For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
34.362% |
23.323% |
|
57.685% |
|
14.631% |
10.177% |
8.230% |
5.845% |
3.432% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
28.884% |
25.578% |
|
54.462% |
|
18.791% |
13.501% |
8.122% |
4.046% |
1.078% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
16.476% |
21.505% |
|
37.981% |
|
21.307% |
20.285% |
11.853% |
6.082% |
2.492% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.720% |
15.206% |
|
26.926% |
|
22.782% |
20.570% |
16.092% |
9.350% |
4.280% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
4.991% |
7.768% |
|
12.759% |
|
11.340% |
16.703% |
25.269% |
20.983% |
12.946% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.471% |
1.692% |
|
2.163% |
|
4.081% |
8.960% |
16.212% |
32.590% |
35.993% |
0.001% |
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.096% |
4.928% |
|
8.024% |
|
7.068% |
9.804% |
14.222% |
21.104% |
39.778% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60.692% |
39.308% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
39.307% |
60.690% |
0.002% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
99.998% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.625% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.877% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.483% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.343% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.206% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.228% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.005% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.221% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.087% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.983% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.108% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.964% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.211% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.811% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.449% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
5.839% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.074% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.138% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.926% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.152% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Bagatur 2.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
48.825% |
27.186% |
|
76.011% |
|
12.827% |
6.833% |
3.136% |
1.061% |
0.132% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
26.279% |
24.104% |
|
50.383% |
|
18.509% |
11.977% |
8.845% |
6.468% |
3.818% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
12.195% |
18.946% |
|
31.141% |
|
22.691% |
23.358% |
13.478% |
6.723% |
2.609% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.833% |
17.036% |
|
23.869% |
|
25.018% |
21.522% |
16.424% |
8.965% |
4.202% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.716% |
6.755% |
|
10.471% |
|
10.093% |
17.212% |
26.456% |
22.033% |
13.733% |
0.002% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.158% |
1.598% |
|
1.756% |
|
4.055% |
9.458% |
17.081% |
33.135% |
34.515% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.994% |
4.375% |
|
6.369% |
|
6.807% |
9.640% |
14.580% |
21.615% |
40.989% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
78.250% |
21.748% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.748% |
78.248% |
0.004% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
99.996% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
16.662% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.746% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.936% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.563% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.043% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.440% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.542% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.239% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.729% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.769% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.408% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.606% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.500% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.950% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.906% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.745% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.463% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.161% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.471% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.702% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Bagatur 2.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
38.218% |
23.224% |
|
61.442% |
|
12.993% |
9.115% |
7.732% |
5.467% |
3.251% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.640% |
24.942% |
|
44.582% |
|
22.151% |
16.521% |
10.196% |
5.360% |
1.190% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
18.053% |
22.326% |
|
40.379% |
|
20.417% |
19.185% |
11.380% |
6.061% |
2.578% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
14.011% |
14.569% |
|
28.580% |
|
21.695% |
20.419% |
16.057% |
9.320% |
3.929% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.834% |
8.104% |
|
13.938% |
|
11.789% |
16.068% |
25.196% |
20.258% |
12.751% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.578% |
1.519% |
|
2.097% |
|
3.887% |
8.581% |
15.409% |
32.604% |
37.420% |
0.002% |
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.666% |
5.316% |
|
8.982% |
|
7.068% |
10.111% |
14.030% |
20.930% |
38.878% |
0.001% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52.817% |
47.183% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
47.180% |
52.817% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.428% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
14.218% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.944% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.630% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.101% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.015% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.980% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.890% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.827% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.600% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.443% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
18.198% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.771% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.520% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.592% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
7.146% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.167% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.642% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.373% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
2.330% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Bagatur 2.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
40.056% |
25.439% |
|
65.495% |
|
13.534% |
8.277% |
6.166% |
3.875% |
2.653% |
|
|
|
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
20.081% |
24.987% |
|
45.068% |
|
24.292% |
15.782% |
8.777% |
4.071% |
2.010% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
20.566% |
18.861% |
|
39.427% |
|
16.919% |
16.584% |
14.651% |
8.851% |
3.568% |
|
|
|
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
6.361% |
13.161% |
|
19.522% |
|
18.211% |
22.154% |
20.143% |
14.303% |
5.667% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
7.539% |
8.985% |
|
16.524% |
|
14.284% |
18.042% |
22.551% |
17.528% |
11.071% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
4.327% |
6.167% |
|
10.494% |
|
8.432% |
10.718% |
13.312% |
20.578% |
36.458% |
0.008% |
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.070% |
2.400% |
|
3.470% |
|
4.328% |
8.443% |
14.400% |
30.794% |
38.539% |
0.026% |
|
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.033% |
72.684% |
27.283% |
|
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
27.282% |
72.717% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
18.000% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.728% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.174% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.906% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.799% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.867% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.807% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.363% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.957% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.889% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
22.363% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
19.902% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.756% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.949% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
8.696% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.869% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.602% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
3.413% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.784% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.603% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.5 |
11.37 |
1.00 |
2.90 |
31 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.21 |
0.83 |
3.05 |
18 |
25 |
21 |
16 |
11 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
11.16 |
1.01 |
3.29 |
23 |
18 |
15 |
15 |
13 |
10 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.0 |
10.98 |
0.95 |
3.61 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
12 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.58 |
1.02 |
4.46 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.13 |
0.90 |
5.35 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
18 |
24 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.09 |
0.97 |
5.35 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
12 |
16 |
22 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.45 |
0.84 |
8.37 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
38 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
6.03 |
0.97 |
8.62 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37 |
62 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
2.00 |
0.77 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 23:26 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 00:34 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 01:41 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 02:49 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 03:56 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:03 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:11 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:18 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:26 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:33 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:41 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 11:48 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 12:56 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:03 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:11 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:18 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:25 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:33 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:40 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 20:48 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 21:55 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:03 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |