For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.796% |
26.415% |
|
83.211% |
|
9.965% |
4.202% |
1.675% |
0.711% |
0.236% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
25.621% |
22.232% |
|
47.853% |
|
20.439% |
14.205% |
9.345% |
5.583% |
2.569% |
0.006% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.765% |
24.964% |
|
33.729% |
|
28.253% |
18.800% |
11.005% |
5.941% |
2.272% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.038% |
14.168% |
|
18.206% |
|
20.205% |
27.247% |
20.270% |
10.019% |
4.049% |
0.004% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.701% |
6.073% |
|
8.774% |
|
9.851% |
15.882% |
21.909% |
20.205% |
23.289% |
0.090% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.532% |
4.535% |
|
6.067% |
|
7.952% |
12.853% |
20.347% |
29.599% |
23.174% |
0.008% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.547% |
1.613% |
|
2.160% |
|
3.335% |
6.811% |
15.448% |
27.929% |
44.227% |
0.090% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.013% |
0.150% |
64.645% |
35.179% |
0.012% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.034% |
35.157% |
64.727% |
0.082% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.094% |
99.906% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.462% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.782% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.555% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.880% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.937% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.580% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.135% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.782% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.653% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.658% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
35.337% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.244% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.455% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.233% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.301% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.770% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.542% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.034% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.524% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.159% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – ChessFighter 3.3 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
65.598% |
18.823% |
|
84.421% |
|
8.283% |
4.150% |
1.911% |
0.921% |
0.314% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.485% |
29.822% |
|
39.307% |
|
22.723% |
16.641% |
11.321% |
7.126% |
2.882% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
10.490% |
17.265% |
|
27.755% |
|
21.644% |
20.131% |
15.789% |
9.113% |
5.557% |
0.011% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.965% |
14.773% |
|
18.738% |
|
21.084% |
22.102% |
21.212% |
11.896% |
4.966% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
8.088% |
12.911% |
|
20.999% |
|
14.999% |
18.293% |
20.019% |
16.579% |
9.106% |
0.005% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.556% |
4.498% |
|
6.054% |
|
7.968% |
12.520% |
19.050% |
31.464% |
22.934% |
0.010% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.818% |
1.908% |
|
2.726% |
|
3.299% |
6.163% |
10.698% |
22.896% |
54.134% |
0.084% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.078% |
64.948% |
34.955% |
0.015% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.029% |
34.937% |
64.950% |
0.083% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.095% |
99.902% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.303% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
13.130% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.489% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.293% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.254% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.343% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.863% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.210% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.481% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
2.451% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.166% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
19.384% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.606% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.636% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.026% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.364% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.995% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.395% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.725% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.603% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – ChessFighter 3.3 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
58.105% |
25.048% |
|
83.153% |
|
10.031% |
4.161% |
1.671% |
0.748% |
0.236% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
24.434% |
23.435% |
|
47.869% |
|
22.385% |
14.949% |
8.606% |
4.365% |
1.826% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.085% |
25.434% |
|
34.519% |
|
27.799% |
18.855% |
10.514% |
5.953% |
2.360% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.306% |
14.660% |
|
18.966% |
|
19.849% |
26.520% |
20.266% |
10.217% |
4.177% |
0.005% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.819% |
5.027% |
|
6.846% |
|
9.003% |
16.080% |
24.231% |
21.151% |
22.630% |
0.059% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.714% |
4.666% |
|
6.380% |
|
7.632% |
12.376% |
19.242% |
30.800% |
23.561% |
0.009% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.537% |
1.730% |
|
2.267% |
|
3.301% |
7.059% |
15.470% |
26.758% |
45.041% |
0.104% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
0.147% |
64.852% |
34.982% |
0.011% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.022% |
34.970% |
64.940% |
0.068% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.078% |
99.921% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.167% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.753% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
16.224% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.502% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.979% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.311% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.973% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.837% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.451% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.876% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
34.977% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.004% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.173% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.430% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.018% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.787% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.709% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.021% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.500% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.194% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – ChessFighter 3.3 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
48.921% |
27.140% |
|
76.061% |
|
14.454% |
6.344% |
2.492% |
0.562% |
0.087% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
39.747% |
41.686% |
|
81.433% |
|
12.192% |
4.293% |
1.426% |
0.513% |
0.143% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.456% |
15.988% |
|
22.444% |
|
36.367% |
23.118% |
11.799% |
4.757% |
1.515% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.383% |
9.682% |
|
13.065% |
|
21.879% |
34.983% |
19.047% |
8.048% |
2.977% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.052% |
3.425% |
|
4.477% |
|
8.663% |
15.497% |
26.662% |
23.892% |
20.799% |
0.010% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.345% |
1.262% |
|
1.607% |
|
3.212% |
7.235% |
20.221% |
37.917% |
29.713% |
0.092% |
0.003% |
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.096% |
0.817% |
|
0.913% |
|
3.233% |
8.530% |
18.352% |
24.285% |
44.371% |
0.315% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.025% |
0.362% |
64.265% |
35.328% |
0.019% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.033% |
35.315% |
64.573% |
0.078% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.095% |
99.903% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
38.889% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.294% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.367% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.835% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.197% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.038% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.130% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.054% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.730% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.406% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
59.183% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.773% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.235% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.716% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.184% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.063% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.877% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.955% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
0.877% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
0.705% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
12.02 |
1.12 |
2.21 |
45 |
23 |
14 |
9 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.29 |
1.24 |
3.28 |
21 |
20 |
17 |
15 |
12 |
9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.5 |
11.21 |
1.05 |
3.30 |
16 |
21 |
22 |
18 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.02 |
1.13 |
3.67 |
11 |
19 |
20 |
18 |
14 |
11 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.26 |
1.22 |
4.80 |
5 |
9 |
12 |
15 |
19 |
19 |
21 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.5 |
9.93 |
1.10 |
5.35 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
20 |
26 |
26 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.0 |
9.87 |
1.08 |
5.42 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
18 |
24 |
32 |
1 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.46 |
1.08 |
8.29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
64 |
32 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.5 |
5.77 |
1.07 |
8.68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
67 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.17 |
1.03 |
9.99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 15:16 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:24 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 17:33 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 18:41 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 19:49 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 20:58 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:06 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:14 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:22 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 01:31 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 02:39 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 03:47 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:56 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:04 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:12 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:20 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 09:29 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:37 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 11:45 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:53 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:02 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:10 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:18 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 17:27 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 18:35 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 19:43 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 20:51 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:00 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:08 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:16 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |