For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.392% |
22.097% |
|
86.489% |
|
8.150% |
3.345% |
1.293% |
0.540% |
0.183% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.553% |
23.187% |
|
42.740% |
|
21.905% |
15.976% |
10.646% |
6.311% |
2.422% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.548% |
26.860% |
|
35.408% |
|
26.837% |
17.816% |
10.698% |
6.216% |
3.024% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.017% |
14.281% |
|
17.298% |
|
20.446% |
26.699% |
21.021% |
10.663% |
3.870% |
0.003% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.884% |
5.577% |
|
7.461% |
|
9.473% |
15.308% |
22.356% |
21.485% |
23.836% |
0.081% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.111% |
6.377% |
|
8.488% |
|
9.982% |
14.512% |
20.565% |
28.381% |
18.053% |
0.019% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.495% |
1.621% |
|
2.116% |
|
3.207% |
6.344% |
13.419% |
26.391% |
48.346% |
0.176% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.008% |
0.196% |
61.731% |
38.022% |
0.041% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.070% |
37.983% |
61.771% |
0.171% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.206% |
99.788% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.140% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
17.690% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.237% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.494% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.991% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.056% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.323% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.124% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.950% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.266% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.927% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.463% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.760% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.972% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.080% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.074% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.749% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.291% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.287% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.248% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
78.248% |
15.912% |
|
94.160% |
|
4.097% |
1.201% |
0.386% |
0.114% |
0.042% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
13.180% |
25.992% |
|
39.172% |
|
24.039% |
16.716% |
11.072% |
6.482% |
2.517% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
4.463% |
29.405% |
|
33.868% |
|
27.888% |
17.919% |
10.892% |
6.339% |
3.092% |
0.002% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.423% |
15.079% |
|
16.502% |
|
20.827% |
27.215% |
20.879% |
10.527% |
4.050% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.145% |
5.593% |
|
6.738% |
|
9.760% |
15.708% |
22.438% |
21.601% |
23.734% |
0.021% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.256% |
6.485% |
|
7.741% |
|
10.261% |
14.658% |
20.581% |
28.646% |
18.098% |
0.015% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.285% |
1.534% |
|
1.819% |
|
3.128% |
6.583% |
13.752% |
26.284% |
48.351% |
0.082% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.054% |
50.445% |
49.327% |
0.169% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.062% |
49.416% |
50.411% |
0.109% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.017% |
0.261% |
99.722% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.258% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
23.403% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.450% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.274% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.903% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.968% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.240% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.451% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.266% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.891% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
34.677% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.498% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
15.186% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.631% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.703% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.342% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.465% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.731% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
0.616% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
0.614% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
55.066% |
26.179% |
|
81.245% |
|
10.999% |
4.838% |
1.946% |
0.759% |
0.213% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
23.652% |
21.162% |
|
44.814% |
|
20.278% |
15.422% |
10.703% |
6.268% |
2.514% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.460% |
25.828% |
|
37.288% |
|
26.270% |
17.425% |
10.274% |
5.921% |
2.821% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.883% |
13.195% |
|
17.078% |
|
20.038% |
26.685% |
21.351% |
10.745% |
4.098% |
0.005% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.427% |
5.428% |
|
7.855% |
|
9.470% |
15.278% |
21.976% |
21.560% |
23.740% |
0.121% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.871% |
6.578% |
|
9.449% |
|
9.890% |
14.185% |
20.596% |
28.396% |
17.463% |
0.021% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.641% |
1.630% |
|
2.271% |
|
3.055% |
6.167% |
13.153% |
26.340% |
48.816% |
0.195% |
0.003% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.008% |
0.275% |
69.996% |
29.711% |
0.009% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.060% |
29.657% |
70.111% |
0.169% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.175% |
99.822% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.112% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.773% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
13.560% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.720% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.512% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.351% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.032% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.326% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.727% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.571% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
31.333% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
26.144% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.291% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.078% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.766% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.535% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.295% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.809% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.738% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.713% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Tucano 8.07_dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
33.041% |
28.541% |
|
61.582% |
|
18.084% |
10.709% |
5.658% |
2.852% |
1.115% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
30.236% |
22.147% |
|
52.383% |
|
16.867% |
13.028% |
9.534% |
5.773% |
2.393% |
0.022% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
20.260% |
21.539% |
|
41.799% |
|
23.191% |
16.425% |
10.122% |
5.790% |
2.673% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
7.557% |
12.656% |
|
20.213% |
|
18.886% |
24.715% |
20.803% |
11.261% |
4.106% |
0.016% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.335% |
6.165% |
|
9.500% |
|
9.679% |
14.847% |
21.364% |
21.052% |
23.111% |
0.446% |
0.001% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
4.661% |
7.069% |
|
11.730% |
|
9.865% |
13.968% |
19.652% |
27.498% |
17.233% |
0.054% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.910% |
1.883% |
|
2.793% |
|
3.428% |
6.306% |
12.858% |
25.665% |
48.132% |
0.807% |
0.011% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.008% |
0.107% |
1.186% |
85.742% |
12.954% |
0.001% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.051% |
12.913% |
86.883% |
0.150% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.151% |
99.849% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.069% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.531% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.567% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.285% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.457% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.352% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.554% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.589% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.360% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.958% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
26.354% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.085% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.919% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.530% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.218% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.672% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.507% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.278% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.065% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.842% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.0 |
12.44 |
1.20 |
1.92 |
55 |
20 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.0 |
11.34 |
1.16 |
3.30 |
15 |
22 |
21 |
17 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.25 |
1.24 |
3.47 |
15 |
20 |
18 |
17 |
13 |
9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.06 |
1.12 |
3.75 |
7 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
15 |
11 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.24 |
1.22 |
4.91 |
3 |
8 |
11 |
15 |
20 |
21 |
21 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.5 |
10.10 |
1.17 |
5.13 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
20 |
23 |
24 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.0 |
9.77 |
1.23 |
5.57 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
25 |
33 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.5 |
6.10 |
1.16 |
8.32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
62 |
35 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.49 |
1.16 |
8.65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
63 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.21 |
1.03 |
9.97 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 11:50 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 12:58 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:06 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:14 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:23 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 17:31 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 18:39 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 19:47 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 20:56 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:04 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:12 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:20 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 01:29 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 02:37 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 03:45 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:53 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:02 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:10 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:18 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 09:26 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:35 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 11:43 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:51 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:59 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:08 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:16 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 17:24 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 18:32 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 19:41 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 20:49 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:57 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:05 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:14 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |