For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.463% |
25.944% |
|
82.407% |
|
10.240% |
4.436% |
1.894% |
0.758% |
0.265% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
24.484% |
21.634% |
|
46.118% |
|
19.950% |
14.559% |
10.151% |
6.412% |
2.804% |
0.006% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.474% |
24.191% |
|
32.665% |
|
27.475% |
19.339% |
11.636% |
6.382% |
2.503% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.218% |
13.814% |
|
18.032% |
|
19.653% |
26.040% |
20.807% |
11.141% |
4.322% |
0.005% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.123% |
6.952% |
|
10.075% |
|
10.050% |
14.460% |
19.966% |
26.043% |
19.392% |
0.014% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.682% |
5.883% |
|
8.565% |
|
9.447% |
14.674% |
20.856% |
20.751% |
25.615% |
0.092% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.556% |
1.582% |
|
2.138% |
|
3.185% |
6.492% |
14.689% |
28.498% |
44.903% |
0.095% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.014% |
0.165% |
69.711% |
30.101% |
0.008% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.031% |
30.076% |
69.732% |
0.160% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.167% |
99.832% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.639% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.602% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.755% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.532% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.930% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.815% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.300% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.700% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.529% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.697% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
33.357% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
23.339% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.160% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.291% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.829% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.196% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.560% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.958% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.882% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.485% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Bagatur 2.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
55.054% |
25.402% |
|
80.456% |
|
10.870% |
5.097% |
2.276% |
0.953% |
0.348% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
22.931% |
20.042% |
|
42.973% |
|
18.522% |
15.211% |
12.490% |
7.748% |
3.053% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.232% |
22.015% |
|
30.247% |
|
25.611% |
19.758% |
13.547% |
7.664% |
3.173% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.967% |
12.895% |
|
16.862% |
|
17.883% |
22.827% |
22.946% |
13.917% |
5.563% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
6.665% |
12.731% |
|
19.396% |
|
15.894% |
18.776% |
20.008% |
18.231% |
7.695% |
|
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.656% |
5.581% |
|
8.237% |
|
8.664% |
13.022% |
17.281% |
21.257% |
31.423% |
0.116% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.495% |
1.334% |
|
1.829% |
|
2.556% |
5.309% |
11.452% |
30.220% |
48.553% |
0.081% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.187% |
83.460% |
16.336% |
0.007% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
16.337% |
83.316% |
0.342% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.348% |
99.651% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.375% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.940% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
12.788% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.581% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.048% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.614% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.013% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.929% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.414% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.266% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
29.728% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.789% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.126% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
12.061% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.195% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.876% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.841% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.156% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.925% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.640% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Bagatur 2.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.675% |
26.365% |
|
83.040% |
|
10.144% |
4.159% |
1.724% |
0.697% |
0.236% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
25.464% |
22.124% |
|
47.588% |
|
20.485% |
14.406% |
9.273% |
5.613% |
2.634% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.781% |
25.054% |
|
33.835% |
|
28.126% |
19.001% |
10.928% |
5.831% |
2.279% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.138% |
14.242% |
|
18.380% |
|
20.119% |
27.156% |
20.280% |
10.029% |
4.032% |
0.004% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.776% |
6.046% |
|
8.822% |
|
9.965% |
15.705% |
22.069% |
20.264% |
23.070% |
0.105% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.583% |
4.502% |
|
6.085% |
|
7.916% |
12.810% |
20.115% |
29.981% |
23.085% |
0.008% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.583% |
1.667% |
|
2.250% |
|
3.245% |
6.763% |
15.609% |
27.576% |
44.471% |
0.086% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.009% |
0.166% |
64.691% |
35.126% |
0.006% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.027% |
35.102% |
64.780% |
0.091% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.094% |
99.903% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.522% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.476% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.433% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.941% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.859% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.513% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.082% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.889% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.674% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.714% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
34.909% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.411% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.572% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.187% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.289% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.722% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.671% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.071% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.440% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.169% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Bagatur 2.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.677% |
27.311% |
|
83.988% |
|
9.988% |
3.865% |
1.504% |
0.504% |
0.151% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
26.742% |
23.260% |
|
50.002% |
|
21.826% |
14.793% |
7.904% |
3.697% |
1.775% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.740% |
25.621% |
|
34.361% |
|
29.814% |
19.514% |
9.902% |
4.765% |
1.643% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.132% |
14.695% |
|
18.827% |
|
21.400% |
29.940% |
19.214% |
7.792% |
2.825% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.848% |
6.140% |
|
8.988% |
|
10.190% |
16.663% |
25.876% |
23.313% |
14.879% |
0.090% |
0.001% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.579% |
1.759% |
|
2.338% |
|
3.739% |
8.627% |
20.809% |
30.409% |
33.872% |
0.202% |
0.004% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.282% |
1.214% |
|
1.496% |
|
3.043% |
6.598% |
14.787% |
29.473% |
44.277% |
0.319% |
0.007% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.026% |
0.390% |
56.901% |
42.676% |
0.007% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.021% |
0.188% |
42.482% |
57.289% |
0.016% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.023% |
99.977% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.096% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.926% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
16.469% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.414% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.925% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.812% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.830% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.815% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.784% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.658% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
37.395% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.926% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.072% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.627% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.406% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.753% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.305% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.530% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.238% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.951% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
12.02 |
1.11 |
2.23 |
45 |
23 |
14 |
9 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.25 |
1.25 |
3.39 |
20 |
19 |
17 |
15 |
12 |
10 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.5 |
11.21 |
1.05 |
3.36 |
15 |
20 |
21 |
18 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.02 |
1.13 |
3.74 |
10 |
19 |
20 |
18 |
14 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.24 |
1.23 |
4.89 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
14 |
18 |
20 |
23 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.5 |
10.16 |
1.18 |
5.04 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
25 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.5 |
9.96 |
1.10 |
5.40 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
19 |
26 |
28 |
1 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.47 |
1.08 |
8.23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
70 |
26 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.48 |
1.17 |
8.74 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
26 |
72 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.18 |
1.02 |
9.98 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 14:33 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:42 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:51 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 17:59 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:08 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:17 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:25 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:34 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:43 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:52 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:00 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:09 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:18 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:26 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:35 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:44 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:52 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:01 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:10 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:19 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:27 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:36 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:45 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:53 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:02 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:11 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:20 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:28 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:37 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:46 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:54 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |