For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
60.723% |
21.682% |
|
82.405% |
|
9.768% |
4.482% |
2.049% |
0.927% |
0.369% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.726% |
21.708% |
|
41.434% |
|
24.157% |
16.874% |
9.669% |
5.566% |
2.300% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.572% |
27.065% |
|
36.637% |
|
24.441% |
17.296% |
11.081% |
7.418% |
3.127% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.355% |
15.016% |
|
19.371% |
|
18.215% |
21.749% |
22.437% |
12.837% |
5.391% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.518% |
8.679% |
|
12.197% |
|
13.424% |
21.579% |
24.479% |
16.449% |
11.864% |
0.008% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.477% |
4.150% |
|
5.627% |
|
6.851% |
11.818% |
18.892% |
35.624% |
21.186% |
0.002% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.629% |
1.700% |
|
2.329% |
|
3.144% |
6.202% |
11.393% |
21.176% |
55.660% |
0.095% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.077% |
64.775% |
35.145% |
0.001% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.026% |
35.119% |
64.847% |
0.007% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
99.992% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.243% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.290% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.193% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.941% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.605% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.868% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.085% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.793% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.967% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.892% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
28.483% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.328% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.758% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.230% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.835% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.319% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.159% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.228% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.604% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.287% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – chess22k 1.14 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.198% |
22.351% |
|
84.549% |
|
9.465% |
3.686% |
1.410% |
0.664% |
0.226% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
23.000% |
25.351% |
|
48.351% |
|
23.565% |
14.126% |
7.909% |
4.267% |
1.782% |
|
|
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.198% |
21.198% |
|
26.396% |
|
19.373% |
21.275% |
16.738% |
11.040% |
5.172% |
0.006% |
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
4.751% |
13.168% |
|
17.919% |
|
17.806% |
19.862% |
19.898% |
13.912% |
10.590% |
0.013% |
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
2.359% |
10.785% |
|
13.144% |
|
17.071% |
20.133% |
19.493% |
19.113% |
11.041% |
0.005% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.773% |
5.048% |
|
6.821% |
|
8.628% |
14.015% |
22.399% |
29.404% |
18.728% |
0.005% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.721% |
2.099% |
|
2.820% |
|
4.092% |
6.903% |
12.152% |
21.598% |
52.194% |
0.236% |
0.005% |
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.188% |
62.311% |
37.501% |
|
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.079% |
37.424% |
62.493% |
0.001% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
99.999% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
19.515% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
19.456% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.529% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
9.337% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.092% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.549% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.047% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.190% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.129% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.000% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
35.985% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
21.515% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
11.466% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.876% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
4.881% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.090% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.110% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.023% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.625% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.617% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – chess22k 1.14 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
61.820% |
21.555% |
|
83.375% |
|
9.479% |
4.115% |
1.924% |
0.810% |
0.297% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
20.995% |
22.483% |
|
43.478% |
|
24.052% |
15.880% |
9.189% |
5.278% |
2.123% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.462% |
24.193% |
|
30.655% |
|
25.340% |
19.367% |
12.710% |
8.532% |
3.396% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.541% |
16.033% |
|
20.574% |
|
17.450% |
21.300% |
22.239% |
13.091% |
5.344% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.974% |
9.514% |
|
13.488% |
|
13.580% |
21.399% |
24.237% |
16.013% |
11.270% |
0.013% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.552% |
4.464% |
|
6.016% |
|
7.053% |
11.913% |
18.859% |
35.646% |
20.510% |
0.003% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.656% |
1.758% |
|
2.414% |
|
3.046% |
6.026% |
10.842% |
20.625% |
56.954% |
0.092% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.082% |
60.447% |
39.466% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.024% |
39.443% |
60.528% |
0.005% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
99.995% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.666% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.468% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.406% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.180% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.395% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.097% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.859% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.122% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.881% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.813% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
30.874% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
23.332% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
15.965% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
8.208% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.605% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.678% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.621% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.501% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.375% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.263% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – chess22k 1.14 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
57.233% |
21.968% |
|
79.201% |
|
11.185% |
5.651% |
2.486% |
1.084% |
0.393% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
18.787% |
38.051% |
|
56.838% |
|
24.603% |
11.211% |
5.022% |
1.946% |
0.380% |
|
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
16.622% |
18.992% |
|
35.614% |
|
23.853% |
20.479% |
11.480% |
6.174% |
2.397% |
0.003% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
3.256% |
10.401% |
|
13.657% |
|
19.458% |
23.913% |
24.855% |
12.854% |
5.262% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.570% |
6.048% |
|
8.618% |
|
12.417% |
23.013% |
26.371% |
17.604% |
11.962% |
0.015% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.066% |
3.218% |
|
4.284% |
|
5.924% |
10.159% |
18.342% |
38.965% |
22.325% |
0.001% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.466% |
1.322% |
|
1.788% |
|
2.560% |
5.574% |
11.444% |
21.370% |
57.182% |
0.082% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.098% |
80.715% |
19.183% |
0.001% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
19.182% |
80.781% |
0.036% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.036% |
99.963% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.215% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.861% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.599% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.689% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.986% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.837% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.174% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.775% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.246% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.913% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.052% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.460% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.761% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.092% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.421% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.719% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.304% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.947% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.836% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.432% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
12.02 |
1.12 |
2.16 |
49 |
20 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.5 |
11.21 |
1.05 |
3.30 |
17 |
21 |
20 |
16 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
11.12 |
1.00 |
3.46 |
15 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
14 |
10 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.01 |
1.13 |
3.72 |
11 |
20 |
19 |
16 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.49 |
1.02 |
4.57 |
5 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
20 |
18 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.02 |
0.96 |
5.38 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
18 |
25 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.5 |
9.96 |
1.10 |
5.44 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
17 |
24 |
31 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.48 |
1.08 |
8.30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
65 |
32 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.5 |
5.78 |
1.07 |
8.67 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
67 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
1.91 |
0.92 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 18:16 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 19:24 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 20:32 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 21:40 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 22:48 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 23:56 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 01:04 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 02:12 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 03:20 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:27 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:35 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:43 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:51 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:59 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:07 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 11:15 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:23 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:31 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:38 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:46 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:54 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 18:02 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 19:10 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 20:18 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:26 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:34 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:42 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |