For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
57.431% |
24.366% |
|
81.797% |
|
10.508% |
4.521% |
1.990% |
0.872% |
0.312% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
23.904% |
22.361% |
|
46.265% |
|
21.884% |
15.103% |
8.942% |
5.508% |
2.296% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.295% |
25.235% |
|
34.530% |
|
25.901% |
18.250% |
11.213% |
7.111% |
2.995% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.071% |
13.933% |
|
18.004% |
|
18.513% |
23.231% |
22.827% |
12.323% |
5.101% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.132% |
8.249% |
|
11.381% |
|
13.446% |
21.868% |
25.658% |
16.897% |
10.739% |
0.011% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.606% |
4.201% |
|
5.807% |
|
6.626% |
10.772% |
17.329% |
34.465% |
24.993% |
0.008% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.561% |
1.655% |
|
2.216% |
|
3.122% |
6.255% |
12.041% |
22.822% |
53.453% |
0.090% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.087% |
64.710% |
35.201% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.024% |
35.178% |
64.781% |
0.017% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.017% |
99.983% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.968% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.617% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.881% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.760% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.993% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.924% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.996% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.854% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.422% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.192% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.498% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.822% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.295% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.414% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.346% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.645% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.378% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.454% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.554% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.123% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Combusken 1.1.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
44.982% |
28.589% |
|
73.571% |
|
16.828% |
6.959% |
2.140% |
0.467% |
0.035% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
41.742% |
37.168% |
|
78.910% |
|
13.622% |
4.836% |
1.791% |
0.636% |
0.205% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
7.244% |
16.949% |
|
24.193% |
|
33.146% |
22.340% |
12.113% |
6.294% |
1.913% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.553% |
9.613% |
|
13.166% |
|
18.202% |
29.296% |
25.399% |
10.308% |
3.628% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.023% |
5.853% |
|
7.876% |
|
13.231% |
24.465% |
30.455% |
17.123% |
6.839% |
0.011% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.390% |
1.362% |
|
1.752% |
|
3.209% |
7.013% |
15.187% |
29.514% |
43.234% |
0.090% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.066% |
0.466% |
|
0.532% |
|
1.762% |
5.091% |
12.915% |
35.655% |
44.009% |
0.036% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.101% |
64.155% |
35.739% |
0.002% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.036% |
35.706% |
64.239% |
0.019% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.021% |
99.979% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
33.991% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.283% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.843% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.198% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.755% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.629% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.609% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.263% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.812% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.608% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
54.274% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.352% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.384% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.097% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
4.815% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.871% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.411% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.896% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
0.890% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.631% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Combusken 1.1.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
60.924% |
21.460% |
|
82.384% |
|
9.916% |
4.414% |
2.061% |
0.890% |
0.335% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.467% |
21.910% |
|
41.377% |
|
23.946% |
17.090% |
9.810% |
5.576% |
2.201% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.622% |
27.148% |
|
36.770% |
|
24.833% |
17.150% |
10.860% |
7.289% |
3.098% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.290% |
15.102% |
|
19.392% |
|
18.154% |
21.796% |
22.663% |
12.660% |
5.334% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.592% |
8.512% |
|
12.104% |
|
13.276% |
21.781% |
24.593% |
16.599% |
11.641% |
0.006% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.453% |
4.160% |
|
5.613% |
|
6.769% |
11.490% |
18.854% |
35.788% |
21.485% |
0.001% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.652% |
1.708% |
|
2.360% |
|
3.106% |
6.279% |
11.159% |
21.196% |
55.812% |
0.088% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.068% |
64.949% |
34.982% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.026% |
34.955% |
65.003% |
0.015% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
99.985% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.308% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.265% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.249% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.998% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.580% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.963% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.986% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.811% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.932% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.781% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
28.514% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.294% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.773% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.137% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.895% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.338% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.154% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.194% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.666% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.328% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Combusken 1.1.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
67.890% |
16.653% |
|
84.543% |
|
7.751% |
4.066% |
2.124% |
1.117% |
0.399% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.556% |
29.393% |
|
38.949% |
|
22.474% |
16.157% |
10.596% |
8.020% |
3.803% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
7.540% |
16.288% |
|
23.828% |
|
18.775% |
18.233% |
17.943% |
16.195% |
5.026% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.198% |
15.248% |
|
19.446% |
|
19.719% |
19.959% |
18.562% |
15.670% |
6.642% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
6.031% |
11.243% |
|
17.274% |
|
13.806% |
17.757% |
21.222% |
20.474% |
9.456% |
0.011% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
4.108% |
9.461% |
|
13.569% |
|
14.696% |
18.384% |
19.812% |
18.066% |
15.468% |
0.005% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.677% |
1.714% |
|
2.391% |
|
2.779% |
5.444% |
9.741% |
20.451% |
59.094% |
0.100% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.089% |
64.657% |
35.246% |
0.001% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.023% |
35.224% |
64.739% |
0.014% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
99.985% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
26.676% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
13.113% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.969% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.437% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.670% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.003% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.992% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.617% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.470% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.174% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.679% |
2. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.105% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
15.143% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.054% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
9.140% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.554% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.167% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.863% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.814% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.422% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
12.02 |
1.12 |
2.20 |
46 |
21 |
14 |
9 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.0 |
11.28 |
1.12 |
3.26 |
20 |
21 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.5 |
11.19 |
1.05 |
3.36 |
16 |
21 |
20 |
17 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.01 |
1.13 |
3.74 |
11 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
14 |
11 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.51 |
1.02 |
4.55 |
4 |
10 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
19 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.5 |
9.94 |
1.10 |
5.43 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
18 |
26 |
29 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.0 |
9.87 |
1.08 |
5.50 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
16 |
24 |
35 |
1 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.46 |
1.08 |
8.30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
65 |
32 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.5 |
5.78 |
1.07 |
8.67 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
67 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
1.93 |
0.93 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 17:19 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 18:27 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 19:35 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 20:43 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 21:51 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 22:59 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:07 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 01:15 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 02:23 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 03:32 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:40 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:48 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:56 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:04 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 09:12 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:20 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 11:28 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:36 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:44 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:52 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:00 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 17:08 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 18:16 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 19:24 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 20:32 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:40 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:48 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:57 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |