For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.768% |
21.068% |
|
77.836% |
|
10.762% |
6.254% |
3.525% |
1.434% |
0.189% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.307% |
38.443% |
|
57.750% |
|
27.198% |
9.397% |
3.967% |
1.409% |
0.279% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
13.747% |
19.818% |
|
33.565% |
|
20.258% |
20.306% |
14.557% |
8.384% |
2.930% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.035% |
9.542% |
|
14.577% |
|
19.533% |
19.301% |
18.811% |
15.879% |
11.898% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.111% |
5.660% |
|
8.771% |
|
10.435% |
21.021% |
26.212% |
20.015% |
13.543% |
0.003% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.106% |
0.903% |
|
1.009% |
|
4.240% |
13.955% |
16.994% |
31.415% |
32.387% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.926% |
4.566% |
|
6.492% |
|
7.574% |
9.766% |
15.934% |
21.464% |
38.770% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
78.645% |
21.351% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.351% |
78.643% |
0.006% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
99.994% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
34.051% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
13.199% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.669% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.518% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.546% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.454% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.072% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.946% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.863% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.741% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.569% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.868% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.195% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.417% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.413% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.758% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.559% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.825% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.511% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.490% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Monolith 2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.232% |
20.838% |
|
77.070% |
|
11.027% |
6.550% |
3.783% |
1.362% |
0.208% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
18.348% |
35.966% |
|
54.314% |
|
28.274% |
11.420% |
4.153% |
1.542% |
0.297% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
13.001% |
17.732% |
|
30.733% |
|
17.536% |
19.709% |
21.951% |
8.669% |
1.402% |
|
|
|
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
7.260% |
15.044% |
|
22.304% |
|
19.973% |
22.781% |
17.641% |
11.983% |
5.318% |
|
|
|
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.561% |
8.253% |
|
12.814% |
|
16.919% |
19.799% |
22.673% |
18.942% |
8.853% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.092% |
0.878% |
|
0.970% |
|
3.920% |
13.755% |
15.878% |
29.265% |
36.212% |
|
|
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.506% |
1.289% |
|
1.795% |
|
2.351% |
5.986% |
13.921% |
28.237% |
47.696% |
0.014% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.014% |
79.254% |
20.732% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.732% |
79.264% |
0.004% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
99.996% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.950% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.103% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
10.691% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.213% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.365% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.450% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.871% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.152% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.556% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.530% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
37.315% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.316% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.119% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.401% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.177% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.860% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.815% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.577% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.520% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.139% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Monolith 2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
57.446% |
20.818% |
|
78.264% |
|
10.920% |
6.081% |
3.034% |
1.474% |
0.227% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.632% |
39.443% |
|
59.075% |
|
26.967% |
8.563% |
3.751% |
1.371% |
0.273% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
14.207% |
20.913% |
|
35.120% |
|
20.356% |
20.653% |
12.244% |
8.230% |
3.397% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.097% |
9.603% |
|
14.700% |
|
20.407% |
18.951% |
17.487% |
15.461% |
12.994% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.424% |
5.191% |
|
7.615% |
|
10.729% |
22.779% |
29.744% |
20.206% |
8.927% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.098% |
0.917% |
|
1.015% |
|
4.444% |
14.539% |
16.671% |
30.016% |
33.315% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.096% |
3.115% |
|
4.211% |
|
6.177% |
8.434% |
17.069% |
23.242% |
40.867% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.820% |
21.180% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.180% |
78.815% |
0.005% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
99.995% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.246% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
14.038% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.983% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.579% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.753% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.931% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.984% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.910% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.770% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.587% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.825% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.021% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.841% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.608% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.571% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.095% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.060% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.558% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.548% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
1.067% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Monolith 2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
52.243% |
22.593% |
|
74.836% |
|
12.002% |
7.075% |
4.961% |
0.996% |
0.130% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.036% |
35.366% |
|
54.402% |
|
25.939% |
13.404% |
4.788% |
1.258% |
0.209% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
13.123% |
18.100% |
|
31.223% |
|
20.372% |
17.581% |
21.250% |
7.407% |
2.167% |
|
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
10.943% |
14.599% |
|
25.542% |
|
21.300% |
28.999% |
17.775% |
6.094% |
0.290% |
|
|
|
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.510% |
8.334% |
|
12.844% |
|
16.043% |
21.365% |
24.824% |
17.437% |
7.487% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.094% |
0.771% |
|
0.865% |
|
3.599% |
9.225% |
18.442% |
44.538% |
23.331% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.051% |
0.237% |
|
0.288% |
|
0.745% |
2.351% |
7.960% |
22.270% |
66.386% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.688% |
21.312% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.312% |
78.681% |
0.007% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
99.993% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.701% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.088% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.328% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.895% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.250% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.147% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.754% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.110% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.793% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.627% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
36.848% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.416% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
14.145% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.737% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.499% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.070% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
3.819% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.785% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.358% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.170% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.68 |
0.90 |
2.41 |
41 |
20 |
15 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
11.46 |
0.83 |
2.70 |
28 |
24 |
20 |
14 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.24 |
0.82 |
3.12 |
15 |
27 |
23 |
16 |
11 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
10.63 |
0.88 |
4.40 |
6 |
11 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
19 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.0 |
10.54 |
1.02 |
4.57 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.16 |
0.90 |
5.36 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
15 |
18 |
24 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.5 |
10.07 |
0.97 |
5.44 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
23 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.47 |
0.84 |
8.28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
28 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.74 |
0.87 |
8.72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
72 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
2.00 |
0.77 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 01:36 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 02:43 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 03:51 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 04:58 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:06 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:13 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:20 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:28 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:35 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 11:43 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 12:50 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 13:57 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:05 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:12 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:19 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:27 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:34 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 20:42 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 21:49 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 22:56 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |