For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.944% |
22.350% |
|
87.294% |
|
7.889% |
3.058% |
1.240% |
0.405% |
0.114% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
20.471% |
25.916% |
|
46.387% |
|
22.068% |
14.491% |
9.511% |
5.458% |
2.082% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.546% |
28.386% |
|
36.932% |
|
29.345% |
16.966% |
9.199% |
5.223% |
2.335% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.407% |
8.240% |
|
9.647% |
|
14.225% |
23.440% |
24.103% |
18.078% |
10.489% |
0.018% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.948% |
6.096% |
|
8.044% |
|
10.927% |
18.434% |
21.111% |
19.913% |
21.482% |
0.089% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.163% |
7.154% |
|
9.317% |
|
11.533% |
16.273% |
21.087% |
25.552% |
16.209% |
0.029% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.521% |
1.858% |
|
2.379% |
|
4.013% |
7.338% |
13.747% |
25.357% |
46.993% |
0.168% |
0.005% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.005% |
0.208% |
61.531% |
38.002% |
0.252% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.088% |
38.109% |
61.148% |
0.646% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.053% |
0.845% |
99.102% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.636% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.789% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.033% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.205% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.685% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.408% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.431% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.222% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.180% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.221% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
36.822% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
29.067% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.754% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.670% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.455% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.402% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.526% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.413% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.401% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.888% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – FabChess 1.14.2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.745% |
23.143% |
|
87.888% |
|
8.086% |
2.828% |
0.915% |
0.246% |
0.037% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
22.133% |
30.180% |
|
52.313% |
|
22.090% |
13.057% |
7.349% |
3.873% |
1.317% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.028% |
28.181% |
|
36.209% |
|
32.733% |
17.202% |
8.586% |
4.015% |
1.253% |
0.002% |
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.108% |
6.431% |
|
8.539% |
|
12.484% |
22.745% |
20.464% |
18.662% |
17.033% |
0.073% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.387% |
8.206% |
|
10.593% |
|
13.542% |
18.665% |
23.848% |
21.128% |
12.202% |
0.022% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.082% |
1.607% |
|
1.689% |
|
5.535% |
15.331% |
22.562% |
26.756% |
28.047% |
0.080% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.517% |
2.252% |
|
2.769% |
|
5.530% |
10.172% |
16.271% |
25.306% |
39.811% |
0.138% |
0.003% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.012% |
0.203% |
61.497% |
37.218% |
1.066% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.097% |
37.863% |
58.959% |
3.078% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.324% |
3.820% |
95.856% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.306% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
25.171% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.312% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.557% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.716% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.360% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.278% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.398% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.534% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.461% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
42.483% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.584% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.646% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.852% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.758% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.836% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.749% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.672% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.487% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.861% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – FabChess 1.14.2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.969% |
22.721% |
|
87.690% |
|
8.021% |
2.832% |
1.052% |
0.311% |
0.094% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
21.173% |
27.832% |
|
49.005% |
|
22.005% |
13.812% |
8.461% |
4.823% |
1.892% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.391% |
28.761% |
|
37.152% |
|
30.676% |
16.651% |
8.591% |
4.770% |
2.159% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.052% |
6.343% |
|
8.395% |
|
11.676% |
19.704% |
20.543% |
19.010% |
20.598% |
0.074% |
|
|
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.541% |
4.746% |
|
5.287% |
|
11.025% |
22.208% |
26.155% |
21.754% |
13.549% |
0.022% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.348% |
7.570% |
|
9.918% |
|
12.260% |
16.973% |
21.319% |
23.960% |
15.553% |
0.017% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.526% |
2.027% |
|
2.553% |
|
4.337% |
7.820% |
13.878% |
25.358% |
45.874% |
0.178% |
0.002% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.011% |
0.211% |
61.697% |
37.780% |
0.300% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.070% |
37.948% |
61.210% |
0.769% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.061% |
1.008% |
98.931% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.982% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
22.675% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.711% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.079% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.658% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.217% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.421% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.346% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.224% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.358% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
39.386% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
29.328% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.151% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.761% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.645% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.418% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.646% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.529% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.511% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.873% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – FabChess 1.14.2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.478% |
21.557% |
|
86.035% |
|
8.454% |
3.423% |
1.395% |
0.522% |
0.171% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.239% |
23.454% |
|
42.693% |
|
21.857% |
16.017% |
10.656% |
6.269% |
2.506% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.618% |
27.271% |
|
35.889% |
|
26.651% |
17.530% |
10.771% |
6.235% |
2.923% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.992% |
14.298% |
|
17.290% |
|
20.462% |
26.689% |
20.903% |
10.708% |
3.947% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.960% |
5.532% |
|
7.492% |
|
9.436% |
15.726% |
22.287% |
21.512% |
23.466% |
0.081% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.182% |
6.365% |
|
8.547% |
|
10.018% |
14.302% |
20.493% |
28.488% |
18.138% |
0.014% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.531% |
1.523% |
|
2.054% |
|
3.122% |
6.313% |
13.495% |
26.255% |
48.572% |
0.184% |
0.005% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.213% |
61.694% |
38.019% |
0.065% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.064% |
38.018% |
61.754% |
0.162% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.222% |
99.773% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.511% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
17.725% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.853% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.397% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.867% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.997% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.234% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.158% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.010% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.245% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.578% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.669% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.642% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.860% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.244% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.011% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.755% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.344% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.339% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.312% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.0 |
12.45 |
1.19 |
1.88 |
56 |
21 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.0 |
11.33 |
1.16 |
3.25 |
15 |
24 |
21 |
16 |
12 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.27 |
1.24 |
3.39 |
16 |
22 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.5 |
10.77 |
1.22 |
4.11 |
5 |
16 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
13 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.23 |
1.23 |
4.86 |
3 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.5 |
10.11 |
1.18 |
5.05 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
15 |
20 |
23 |
23 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.0 |
9.76 |
1.23 |
5.52 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
25 |
32 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.5 |
6.09 |
1.15 |
8.33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
62 |
34 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.48 |
1.17 |
8.67 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
61 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.53 |
1.15 |
9.94 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 10:58 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:06 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:15 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:24 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:32 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:41 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 17:49 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 18:58 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:06 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:15 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:23 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:32 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:40 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 01:49 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 02:58 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:06 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:15 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:23 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:32 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:40 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 09:49 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:57 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:06 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:14 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:23 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:32 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:40 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 17:49 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 18:57 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:06 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:14 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:23 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:31 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:40 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |