For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.472% |
21.683% |
|
84.155% |
|
9.081% |
4.123% |
1.710% |
0.723% |
0.208% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
18.448% |
25.636% |
|
44.084% |
|
23.057% |
15.395% |
9.775% |
5.517% |
2.172% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.216% |
31.041% |
|
43.257% |
|
27.953% |
14.640% |
7.921% |
4.284% |
1.944% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.599% |
7.801% |
|
10.400% |
|
14.025% |
22.940% |
22.698% |
17.705% |
12.195% |
0.037% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.812% |
5.411% |
|
7.223% |
|
10.846% |
18.715% |
21.478% |
20.542% |
21.127% |
0.069% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.984% |
6.653% |
|
8.637% |
|
11.031% |
16.546% |
21.898% |
25.462% |
16.402% |
0.023% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.469% |
1.775% |
|
2.244% |
|
4.007% |
7.640% |
14.519% |
25.748% |
45.700% |
0.140% |
0.002% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.015% |
0.179% |
56.171% |
43.117% |
0.517% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.004% |
0.073% |
43.479% |
55.837% |
0.606% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.080% |
1.043% |
98.877% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.681% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
19.123% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.643% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.819% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.986% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.959% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.380% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.716% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.495% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.179% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.766% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.640% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.875% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.869% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.863% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.622% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.537% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.520% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.395% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.251% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – chess22k 1.14 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
65.974% |
21.768% |
|
87.742% |
|
7.401% |
2.936% |
1.250% |
0.507% |
0.163% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
21.434% |
30.173% |
|
51.607% |
|
20.966% |
12.931% |
8.071% |
4.510% |
1.900% |
0.015% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
3.574% |
16.860% |
|
20.434% |
|
23.843% |
20.755% |
15.759% |
11.762% |
7.415% |
0.032% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.454% |
11.829% |
|
15.283% |
|
16.102% |
20.023% |
19.890% |
16.681% |
11.872% |
0.147% |
0.002% |
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.561% |
8.966% |
|
11.527% |
|
13.507% |
17.039% |
20.822% |
22.536% |
14.522% |
0.047% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.422% |
8.093% |
|
10.515% |
|
13.137% |
17.512% |
19.625% |
18.944% |
19.905% |
0.362% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.581% |
2.311% |
|
2.892% |
|
5.044% |
8.801% |
14.572% |
24.955% |
43.115% |
0.611% |
0.010% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.011% |
0.100% |
1.038% |
80.168% |
18.650% |
0.030% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.070% |
18.601% |
80.704% |
0.620% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
0.634% |
99.350% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
25.667% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.507% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.004% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.038% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.294% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.395% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.576% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.371% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.360% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.358% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
42.174% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.281% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.409% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.411% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.579% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.629% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.462% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.890% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.888% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.850% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – chess22k 1.14 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.687% |
20.996% |
|
85.683% |
|
8.213% |
3.634% |
1.532% |
0.711% |
0.227% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.420% |
27.161% |
|
46.581% |
|
22.145% |
14.452% |
9.462% |
5.304% |
2.055% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.475% |
28.206% |
|
36.681% |
|
29.111% |
17.110% |
9.495% |
5.231% |
2.371% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.738% |
8.609% |
|
11.347% |
|
13.808% |
22.324% |
22.603% |
17.853% |
12.035% |
0.030% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.206% |
7.241% |
|
9.447% |
|
11.684% |
16.318% |
21.437% |
25.310% |
15.779% |
0.025% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.958% |
5.936% |
|
7.894% |
|
10.949% |
18.543% |
21.361% |
20.150% |
21.017% |
0.086% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.516% |
1.851% |
|
2.367% |
|
4.090% |
7.619% |
14.107% |
25.418% |
46.203% |
0.189% |
0.007% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.016% |
0.236% |
61.711% |
37.806% |
0.228% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.077% |
37.918% |
61.341% |
0.657% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.039% |
0.846% |
99.115% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.190% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
21.535% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.622% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.753% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.646% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.316% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.243% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.018% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.218% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.247% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
36.157% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.208% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.891% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.578% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.461% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.337% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.717% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.512% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.421% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.354% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – chess22k 1.14 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
58.565% |
22.250% |
|
80.815% |
|
11.255% |
4.889% |
1.991% |
0.795% |
0.255% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
20.679% |
39.337% |
|
60.016% |
|
25.263% |
9.345% |
3.638% |
1.364% |
0.374% |
|
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
15.726% |
22.340% |
|
38.066% |
|
25.721% |
17.484% |
10.702% |
5.842% |
2.184% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.861% |
5.781% |
|
7.642% |
|
14.161% |
24.637% |
23.874% |
17.648% |
12.028% |
0.010% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.296% |
4.011% |
|
5.307% |
|
10.431% |
19.797% |
22.688% |
20.488% |
21.281% |
0.008% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.499% |
4.963% |
|
6.462% |
|
10.076% |
16.661% |
22.468% |
27.256% |
17.069% |
0.008% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.374% |
1.318% |
|
1.692% |
|
3.093% |
7.187% |
14.639% |
26.605% |
46.707% |
0.077% |
|
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.069% |
58.584% |
40.742% |
0.603% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.033% |
41.149% |
57.754% |
1.064% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.163% |
1.504% |
98.333% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.009% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
13.825% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.947% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.125% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.113% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.432% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.347% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.259% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.254% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.880% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
44.134% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.772% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.460% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.178% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.878% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.894% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.249% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.490% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.356% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.959% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.49 |
1.32 |
2.01 |
52 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.5 |
11.65 |
1.24 |
2.90 |
22 |
27 |
20 |
14 |
9 |
5 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.26 |
1.24 |
3.46 |
13 |
21 |
20 |
17 |
13 |
9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.0 |
10.73 |
1.34 |
4.20 |
7 |
14 |
18 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.23 |
1.22 |
4.88 |
3 |
7 |
12 |
16 |
20 |
21 |
19 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.5 |
10.10 |
1.19 |
5.07 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
20 |
23 |
23 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.0 |
9.76 |
1.22 |
5.53 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
12 |
18 |
25 |
32 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
5.77 |
1.25 |
8.43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
54 |
41 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.47 |
1.16 |
8.60 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
41 |
54 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.55 |
1.16 |
9.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 08:54 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:03 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:11 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:20 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:29 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:38 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:47 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:55 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:04 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:13 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:22 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:30 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:39 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:48 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:57 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:06 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:14 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:23 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:32 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:41 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:50 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:58 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:07 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:16 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:25 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:33 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:42 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:51 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:00 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:09 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:17 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:26 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:35 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:44 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:53 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:01 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |