324% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.381% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.182% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.097% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.600% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.039% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.616% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.526% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.629% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.605% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
34.563% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.363% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.142% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.109% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.607% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.066% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.923% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.596% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.510% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.391% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
73.186% |
16.003% |
|
89.189% |
|
6.368% |
2.662% |
1.183% |
0.476% |
0.122% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.674% |
40.508% |
|
53.182% |
|
23.904% |
12.372% |
6.344% |
3.056% |
1.139% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
6.854% |
16.632% |
|
23.486% |
|
20.967% |
21.377% |
17.724% |
10.883% |
5.551% |
0.011% |
0.001% |
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.799% |
10.497% |
|
13.296% |
|
20.436% |
23.652% |
20.284% |
13.831% |
8.440% |
0.061% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.727% |
9.741% |
|
12.468% |
|
15.049% |
17.887% |
19.700% |
18.224% |
16.490% |
0.179% |
0.003% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.016% |
3.517% |
|
4.533% |
|
5.881% |
10.479% |
18.227% |
29.783% |
30.709% |
0.376% |
0.012% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.744% |
3.102% |
|
3.846% |
|
7.395% |
11.569% |
16.523% |
23.646% |
36.372% |
0.624% |
0.025% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.012% |
0.067% |
0.741% |
58.264% |
39.965% |
0.950% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.003% |
0.034% |
0.435% |
40.253% |
57.316% |
1.958% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.229% |
2.678% |
97.092% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
38.314% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
13.054% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.530% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
8.120% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.955% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.894% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.749% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.419% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.344% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.541% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
45.269% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.948% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.070% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.636% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.455% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.399% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.867% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.940% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.547% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.758% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
77.093% |
14.638% |
|
91.731% |
|
4.971% |
1.921% |
0.935% |
0.331% |
0.111% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.229% |
45.650% |
|
58.879% |
|
21.675% |
10.722% |
5.230% |
2.495% |
0.996% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.737% |
11.447% |
|
14.184% |
|
24.209% |
23.649% |
18.106% |
12.160% |
7.627% |
0.064% |
0.001% |
|
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.636% |
11.238% |
|
13.874% |
|
17.698% |
19.417% |
18.447% |
16.224% |
14.184% |
0.156% |
|
|
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.372% |
9.174% |
|
11.546% |
|
15.292% |
19.480% |
22.144% |
18.277% |
13.162% |
0.099% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.148% |
4.422% |
|
5.570% |
|
7.120% |
11.871% |
18.393% |
27.779% |
28.930% |
0.329% |
0.008% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.785% |
3.431% |
|
4.216% |
|
9.034% |
12.939% |
16.727% |
22.635% |
33.784% |
0.624% |
0.040% |
0.001% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
0.011% |
0.058% |
0.701% |
57.727% |
38.162% |
3.339% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.041% |
0.504% |
39.996% |
54.847% |
4.605% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
1.002% |
6.942% |
92.055% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
44.063% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.738% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.420% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.387% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.501% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.633% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.738% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.707% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.692% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.684% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
52.450% |
2. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.422% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.127% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.026% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.457% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.249% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.100% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.599% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.528% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.609% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.49 |
1.33 |
1.97 |
53 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.5 |
11.64 |
1.25 |
2.82 |
22 |
29 |
20 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.5 |
11.05 |
1.32 |
3.64 |
12 |
19 |
20 |
18 |
14 |
10 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.0 |
10.71 |
1.35 |
4.08 |
7 |
14 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
14 |
10 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.0 |
10.02 |
1.30 |
5.02 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
15 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.5 |
9.81 |
1.35 |
5.25 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
14 |
18 |
23 |
25 |
3 |
0 |
7 |
Monolith 2 |
5.5 |
9.75 |
1.34 |
5.34 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
18 |
23 |
27 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.95 |
1.28 |
8.43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
49 |
43 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
5.76 |
1.25 |
8.55 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
42 |
50 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.80 |
1.26 |
9.91 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 05:14 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 06:23 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 07:31 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 08:40 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 09:48 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 10:57 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:05 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:14 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:22 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:31 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:40 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 17:48 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 18:57 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:05 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:14 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:22 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:31 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:39 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 01:48 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 02:56 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:05 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:13 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:22 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:30 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:39 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 09:47 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:56 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:04 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:13 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:22 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:30 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:39 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 17:47 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 18:56 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:04 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:13 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:21 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:30 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:38 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |