For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
33.713% |
26.726% |
|
60.439% |
|
16.867% |
10.182% |
6.446% |
3.954% |
2.112% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
30.553% |
22.408% |
|
52.961% |
|
17.653% |
12.300% |
8.546% |
5.249% |
3.290% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.491% |
17.824% |
|
31.315% |
|
22.177% |
18.105% |
13.088% |
9.140% |
6.175% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
9.587% |
12.883% |
|
22.470% |
|
15.709% |
19.063% |
18.777% |
14.041% |
9.936% |
0.004% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.632% |
8.562% |
|
14.194% |
|
11.649% |
16.042% |
20.082% |
21.666% |
16.360% |
0.007% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.169% |
6.883% |
|
11.052% |
|
9.074% |
13.377% |
18.343% |
22.000% |
26.154% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.855% |
4.714% |
|
7.569% |
|
6.871% |
10.931% |
14.718% |
23.948% |
35.958% |
0.005% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.011% |
59.790% |
40.193% |
0.004% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
40.193% |
59.794% |
0.009% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.013% |
99.987% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.029% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.642% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.946% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.169% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.154% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.379% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.511% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.235% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.205% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.952% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.198% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.861% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
10.467% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.665% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.033% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.933% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.360% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.065% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.744% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.513% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – FabChess 1.14.2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.963% |
27.962% |
|
62.925% |
|
16.785% |
9.576% |
6.239% |
3.421% |
1.054% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
34.847% |
23.529% |
|
58.376% |
|
16.352% |
10.696% |
7.450% |
4.555% |
2.563% |
0.008% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
14.542% |
19.900% |
|
34.442% |
|
25.004% |
17.514% |
12.302% |
7.390% |
3.348% |
|
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
6.012% |
10.051% |
|
16.063% |
|
13.364% |
18.655% |
21.400% |
16.805% |
13.662% |
0.051% |
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.820% |
8.526% |
|
13.346% |
|
11.272% |
15.301% |
16.701% |
19.949% |
23.404% |
0.027% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.329% |
4.201% |
|
5.530% |
|
8.975% |
15.630% |
19.106% |
24.307% |
26.419% |
0.033% |
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.487% |
5.831% |
|
9.318% |
|
8.248% |
12.627% |
16.802% |
23.559% |
29.432% |
0.014% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.013% |
0.115% |
84.845% |
15.026% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.003% |
15.022% |
84.972% |
0.002% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
99.998% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.554% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.618% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.622% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.489% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.223% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
4.161% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.799% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.799% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.300% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.862% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
30.176% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.269% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.712% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
7.461% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.275% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.046% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.784% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.232% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.169% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.990% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – FabChess 1.14.2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.552% |
26.858% |
|
61.410% |
|
16.664% |
9.917% |
6.195% |
3.760% |
2.054% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
32.190% |
22.274% |
|
54.464% |
|
17.606% |
11.452% |
8.055% |
5.203% |
3.220% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
14.130% |
18.833% |
|
32.963% |
|
22.400% |
17.485% |
12.366% |
8.617% |
6.169% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.977% |
11.017% |
|
16.994% |
|
15.239% |
19.958% |
21.350% |
15.672% |
10.786% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.642% |
8.937% |
|
14.579% |
|
12.033% |
16.631% |
19.265% |
21.050% |
16.436% |
0.006% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.352% |
7.126% |
|
11.478% |
|
8.918% |
13.132% |
17.876% |
22.395% |
26.198% |
0.003% |
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.157% |
4.955% |
|
8.112% |
|
7.140% |
11.425% |
14.893% |
23.303% |
35.126% |
0.001% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
63.536% |
36.455% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
36.453% |
63.542% |
0.003% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
99.997% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.840% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.526% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.832% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.798% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.720% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.880% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.496% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.389% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.231% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.910% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
26.672% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.894% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.600% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.302% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.406% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.574% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.289% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.142% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.047% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.749% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – FabChess 1.14.2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
30.502% |
24.889% |
|
55.391% |
|
17.970% |
11.271% |
7.541% |
4.935% |
2.892% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
25.035% |
22.564% |
|
47.599% |
|
18.665% |
14.198% |
9.608% |
6.176% |
3.754% |
|
|
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
21.870% |
20.890% |
|
42.760% |
|
19.991% |
17.689% |
10.954% |
6.017% |
2.589% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.988% |
14.994% |
|
26.982% |
|
18.924% |
19.634% |
15.316% |
11.365% |
7.779% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.044% |
7.367% |
|
12.411% |
|
10.367% |
13.953% |
21.546% |
23.734% |
17.988% |
0.001% |
|
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.249% |
5.448% |
|
8.697% |
|
8.421% |
13.857% |
20.138% |
22.391% |
26.493% |
0.003% |
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.312% |
3.848% |
|
6.160% |
|
5.662% |
9.398% |
14.897% |
25.382% |
38.500% |
0.001% |
|
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
60.327% |
39.666% |
0.003% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
39.668% |
60.322% |
0.009% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.012% |
99.988% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.182% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.627% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.901% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.493% |
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.987% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.740% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.520% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.837% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.800% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.729% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.702% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
18.614% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.630% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.929% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.540% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.364% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
4.567% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.559% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.829% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.526% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
11.37 |
1.00 |
2.94 |
29 |
20 |
16 |
13 |
10 |
7 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
11.14 |
1.00 |
3.34 |
22 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.0 |
10.99 |
0.95 |
3.62 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.5 |
10.97 |
1.14 |
3.72 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
7.5 |
10.58 |
0.97 |
4.43 |
6 |
11 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.53 |
1.02 |
4.55 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.07 |
0.97 |
5.41 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
22 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.0 |
6.43 |
1.07 |
8.38 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
60 |
39 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
6.03 |
0.97 |
8.61 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
39 |
61 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
1.89 |
0.92 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 20:11 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 21:19 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 22:26 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 23:34 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 00:42 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 01:49 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 02:57 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:04 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:12 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:19 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:27 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:35 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:42 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:50 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 11:57 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:05 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:12 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:20 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:28 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:35 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:43 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:50 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 20:58 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:05 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:13 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |