For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
55.054% |
26.287% |
|
81.341% |
|
10.926% |
4.849% |
1.935% |
0.722% |
0.227% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
23.706% |
21.321% |
|
45.027% |
|
20.539% |
15.147% |
10.606% |
6.193% |
2.485% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.469% |
25.679% |
|
37.148% |
|
26.360% |
17.332% |
10.310% |
6.033% |
2.816% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.832% |
13.192% |
|
17.024% |
|
19.812% |
26.696% |
21.473% |
10.951% |
4.043% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.439% |
5.420% |
|
7.859% |
|
9.379% |
15.435% |
21.843% |
21.576% |
23.792% |
0.116% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.887% |
6.510% |
|
9.397% |
|
9.848% |
14.355% |
20.644% |
28.315% |
17.424% |
0.017% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.613% |
1.591% |
|
2.204% |
|
3.136% |
6.186% |
13.188% |
26.198% |
48.884% |
0.201% |
0.003% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.009% |
0.259% |
69.554% |
30.166% |
0.011% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.070% |
30.104% |
69.660% |
0.163% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.171% |
99.826% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.006% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.849% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
13.683% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.688% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.512% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.291% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.162% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.370% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.715% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.553% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
31.532% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
26.168% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.169% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.006% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.759% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.584% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.373% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.792% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.736% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.736% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Asymptote 0.8 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
50.825% |
26.306% |
|
77.131% |
|
13.832% |
6.017% |
2.174% |
0.679% |
0.167% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
22.948% |
35.811% |
|
58.759% |
|
25.508% |
10.768% |
3.908% |
0.994% |
0.063% |
|
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.584% |
19.381% |
|
38.965% |
|
21.760% |
18.577% |
12.360% |
6.858% |
1.477% |
0.003% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.797% |
9.184% |
|
11.981% |
|
20.162% |
30.625% |
24.490% |
10.610% |
2.129% |
0.003% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.699% |
4.162% |
|
5.861% |
|
9.402% |
17.989% |
27.382% |
23.207% |
16.028% |
0.131% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.124% |
5.034% |
|
7.158% |
|
8.804% |
14.179% |
23.096% |
37.443% |
9.302% |
0.018% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.023% |
0.122% |
|
0.145% |
|
0.532% |
1.844% |
6.589% |
20.180% |
70.197% |
0.504% |
0.009% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
0.026% |
0.502% |
69.810% |
29.646% |
0.014% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.135% |
29.530% |
70.182% |
0.150% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.163% |
99.836% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.003% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.310% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.022% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.780% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.586% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.160% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.653% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.943% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.422% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.917% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.025% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
23.090% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.239% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.346% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.842% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.875% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.796% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.863% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.684% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.418% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Asymptote 0.8 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.708% |
25.766% |
|
82.474% |
|
10.271% |
4.374% |
1.835% |
0.769% |
0.277% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
24.404% |
21.758% |
|
46.162% |
|
19.800% |
14.484% |
10.500% |
6.266% |
2.784% |
0.004% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.496% |
24.287% |
|
32.783% |
|
27.516% |
19.332% |
11.499% |
6.361% |
2.509% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.032% |
13.741% |
|
17.773% |
|
19.659% |
26.152% |
20.786% |
11.189% |
4.439% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.104% |
6.831% |
|
9.935% |
|
10.295% |
14.218% |
20.188% |
26.085% |
19.256% |
0.023% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.704% |
6.069% |
|
8.773% |
|
9.295% |
14.807% |
20.713% |
20.663% |
25.625% |
0.123% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.552% |
1.548% |
|
2.100% |
|
3.164% |
6.633% |
14.477% |
28.659% |
44.861% |
0.105% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.007% |
0.205% |
69.991% |
29.774% |
0.021% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.044% |
29.747% |
70.058% |
0.150% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.166% |
99.829% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.727% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.546% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.902% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.503% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.860% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.898% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.292% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.649% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.547% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.640% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
33.448% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
23.376% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.021% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.239% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.839% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.300% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.482% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.993% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.897% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.481% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Asymptote 0.8 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.088% |
26.183% |
|
82.271% |
|
10.262% |
4.417% |
1.921% |
0.868% |
0.261% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
26.200% |
23.550% |
|
49.750% |
|
18.833% |
12.700% |
8.806% |
6.008% |
3.902% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.892% |
18.219% |
|
23.111% |
|
21.913% |
19.895% |
16.171% |
11.722% |
7.185% |
0.003% |
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
2.988% |
10.004% |
|
12.992% |
|
15.663% |
18.420% |
18.828% |
18.164% |
15.933% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.307% |
7.295% |
|
10.602% |
|
12.348% |
17.972% |
21.340% |
21.713% |
16.018% |
0.007% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.504% |
7.890% |
|
11.394% |
|
11.355% |
14.081% |
16.721% |
19.274% |
27.151% |
0.024% |
|
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.021% |
6.859% |
|
9.880% |
|
9.626% |
12.515% |
16.213% |
22.249% |
29.421% |
0.096% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.115% |
69.402% |
30.467% |
0.014% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.014% |
30.461% |
69.380% |
0.145% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.153% |
99.841% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.847% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
17.562% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
16.060% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.094% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.747% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.711% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.914% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.451% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.037% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.903% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
36.409% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
17.692% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.067% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.142% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.144% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.817% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.317% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.037% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.478% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.297% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
12.03 |
1.12 |
2.27 |
42 |
23 |
15 |
10 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.0 |
11.36 |
1.16 |
3.19 |
20 |
21 |
20 |
16 |
11 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.27 |
1.25 |
3.38 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
16 |
13 |
9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.04 |
1.12 |
3.73 |
9 |
18 |
20 |
19 |
15 |
11 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.23 |
1.23 |
4.89 |
4 |
8 |
11 |
15 |
19 |
21 |
21 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.5 |
10.15 |
1.18 |
5.04 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
20 |
23 |
23 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.0 |
9.77 |
1.23 |
5.56 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
25 |
33 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.49 |
1.08 |
8.21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
70 |
26 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.48 |
1.17 |
8.74 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
25 |
72 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.19 |
1.03 |
9.98 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 13:25 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:34 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:43 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:52 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:00 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:09 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:18 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:26 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:35 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:44 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:53 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:01 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:10 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:19 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:28 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:36 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:45 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:54 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:02 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:11 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:20 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:29 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:37 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:46 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:55 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:04 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:12 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:21 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:30 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:38 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:47 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:56 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |