For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.671% |
26.785% |
|
61.456% |
|
16.858% |
9.799% |
6.083% |
3.744% |
2.060% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
32.402% |
22.600% |
|
55.002% |
|
17.012% |
11.549% |
8.175% |
5.156% |
3.106% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.707% |
18.287% |
|
31.994% |
|
22.494% |
17.491% |
12.720% |
8.910% |
6.391% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
5.977% |
10.939% |
|
16.916% |
|
15.239% |
20.059% |
21.345% |
15.719% |
10.722% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.847% |
9.453% |
|
15.300% |
|
12.342% |
16.610% |
18.941% |
20.832% |
15.973% |
0.002% |
|
|
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
4.370% |
7.125% |
|
11.495% |
|
9.080% |
13.132% |
17.949% |
22.046% |
26.297% |
0.001% |
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.026% |
4.811% |
|
7.837% |
|
6.975% |
11.360% |
14.787% |
23.593% |
35.446% |
0.002% |
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
61.300% |
38.697% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
38.695% |
61.302% |
0.001% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
99.999% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.978% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.182% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.109% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.793% |
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.602% |
| 6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.795% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.774% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.596% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.202% |
| 10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.004% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
27.087% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.378% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.397% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.289% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.778% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.842% |
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.290% |
| 8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.100% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.084% |
| 10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.703% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Asymptote 0.8 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
34.193% |
25.865% |
|
60.058% |
|
17.582% |
10.511% |
6.489% |
3.422% |
1.938% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
26.227% |
22.348% |
|
48.575% |
|
18.936% |
15.148% |
9.357% |
5.650% |
2.334% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
18.552% |
22.360% |
|
40.912% |
|
23.087% |
20.871% |
10.761% |
3.874% |
0.495% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.110% |
16.494% |
|
29.604% |
|
20.537% |
20.425% |
14.591% |
9.693% |
5.150% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.251% |
8.174% |
|
13.425% |
|
12.184% |
16.970% |
27.367% |
16.874% |
13.179% |
0.001% |
|
|
| 6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.474% |
4.105% |
|
6.579% |
|
5.603% |
10.528% |
18.370% |
36.504% |
22.415% |
0.001% |
|
|
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.193% |
0.654% |
|
0.847% |
|
2.071% |
5.547% |
13.065% |
23.983% |
54.482% |
0.005% |
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
61.655% |
38.341% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
38.338% |
61.656% |
0.003% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
99.997% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.595% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.983% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.451% |
| 4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.712% |
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.385% |
| 6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.259% |
| 7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.188% |
| 8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.130% |
| 9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.073% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.062% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.783% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
19.242% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.401% |
| 4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.523% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.447% |
| 6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.302% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
5.011% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.260% |
| 9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.182% |
| 10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2.173% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Asymptote 0.8 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
35.711% |
27.176% |
|
62.887% |
|
16.118% |
9.222% |
5.702% |
3.741% |
2.330% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
33.485% |
22.400% |
|
55.885% |
|
17.340% |
10.801% |
7.634% |
5.005% |
3.335% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
14.021% |
19.238% |
|
33.259% |
|
23.367% |
16.421% |
11.774% |
8.552% |
6.627% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.066% |
9.899% |
|
13.965% |
|
14.927% |
21.356% |
24.268% |
15.940% |
9.544% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.964% |
9.625% |
|
15.589% |
|
12.388% |
16.577% |
16.738% |
21.782% |
16.926% |
|
|
|
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.560% |
6.611% |
|
10.171% |
|
8.676% |
13.982% |
19.829% |
23.918% |
23.423% |
0.001% |
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.193% |
5.051% |
|
8.244% |
|
7.184% |
11.641% |
14.055% |
21.062% |
37.812% |
0.002% |
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
60.926% |
39.073% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
39.071% |
60.926% |
0.001% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
99.999% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.110% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.257% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.463% |
| 4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.873% |
| 5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.246% |
| 6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.981% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.904% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.762% |
| 9. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.120% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2.751% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
28.573% |
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.646% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.854% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.121% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
7.024% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.034% |
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.858% |
| 8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.432% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.065% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.937% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Asymptote 0.8 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
34.131% |
23.632% |
|
57.763% |
|
14.819% |
9.964% |
8.132% |
5.791% |
3.531% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
29.088% |
25.421% |
|
54.509% |
|
18.632% |
13.626% |
8.241% |
4.056% |
0.936% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
16.422% |
21.373% |
|
37.795% |
|
21.423% |
20.477% |
11.855% |
5.952% |
2.498% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.749% |
15.326% |
|
27.075% |
|
22.736% |
20.764% |
15.972% |
9.267% |
4.186% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.071% |
7.607% |
|
12.678% |
|
11.388% |
16.560% |
25.599% |
21.026% |
12.747% |
0.002% |
|
|
| 6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.452% |
1.633% |
|
2.085% |
|
4.056% |
8.952% |
16.114% |
32.703% |
36.090% |
|
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.087% |
5.008% |
|
8.095% |
|
6.946% |
9.657% |
14.087% |
21.205% |
40.009% |
0.001% |
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
60.388% |
39.610% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
39.609% |
60.388% |
0.002% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
99.998% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.559% |
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.788% |
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.595% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.444% |
| 5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.067% |
| 6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.212% |
| 7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.002% |
| 8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.215% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.186% |
| 10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.925% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.154% |
| 2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.003% |
| 3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.069% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.933% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.398% |
| 6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
5.827% |
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.148% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.155% |
| 9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.998% |
| 10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.191% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
| 1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
11.37 |
1.00 |
2.88 |
31 |
20 |
16 |
12 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
11.16 |
1.00 |
3.26 |
23 |
19 |
16 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| 3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.0 |
10.99 |
0.96 |
3.57 |
17 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| 4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.75 |
1.02 |
4.09 |
11 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| 5 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
7.5 |
10.59 |
0.97 |
4.38 |
6 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| 6 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.55 |
1.02 |
4.46 |
8 |
12 |
13 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
| 7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.07 |
0.97 |
5.36 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
21 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| 8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.48 |
0.84 |
8.36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63 |
37 |
| 9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
6.03 |
0.97 |
8.63 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
63 |
| 10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
2.02 |
0.78 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-05-06 22:19 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-06 23:27 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 00:34 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 01:41 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 02:49 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
| 2020-05-07 03:56 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
| 2020-05-07 05:04 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
| 2020-05-07 06:11 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 07:19 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
| 2020-05-07 08:26 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-07 09:34 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 10:41 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 11:49 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
| 2020-05-07 12:56 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 14:04 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
| 2020-05-07 15:11 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
| 2020-05-07 16:18 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 17:26 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
| 2020-05-07 18:33 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-07 19:41 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 20:48 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 21:56 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
| 2020-05-07 23:03 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |