For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
57.528% |
20.671% |
|
78.199% |
|
10.770% |
6.142% |
3.201% |
1.439% |
0.249% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.409% |
39.847% |
|
59.256% |
|
26.841% |
8.563% |
3.567% |
1.487% |
0.286% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
14.177% |
20.607% |
|
34.784% |
|
20.659% |
20.710% |
12.211% |
8.180% |
3.456% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.267% |
9.661% |
|
14.928% |
|
20.472% |
18.842% |
17.318% |
15.322% |
13.116% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.404% |
5.026% |
|
7.430% |
|
10.617% |
22.606% |
29.651% |
20.593% |
9.103% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.084% |
0.953% |
|
1.037% |
|
4.484% |
14.629% |
17.065% |
29.850% |
32.935% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.131% |
3.235% |
|
4.366% |
|
6.157% |
8.508% |
16.987% |
23.129% |
40.853% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
78.885% |
21.113% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.113% |
78.880% |
0.007% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
99.993% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.456% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
13.816% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.938% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.529% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.731% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.806% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.023% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.971% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.719% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.587% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.985% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
23.754% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.777% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.681% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.610% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.990% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.137% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.647% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.496% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.077% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.357% |
20.725% |
|
77.082% |
|
10.705% |
6.587% |
3.505% |
1.843% |
0.278% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.395% |
38.185% |
|
57.580% |
|
26.680% |
9.588% |
3.977% |
1.825% |
0.350% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
14.250% |
19.552% |
|
33.802% |
|
19.472% |
17.743% |
12.322% |
12.730% |
3.931% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.926% |
8.874% |
|
13.800% |
|
17.280% |
15.898% |
17.557% |
20.600% |
14.865% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.518% |
5.185% |
|
7.703% |
|
10.489% |
23.037% |
23.548% |
19.997% |
15.226% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.450% |
6.530% |
|
8.980% |
|
11.309% |
14.425% |
24.522% |
24.383% |
16.381% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.104% |
0.949% |
|
1.053% |
|
4.065% |
12.722% |
14.569% |
18.622% |
48.969% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.401% |
21.599% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.599% |
78.401% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.716% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
13.047% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.783% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.381% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.332% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.444% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.812% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.842% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.603% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.484% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.097% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.830% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.286% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.177% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.937% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.510% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.975% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.159% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.641% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.416% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
58.934% |
20.678% |
|
79.612% |
|
10.461% |
5.737% |
2.816% |
1.234% |
0.140% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.285% |
40.690% |
|
59.975% |
|
27.252% |
7.837% |
3.444% |
1.229% |
0.263% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
13.769% |
21.202% |
|
34.971% |
|
20.828% |
22.837% |
12.309% |
5.798% |
3.257% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.322% |
10.226% |
|
15.548% |
|
22.836% |
20.430% |
17.181% |
11.871% |
12.132% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.298% |
5.096% |
|
7.394% |
|
10.802% |
22.201% |
33.475% |
20.772% |
5.355% |
0.001% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.089% |
1.012% |
|
1.101% |
|
4.851% |
15.915% |
18.199% |
36.764% |
23.170% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.303% |
1.096% |
|
1.399% |
|
2.970% |
5.043% |
12.576% |
22.332% |
55.679% |
0.001% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
79.308% |
20.688% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.688% |
79.306% |
0.006% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
99.994% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
36.638% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
14.685% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.835% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.750% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.049% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.719% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.348% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.861% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.825% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.657% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
43.388% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.520% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.544% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.994% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.005% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.183% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.743% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.518% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
0.927% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.788% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
59.462% |
20.608% |
|
80.070% |
|
10.542% |
6.008% |
2.772% |
0.546% |
0.062% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.147% |
41.074% |
|
60.221% |
|
27.699% |
7.963% |
3.076% |
0.877% |
0.164% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
13.580% |
21.380% |
|
34.960% |
|
21.343% |
24.643% |
14.063% |
3.931% |
1.060% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.473% |
10.431% |
|
15.904% |
|
24.171% |
22.918% |
20.866% |
11.485% |
4.656% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.219% |
5.345% |
|
7.564% |
|
10.821% |
20.786% |
33.383% |
26.135% |
1.311% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.093% |
1.031% |
|
1.124% |
|
5.027% |
16.728% |
21.671% |
43.486% |
11.964% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.026% |
0.131% |
|
0.157% |
|
0.397% |
0.954% |
4.169% |
13.540% |
80.783% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
79.813% |
20.187% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.187% |
79.724% |
0.089% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.089% |
99.911% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
37.182% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
14.890% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.873% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.716% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.212% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.689% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.461% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.056% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.741% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.696% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
43.898% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
24.763% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.385% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.186% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.202% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.293% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.744% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.516% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
0.995% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.814% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.67 |
0.91 |
2.39 |
42 |
20 |
15 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
11.46 |
0.83 |
2.68 |
29 |
24 |
20 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.24 |
0.83 |
3.08 |
15 |
27 |
22 |
16 |
11 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
10.64 |
0.88 |
4.37 |
6 |
12 |
14 |
18 |
20 |
18 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.5 |
10.56 |
0.89 |
4.52 |
6 |
9 |
13 |
17 |
20 |
19 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.15 |
0.90 |
5.37 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
17 |
22 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
8.0 |
10.05 |
0.84 |
5.58 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
11 |
17 |
26 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.48 |
0.84 |
8.28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
28 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.74 |
0.87 |
8.72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
72 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
2.00 |
0.77 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 02:59 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 04:06 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:14 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:22 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:29 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:37 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:44 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:52 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:00 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:07 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:15 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:22 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:30 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:38 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:45 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:53 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:00 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:08 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:16 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |