For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.799% |
26.644% |
|
61.443% |
|
16.770% |
9.780% |
6.206% |
3.714% |
2.087% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
32.064% |
22.490% |
|
54.554% |
|
17.412% |
11.468% |
8.190% |
5.192% |
3.184% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
14.025% |
18.508% |
|
32.533% |
|
22.833% |
17.294% |
12.573% |
8.614% |
6.153% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
6.095% |
11.010% |
|
17.105% |
|
14.981% |
20.112% |
21.276% |
15.902% |
10.624% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.795% |
9.133% |
|
14.928% |
|
12.187% |
16.879% |
18.951% |
20.808% |
16.243% |
0.004% |
|
|
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.192% |
7.315% |
|
11.507% |
|
8.897% |
13.139% |
17.741% |
22.276% |
26.435% |
0.005% |
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.030% |
4.900% |
|
7.930% |
|
6.920% |
11.328% |
15.063% |
23.493% |
35.265% |
0.001% |
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.008% |
63.567% |
36.424% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
36.423% |
63.570% |
0.006% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
99.994% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.900% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.392% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.005% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.821% |
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.663% |
| 6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.796% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.521% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.473% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.164% |
| 10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.921% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
26.905% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.635% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.459% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.352% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.442% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.730% |
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.262% |
| 8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.128% |
| 9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.999% |
| 10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.778% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.398% |
27.275% |
|
61.673% |
|
16.966% |
9.889% |
5.958% |
3.590% |
1.924% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
32.930% |
22.663% |
|
55.593% |
|
17.144% |
11.334% |
7.777% |
5.044% |
3.108% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.418% |
17.849% |
|
31.267% |
|
22.886% |
17.622% |
12.921% |
8.923% |
6.381% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
6.039% |
11.101% |
|
17.140% |
|
15.078% |
19.908% |
21.550% |
15.657% |
10.667% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
6.062% |
9.358% |
|
15.420% |
|
12.220% |
17.133% |
19.137% |
20.961% |
15.129% |
|
|
|
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.363% |
7.134% |
|
11.497% |
|
9.064% |
13.019% |
17.896% |
22.141% |
26.383% |
|
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.790% |
4.620% |
|
7.410% |
|
6.642% |
11.095% |
14.761% |
23.684% |
36.408% |
|
|
|
| 8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61.568% |
38.398% |
0.034% |
| 9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38.432% |
61.567% |
0.001% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.035% |
99.965% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.492% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.940% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.168% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.889% |
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.459% |
| 6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.817% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.685% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.431% |
| 9. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.189% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.175% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
27.660% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.177% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.144% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.441% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
7.006% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.723% |
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.240% |
| 8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.190% |
| 9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.118% |
| 10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.609% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.338% |
27.199% |
|
61.537% |
|
16.545% |
9.895% |
6.141% |
3.785% |
2.097% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
32.790% |
22.162% |
|
54.952% |
|
17.218% |
11.475% |
8.073% |
5.149% |
3.133% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.718% |
18.211% |
|
31.929% |
|
22.962% |
17.581% |
12.650% |
8.719% |
6.159% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.867% |
10.966% |
|
16.833% |
|
15.039% |
20.158% |
21.553% |
15.605% |
10.812% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.757% |
9.253% |
|
15.010% |
|
12.318% |
16.403% |
19.118% |
21.077% |
16.073% |
0.001% |
|
|
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.427% |
7.183% |
|
11.610% |
|
8.832% |
13.310% |
17.895% |
22.230% |
26.123% |
|
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.103% |
5.026% |
|
8.129% |
|
7.086% |
11.178% |
14.570% |
23.435% |
35.602% |
|
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
61.583% |
38.416% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38.416% |
61.583% |
0.001% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
99.999% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.285% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.140% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.756% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.836% |
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.601% |
| 6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.796% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.656% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.543% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.237% |
| 10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.924% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
27.041% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.405% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.397% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.326% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.580% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.741% |
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.323% |
| 8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.121% |
| 9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.109% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.704% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.852% |
26.750% |
|
61.602% |
|
16.504% |
9.925% |
6.111% |
3.789% |
2.069% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
31.602% |
22.376% |
|
53.978% |
|
17.291% |
11.617% |
8.264% |
5.422% |
3.425% |
0.003% |
|
|
| 3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
14.270% |
18.717% |
|
32.987% |
|
22.951% |
17.181% |
12.367% |
8.474% |
6.040% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.966% |
11.096% |
|
17.062% |
|
14.814% |
20.305% |
21.015% |
15.871% |
10.933% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.499% |
8.826% |
|
14.325% |
|
11.921% |
16.396% |
19.285% |
20.979% |
17.069% |
0.025% |
|
|
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.474% |
7.141% |
|
11.615% |
|
9.223% |
13.235% |
17.768% |
21.992% |
26.159% |
0.008% |
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.337% |
5.094% |
|
8.431% |
|
7.296% |
11.341% |
15.190% |
23.471% |
34.265% |
0.006% |
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.037% |
81.790% |
18.171% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
18.168% |
81.829% |
|
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.558% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.625% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.872% |
| 4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.786% |
| 5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.775% |
| 6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.719% |
| 7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.435% |
| 8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.327% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.222% |
| 10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.848% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
26.430% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.980% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.505% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.403% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.175% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.563% |
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.413% |
| 8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.084% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.027% |
| 10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.833% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
| 1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
11.37 |
1.00 |
2.88 |
31 |
20 |
15 |
12 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
11.14 |
1.00 |
3.30 |
23 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| 3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.0 |
11.00 |
0.95 |
3.55 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| 4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.76 |
1.02 |
4.07 |
11 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| 5 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
7.5 |
10.59 |
0.97 |
4.36 |
7 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| 6 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.53 |
1.02 |
4.49 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
16 |
17 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| 7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.07 |
0.97 |
5.37 |
3 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
21 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| 8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
4.5 |
6.63 |
0.96 |
8.32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
66 |
33 |
| 9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
6.03 |
0.97 |
8.67 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
67 |
| 10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
1.86 |
0.91 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-05-06 21:20 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
| 2020-05-06 22:28 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-06 23:36 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 00:43 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 01:51 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 02:58 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
| 2020-05-07 04:06 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
| 2020-05-07 05:13 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
| 2020-05-07 06:21 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 07:29 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
| 2020-05-07 08:36 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-07 09:44 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 10:51 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 11:59 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
| 2020-05-07 13:07 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 14:14 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
| 2020-05-07 15:22 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
| 2020-05-07 16:29 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 17:37 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
| 2020-05-07 18:45 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-07 19:52 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 21:00 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 22:07 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
| 2020-05-07 23:15 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |