For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
48.826% |
27.266% |
|
76.092% |
|
12.755% |
6.778% |
3.174% |
1.034% |
0.167% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
26.273% |
23.783% |
|
50.056% |
|
18.507% |
12.160% |
9.161% |
6.339% |
3.777% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
12.232% |
19.012% |
|
31.244% |
|
22.441% |
23.389% |
13.437% |
6.961% |
2.528% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.683% |
17.133% |
|
23.816% |
|
25.210% |
21.461% |
16.205% |
9.150% |
4.158% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.856% |
6.787% |
|
10.643% |
|
10.021% |
16.978% |
26.853% |
21.980% |
13.523% |
0.002% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.162% |
1.588% |
|
1.750% |
|
4.044% |
9.499% |
16.799% |
32.868% |
35.040% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.968% |
4.431% |
|
6.399% |
|
7.022% |
9.735% |
14.371% |
21.668% |
40.804% |
0.001% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
78.317% |
21.680% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.680% |
78.316% |
0.004% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
99.996% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
16.406% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.794% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.901% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.794% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.131% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.239% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.614% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.154% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.765% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.821% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.200% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.925% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.382% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.717% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.066% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.691% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.541% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.131% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.583% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.773% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – ChessFighter 3.3 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.395% |
20.905% |
|
77.300% |
|
11.228% |
6.398% |
3.424% |
1.456% |
0.194% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.473% |
38.313% |
|
57.786% |
|
27.182% |
9.461% |
3.891% |
1.394% |
0.286% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
14.102% |
20.026% |
|
34.128% |
|
19.923% |
20.293% |
14.558% |
8.078% |
3.020% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.908% |
9.480% |
|
14.388% |
|
19.501% |
19.292% |
18.857% |
16.187% |
11.775% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.085% |
5.762% |
|
8.847% |
|
10.453% |
20.943% |
26.537% |
19.968% |
13.251% |
0.001% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.097% |
0.809% |
|
0.906% |
|
4.305% |
13.912% |
16.744% |
31.578% |
32.555% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.940% |
4.705% |
|
6.645% |
|
7.408% |
9.701% |
15.989% |
21.339% |
38.917% |
0.001% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
78.678% |
21.320% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.320% |
78.676% |
0.004% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
99.996% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.866% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
13.228% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.805% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.421% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.678% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.545% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.037% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.969% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.854% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.711% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.287% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
23.033% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.399% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.529% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.091% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.692% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.581% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.828% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.540% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.497% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – ChessFighter 3.3 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
49.477% |
26.822% |
|
76.299% |
|
12.476% |
6.927% |
3.143% |
1.022% |
0.133% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
27.122% |
27.012% |
|
54.134% |
|
19.314% |
11.369% |
7.722% |
5.159% |
2.302% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
12.374% |
18.401% |
|
30.775% |
|
21.632% |
24.283% |
13.622% |
7.021% |
2.667% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
4.611% |
14.188% |
|
18.799% |
|
26.334% |
23.939% |
17.918% |
9.352% |
3.658% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
4.121% |
7.276% |
|
11.397% |
|
9.613% |
15.626% |
26.862% |
22.939% |
13.560% |
0.003% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.185% |
1.762% |
|
1.947% |
|
4.065% |
8.218% |
16.727% |
33.325% |
35.718% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.110% |
4.539% |
|
6.649% |
|
6.566% |
9.638% |
14.006% |
21.182% |
41.959% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
77.878% |
22.119% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.119% |
77.876% |
0.005% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
99.995% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
19.207% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.183% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.123% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.573% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.245% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.559% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.054% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.985% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.984% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.072% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
35.390% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.818% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.633% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.117% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.510% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.701% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.926% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.368% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.866% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.665% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – ChessFighter 3.3 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
59.729% |
25.296% |
|
85.025% |
|
9.849% |
3.344% |
1.216% |
0.449% |
0.117% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
28.807% |
42.801% |
|
71.608% |
|
18.000% |
7.242% |
2.438% |
0.615% |
0.097% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
7.376% |
18.903% |
|
26.279% |
|
35.287% |
21.409% |
10.314% |
4.944% |
1.767% |
|
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.653% |
6.509% |
|
9.162% |
|
13.271% |
23.004% |
23.771% |
18.544% |
12.245% |
0.003% |
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
0.128% |
1.619% |
|
1.747% |
|
10.964% |
22.920% |
26.629% |
21.771% |
15.969% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.068% |
3.214% |
|
4.282% |
|
8.353% |
11.759% |
17.532% |
24.207% |
33.867% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.239% |
1.658% |
|
1.897% |
|
4.276% |
10.322% |
18.100% |
29.470% |
35.935% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
77.903% |
22.094% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.094% |
77.902% |
0.004% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
99.996% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
38.352% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
19.625% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
13.223% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.283% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
4.801% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.753% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.816% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.951% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.861% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.433% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
57.977% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
16.039% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.036% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.662% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.726% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.730% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.479% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.335% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.118% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
0.669% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.67 |
0.90 |
2.42 |
40 |
22 |
15 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.22 |
0.83 |
3.12 |
15 |
25 |
22 |
17 |
12 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
11.14 |
1.00 |
3.41 |
20 |
18 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
11 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.0 |
10.98 |
0.95 |
3.69 |
14 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.56 |
1.02 |
4.55 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.14 |
0.90 |
5.38 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
18 |
25 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.08 |
0.97 |
5.43 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
23 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.46 |
0.84 |
8.28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
29 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.74 |
0.87 |
8.72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
71 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
2.01 |
0.77 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 00:30 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 01:38 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 02:45 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 03:52 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:00 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:07 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:15 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:22 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:29 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:37 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 11:44 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 12:52 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 13:59 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:06 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:14 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:21 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:29 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:36 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 20:43 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 21:51 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 22:58 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |