For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
61.634% |
21.790% |
|
83.424% |
|
9.445% |
4.155% |
1.811% |
0.888% |
0.277% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
21.086% |
22.319% |
|
43.405% |
|
23.966% |
16.089% |
9.175% |
5.359% |
2.006% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.486% |
24.121% |
|
30.607% |
|
25.403% |
19.557% |
12.543% |
8.370% |
3.520% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.623% |
16.196% |
|
20.819% |
|
17.402% |
21.082% |
22.027% |
13.169% |
5.499% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.918% |
9.372% |
|
13.290% |
|
13.574% |
21.084% |
24.499% |
16.140% |
11.404% |
0.009% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.584% |
4.489% |
|
6.073% |
|
7.130% |
11.894% |
19.026% |
35.248% |
20.627% |
0.002% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.669% |
1.713% |
|
2.382% |
|
3.080% |
6.139% |
10.918% |
20.824% |
56.568% |
0.088% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
0.077% |
60.602% |
39.316% |
0.002% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.022% |
39.296% |
60.677% |
0.005% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.006% |
99.993% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.438% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.454% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.427% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.339% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.326% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.113% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.833% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.103% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.875% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.855% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
30.881% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
23.144% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
16.214% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
8.165% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.650% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.703% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.570% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.495% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.317% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.298% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Counter 3.5dev 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
33.542% |
26.491% |
|
60.033% |
|
16.944% |
10.334% |
6.459% |
4.053% |
2.177% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
30.701% |
22.392% |
|
53.093% |
|
17.529% |
12.199% |
8.312% |
5.379% |
3.488% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.574% |
17.664% |
|
31.238% |
|
22.241% |
17.881% |
13.263% |
9.106% |
6.271% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
9.494% |
13.005% |
|
22.499% |
|
15.695% |
19.149% |
18.684% |
14.080% |
9.893% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.601% |
8.751% |
|
14.352% |
|
11.854% |
16.137% |
19.797% |
21.180% |
16.673% |
0.007% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.207% |
6.897% |
|
11.104% |
|
9.027% |
13.247% |
18.288% |
22.240% |
26.088% |
0.006% |
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.881% |
4.800% |
|
7.681% |
|
6.710% |
11.053% |
15.197% |
23.962% |
35.394% |
0.003% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
59.418% |
40.567% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
40.566% |
59.429% |
0.004% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
99.996% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.844% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.483% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.931% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.205% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.157% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.305% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.519% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.377% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.244% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.974% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.049% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.662% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.500% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.676% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.140% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.949% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.402% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.034% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.767% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.561% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Counter 3.5dev 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
61.624% |
22.757% |
|
84.381% |
|
9.698% |
3.886% |
1.439% |
0.523% |
0.073% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
21.515% |
21.735% |
|
43.250% |
|
24.246% |
15.913% |
9.221% |
5.236% |
2.133% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.368% |
24.409% |
|
30.777% |
|
25.249% |
19.545% |
12.457% |
8.474% |
3.498% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.434% |
15.801% |
|
20.235% |
|
17.407% |
21.538% |
22.511% |
12.924% |
5.382% |
0.003% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
4.208% |
9.535% |
|
13.743% |
|
13.611% |
21.069% |
24.073% |
15.635% |
11.862% |
0.007% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.584% |
4.507% |
|
6.091% |
|
7.019% |
12.239% |
19.083% |
34.787% |
20.780% |
0.001% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.267% |
1.256% |
|
1.523% |
|
2.770% |
5.810% |
11.216% |
22.416% |
56.207% |
0.058% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.049% |
60.229% |
39.717% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
39.701% |
60.280% |
0.003% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
99.997% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
22.049% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.200% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.910% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.196% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.350% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.157% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.844% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.274% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.035% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.954% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
31.110% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
23.869% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
16.150% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
8.385% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.498% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.840% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.730% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.268% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.335% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.137% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Counter 3.5dev 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
83.648% |
12.102% |
|
95.750% |
|
3.031% |
0.890% |
0.270% |
0.058% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
10.782% |
25.944% |
|
36.726% |
|
28.888% |
18.251% |
9.738% |
5.307% |
1.089% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
2.020% |
28.249% |
|
30.269% |
|
26.824% |
20.226% |
12.780% |
8.098% |
1.803% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.425% |
18.908% |
|
20.333% |
|
18.164% |
21.978% |
23.864% |
13.098% |
2.561% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.600% |
10.399% |
|
11.999% |
|
15.082% |
24.457% |
27.996% |
14.556% |
5.900% |
0.010% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.525% |
4.227% |
|
4.752% |
|
7.452% |
12.558% |
20.881% |
45.865% |
8.491% |
0.001% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
|
0.171% |
|
0.171% |
|
0.559% |
1.640% |
4.471% |
13.011% |
79.817% |
0.325% |
0.006% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.245% |
61.060% |
38.688% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.093% |
38.601% |
61.304% |
0.002% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
99.998% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.475% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
24.118% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
18.513% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
9.483% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.135% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.888% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.969% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.887% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.848% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
0.723% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
33.253% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.362% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
19.361% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
10.452% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.151% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.357% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.175% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.578% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
0.363% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.247% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
12.02 |
1.12 |
2.12 |
51 |
20 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
11.14 |
1.00 |
3.35 |
16 |
21 |
19 |
17 |
13 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
11.01 |
1.13 |
3.66 |
12 |
21 |
18 |
15 |
13 |
11 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.0 |
10.96 |
0.95 |
3.66 |
11 |
18 |
20 |
18 |
15 |
11 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.51 |
1.02 |
4.50 |
5 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.03 |
0.97 |
5.34 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
18 |
25 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.5 |
9.94 |
1.10 |
5.42 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
17 |
24 |
31 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.46 |
1.07 |
8.36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
60 |
38 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
6.03 |
0.97 |
8.61 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
38 |
61 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
1.91 |
0.92 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 19:07 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 20:15 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 21:22 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 22:30 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 23:38 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 00:45 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 01:53 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 03:00 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:08 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:16 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:23 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:31 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:39 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:46 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:54 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:01 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:09 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:17 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:24 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:32 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:39 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:47 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:55 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:02 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:10 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:18 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |