For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.473% |
21.913% |
|
84.386% |
|
9.462% |
3.926% |
1.506% |
0.558% |
0.161% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.006% |
27.091% |
|
46.097% |
|
23.790% |
15.528% |
9.012% |
4.041% |
1.532% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.167% |
30.608% |
|
42.775% |
|
28.974% |
15.739% |
7.748% |
3.501% |
1.258% |
0.005% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.605% |
8.152% |
|
10.757% |
|
14.961% |
26.332% |
23.771% |
15.269% |
8.858% |
0.050% |
0.002% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.332% |
7.388% |
|
9.720% |
|
12.236% |
17.489% |
21.854% |
20.392% |
18.109% |
0.199% |
0.001% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.782% |
2.533% |
|
3.315% |
|
5.281% |
9.857% |
18.424% |
31.350% |
31.383% |
0.379% |
0.011% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.635% |
2.315% |
|
2.950% |
|
5.295% |
11.127% |
17.671% |
24.790% |
37.491% |
0.648% |
0.028% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.014% |
0.069% |
0.763% |
59.352% |
39.540% |
0.259% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.030% |
0.445% |
39.321% |
59.680% |
0.524% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.045% |
0.738% |
99.217% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.122% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.405% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.168% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.057% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.635% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.955% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.635% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.607% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.648% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.606% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
34.573% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.077% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.242% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.076% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.655% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.101% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.904% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.679% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.544% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.450% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Monolith 2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.384% |
22.425% |
|
84.809% |
|
9.590% |
3.775% |
1.329% |
0.407% |
0.090% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.756% |
28.287% |
|
48.043% |
|
24.505% |
15.498% |
8.393% |
2.803% |
0.758% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.134% |
30.760% |
|
42.894% |
|
30.033% |
16.087% |
7.454% |
2.918% |
0.608% |
0.006% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.571% |
8.208% |
|
10.779% |
|
15.607% |
29.092% |
25.905% |
12.871% |
5.582% |
0.160% |
0.004% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.413% |
7.507% |
|
9.920% |
|
13.746% |
21.255% |
25.608% |
16.656% |
12.193% |
0.616% |
0.006% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.687% |
2.423% |
|
3.110% |
|
5.136% |
10.081% |
21.396% |
42.548% |
16.679% |
1.016% |
0.034% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.055% |
0.390% |
|
0.445% |
|
1.382% |
4.205% |
9.808% |
21.127% |
58.063% |
4.611% |
0.359% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
0.103% |
0.604% |
4.981% |
73.665% |
20.616% |
0.023% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.066% |
1.046% |
19.920% |
78.378% |
0.586% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.603% |
99.391% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.188% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
21.512% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.957% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.098% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.732% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.985% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.800% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.758% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.579% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.258% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
36.469% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.173% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.558% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.120% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.779% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.963% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.716% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.565% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.555% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.223% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Monolith 2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.335% |
22.259% |
|
84.594% |
|
9.370% |
3.877% |
1.481% |
0.530% |
0.148% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.569% |
27.340% |
|
46.909% |
|
23.960% |
15.356% |
8.670% |
3.740% |
1.364% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.968% |
30.865% |
|
42.833% |
|
29.331% |
15.722% |
7.675% |
3.304% |
1.132% |
0.003% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.576% |
8.170% |
|
10.746% |
|
15.357% |
27.003% |
24.066% |
14.431% |
8.342% |
0.055% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.441% |
7.372% |
|
9.813% |
|
12.671% |
18.499% |
21.938% |
19.343% |
17.553% |
0.182% |
0.001% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.752% |
2.481% |
|
3.233% |
|
5.288% |
9.872% |
19.368% |
32.217% |
29.654% |
0.354% |
0.014% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.359% |
1.513% |
|
1.872% |
|
4.023% |
9.670% |
16.790% |
26.353% |
40.904% |
0.384% |
0.004% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.036% |
0.439% |
62.422% |
36.943% |
0.154% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.006% |
0.046% |
0.464% |
36.567% |
62.420% |
0.496% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.032% |
0.618% |
99.350% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.249% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.679% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.622% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.107% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.632% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.966% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.589% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.764% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.630% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.197% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
35.301% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.215% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.353% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.157% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.694% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.034% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.700% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.550% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.509% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.193% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – Monolith 2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
61.985% |
21.480% |
|
83.465% |
|
9.616% |
4.141% |
1.798% |
0.739% |
0.241% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
18.338% |
25.537% |
|
43.875% |
|
23.213% |
15.673% |
9.719% |
5.348% |
2.171% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.223% |
30.577% |
|
42.800% |
|
27.418% |
15.193% |
8.317% |
4.307% |
1.962% |
0.003% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.589% |
7.879% |
|
10.468% |
|
13.899% |
22.732% |
22.727% |
18.164% |
11.991% |
0.019% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.794% |
5.431% |
|
7.225% |
|
10.422% |
18.423% |
22.115% |
22.326% |
19.424% |
0.065% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.259% |
6.549% |
|
8.808% |
|
10.472% |
14.928% |
19.859% |
24.587% |
21.298% |
0.047% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.812% |
2.547% |
|
3.359% |
|
4.960% |
8.910% |
15.465% |
24.522% |
42.621% |
0.159% |
0.004% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.195% |
55.748% |
43.528% |
0.525% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.097% |
43.885% |
55.357% |
0.658% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.073% |
1.110% |
98.817% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.046% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
18.894% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.304% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.796% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.910% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.809% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.395% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.670% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.553% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.669% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.198% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.855% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.948% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.867% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.889% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.565% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.091% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.546% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.531% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.292% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.48 |
1.32 |
2.00 |
52 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.5 |
11.64 |
1.25 |
2.87 |
21 |
27 |
21 |
14 |
9 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.28 |
1.24 |
3.38 |
14 |
21 |
21 |
18 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.0 |
10.73 |
1.34 |
4.12 |
7 |
14 |
18 |
20 |
17 |
14 |
10 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.0 |
10.01 |
1.30 |
5.08 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
20 |
22 |
23 |
2 |
0 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.5 |
9.82 |
1.36 |
5.29 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
19 |
23 |
25 |
3 |
0 |
7 |
Monolith 2 |
5.5 |
9.75 |
1.33 |
5.39 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
13 |
18 |
24 |
27 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.96 |
1.29 |
8.42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
49 |
44 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
5.77 |
1.25 |
8.53 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
42 |
51 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.55 |
1.16 |
9.94 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 06:32 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 07:41 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 08:50 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 09:59 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:07 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:16 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:25 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:33 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:42 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:51 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:00 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:08 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:17 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:26 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:34 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:43 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:52 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:00 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:09 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:18 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:27 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:35 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:44 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:53 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:01 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:10 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:19 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:28 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:36 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:45 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:54 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:02 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:11 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:20 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:29 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:37 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:46 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:55 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |