For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
58.123% |
25.002% |
|
83.125% |
|
10.098% |
4.012% |
1.765% |
0.735% |
0.264% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
24.448% |
23.432% |
|
47.880% |
|
22.370% |
14.911% |
8.618% |
4.417% |
1.803% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.992% |
25.482% |
|
34.474% |
|
27.680% |
19.125% |
10.541% |
5.882% |
2.298% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.331% |
14.854% |
|
19.185% |
|
19.747% |
26.362% |
20.242% |
10.206% |
4.257% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.892% |
4.787% |
|
6.679% |
|
8.928% |
16.479% |
24.029% |
21.440% |
22.391% |
0.054% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.663% |
4.657% |
|
6.320% |
|
7.766% |
12.339% |
19.332% |
30.740% |
23.497% |
0.005% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.551% |
1.786% |
|
2.337% |
|
3.411% |
6.772% |
15.473% |
26.569% |
45.329% |
0.105% |
0.004% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
0.135% |
64.816% |
35.025% |
0.013% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.026% |
35.013% |
64.880% |
0.081% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.090% |
99.906% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.153% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.732% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
16.228% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.580% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.904% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.312% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.884% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.818% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.524% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.860% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
34.960% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.971% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.250% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.428% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.001% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.695% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.699% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.975% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.611% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.248% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
57.237% |
24.611% |
|
81.848% |
|
10.471% |
4.619% |
1.916% |
0.877% |
0.269% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
24.327% |
22.284% |
|
46.611% |
|
22.028% |
14.814% |
8.941% |
5.471% |
2.132% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.937% |
25.136% |
|
34.073% |
|
26.334% |
18.260% |
11.251% |
7.233% |
2.848% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.143% |
13.933% |
|
18.076% |
|
18.201% |
23.281% |
23.027% |
12.338% |
5.076% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.264% |
8.193% |
|
11.457% |
|
13.361% |
22.123% |
25.598% |
16.735% |
10.719% |
0.007% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.499% |
4.318% |
|
5.817% |
|
6.553% |
10.731% |
17.408% |
34.346% |
25.135% |
0.010% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.593% |
1.525% |
|
2.118% |
|
3.052% |
6.171% |
11.859% |
22.998% |
53.715% |
0.087% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.002% |
0.075% |
64.731% |
35.188% |
0.003% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.031% |
35.160% |
64.782% |
0.027% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.030% |
99.970% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.843% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.886% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.944% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.749% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.901% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.758% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.009% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.702% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.480% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.219% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.830% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.545% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.383% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.407% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.238% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.584% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.441% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.493% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.509% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.099% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
59.190% |
25.440% |
|
84.630% |
|
9.420% |
3.717% |
1.417% |
0.615% |
0.201% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
24.860% |
24.166% |
|
49.026% |
|
22.798% |
14.882% |
8.315% |
3.636% |
1.342% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.704% |
25.654% |
|
34.358% |
|
28.974% |
19.640% |
10.087% |
5.001% |
1.939% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.485% |
15.692% |
|
20.177% |
|
21.231% |
28.724% |
18.260% |
8.201% |
3.405% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.658% |
4.992% |
|
6.650% |
|
8.502% |
13.462% |
20.510% |
28.602% |
22.269% |
0.005% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.596% |
2.437% |
|
3.033% |
|
5.669% |
12.429% |
23.765% |
25.015% |
30.001% |
0.088% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.507% |
1.619% |
|
2.126% |
|
3.406% |
7.146% |
17.646% |
28.922% |
40.650% |
0.104% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
0.162% |
65.143% |
34.676% |
0.011% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.031% |
34.656% |
65.191% |
0.122% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.133% |
99.867% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.299% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.568% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
17.489% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.517% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.827% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.609% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.882% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.605% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.910% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.831% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
37.057% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.181% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
15.348% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.432% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.269% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.745% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.671% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.593% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.287% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.104% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
60.215% |
25.553% |
|
85.768% |
|
9.109% |
3.381% |
1.190% |
0.422% |
0.130% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
24.516% |
25.150% |
|
49.666% |
|
23.341% |
15.082% |
8.282% |
2.893% |
0.736% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.541% |
25.314% |
|
33.855% |
|
29.642% |
20.196% |
10.902% |
4.216% |
1.189% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.489% |
16.415% |
|
20.904% |
|
22.812% |
31.474% |
16.171% |
6.372% |
2.267% |
|
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.626% |
5.409% |
|
7.035% |
|
9.745% |
16.417% |
27.411% |
20.800% |
18.577% |
0.015% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.517% |
1.570% |
|
2.087% |
|
3.336% |
7.607% |
21.006% |
41.022% |
24.840% |
0.102% |
|
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.096% |
0.589% |
|
0.685% |
|
2.015% |
5.843% |
15.038% |
24.242% |
51.744% |
0.433% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.032% |
0.487% |
64.947% |
34.414% |
0.120% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.030% |
34.469% |
64.828% |
0.672% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.034% |
0.758% |
99.208% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.151% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.718% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
18.755% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.202% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.933% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.713% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.938% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.497% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.940% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.870% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
38.473% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.089% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
16.072% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.210% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.624% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.817% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.598% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.374% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.163% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.662% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
12.02 |
1.11 |
2.19 |
46 |
22 |
14 |
9 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.0 |
11.28 |
1.13 |
3.23 |
20 |
21 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.5 |
11.21 |
1.05 |
3.29 |
16 |
21 |
21 |
17 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.02 |
1.13 |
3.67 |
11 |
20 |
20 |
17 |
14 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
7.0 |
10.28 |
1.10 |
4.84 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
21 |
20 |
19 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.5 |
9.94 |
1.10 |
5.37 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
13 |
19 |
26 |
27 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.0 |
9.87 |
1.08 |
5.45 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
24 |
33 |
1 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.46 |
1.07 |
8.29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
65 |
32 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.5 |
5.76 |
1.07 |
8.68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
67 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.17 |
1.03 |
9.99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 16:19 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 17:27 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 18:35 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 19:43 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 20:52 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:00 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:08 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:16 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 01:24 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 02:32 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 03:41 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:49 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:57 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:05 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:13 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 09:22 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:30 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 11:38 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:46 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:54 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:02 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:11 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 17:19 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 18:27 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 19:35 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 20:43 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:52 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:00 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:08 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |