For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
56.151% |
20.746% |
|
76.897% |
|
10.738% |
6.609% |
3.535% |
1.893% |
0.328% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
19.639% |
38.089% |
|
57.728% |
|
26.563% |
9.684% |
3.960% |
1.717% |
0.348% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
14.368% |
19.679% |
|
34.047% |
|
19.530% |
17.551% |
12.515% |
12.403% |
3.954% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.921% |
8.785% |
|
13.706% |
|
17.284% |
16.184% |
17.449% |
20.725% |
14.652% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.466% |
5.174% |
|
7.640% |
|
10.435% |
23.061% |
23.698% |
20.009% |
15.157% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.358% |
6.670% |
|
9.028% |
|
11.350% |
14.242% |
24.442% |
24.591% |
16.347% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.097% |
0.857% |
|
0.954% |
|
4.100% |
12.669% |
14.401% |
18.662% |
49.214% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.627% |
21.373% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.373% |
78.627% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.581% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
13.016% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.816% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.408% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.257% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.598% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.820% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.923% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.596% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.523% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.989% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.832% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.521% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.098% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.994% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.487% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.942% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.292% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.623% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.415% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – chess22k 1.14 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
55.529% |
21.737% |
|
77.266% |
|
10.058% |
6.287% |
4.036% |
2.061% |
0.292% |
|
|
|
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
16.475% |
23.662% |
|
40.137% |
|
14.824% |
9.822% |
13.442% |
16.521% |
5.254% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
14.495% |
20.518% |
|
35.013% |
|
26.230% |
23.086% |
10.097% |
4.227% |
1.347% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
4.495% |
17.147% |
|
21.642% |
|
24.300% |
26.127% |
16.253% |
9.370% |
2.308% |
|
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.943% |
5.416% |
|
7.359% |
|
11.280% |
14.506% |
25.503% |
25.931% |
15.421% |
|
|
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
6.870% |
9.846% |
|
16.716% |
|
9.719% |
13.753% |
17.550% |
24.425% |
17.837% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.193% |
1.674% |
|
1.867% |
|
3.589% |
6.419% |
13.119% |
17.465% |
57.541% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.053% |
21.947% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.947% |
78.053% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
18.688% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.915% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
13.197% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.721% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.276% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.868% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
3.701% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.585% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.370% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.014% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
28.409% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
21.473% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.524% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.453% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
5.481% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.385% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.869% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.523% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.345% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.324% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – chess22k 1.14 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
58.635% |
19.179% |
|
77.814% |
|
9.946% |
6.370% |
3.569% |
1.992% |
0.309% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
17.649% |
41.353% |
|
59.002% |
|
29.012% |
8.294% |
2.716% |
0.855% |
0.121% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
14.807% |
19.613% |
|
34.420% |
|
18.747% |
18.513% |
11.487% |
12.598% |
4.235% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.992% |
8.615% |
|
13.607% |
|
17.920% |
15.761% |
16.694% |
20.823% |
15.193% |
0.002% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.085% |
3.532% |
|
4.617% |
|
9.489% |
25.340% |
26.001% |
21.784% |
12.769% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.753% |
6.892% |
|
9.645% |
|
10.736% |
13.103% |
24.929% |
25.127% |
16.460% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.079% |
0.816% |
|
0.895% |
|
4.150% |
12.619% |
14.604% |
16.821% |
50.911% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
78.462% |
21.536% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.536% |
78.463% |
0.001% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
99.999% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
36.478% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
13.528% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.330% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.335% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.810% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.292% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.149% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.159% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.663% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.365% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.288% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
23.858% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.308% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.231% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.108% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.028% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.267% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.937% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.672% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.391% |
Speculate Monolith 2 – chess22k 1.14 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
45.316% |
39.665% |
|
84.981% |
|
12.870% |
1.894% |
0.238% |
0.017% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
43.304% |
27.640% |
|
70.944% |
|
16.604% |
7.702% |
3.235% |
1.318% |
0.197% |
|
|
|
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
8.336% |
16.214% |
|
24.550% |
|
26.514% |
20.536% |
18.700% |
8.135% |
1.565% |
|
|
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
1.770% |
9.673% |
|
11.443% |
|
21.356% |
18.138% |
22.715% |
16.888% |
9.460% |
|
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.236% |
5.762% |
|
6.998% |
|
15.885% |
22.018% |
21.238% |
17.779% |
16.082% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.023% |
0.383% |
|
0.406% |
|
4.344% |
17.857% |
15.558% |
32.250% |
29.585% |
|
|
|
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.015% |
0.663% |
|
0.678% |
|
2.427% |
11.855% |
18.316% |
23.613% |
43.107% |
0.004% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
78.802% |
21.194% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.194% |
78.806% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.899% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.844% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.608% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.073% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.309% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.120% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.878% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.883% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.735% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.080% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
56.743% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.491% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.429% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.506% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.325% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.122% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.513% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.637% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
0.370% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.279% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.66 |
0.91 |
2.44 |
41 |
20 |
15 |
10 |
7 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
11.47 |
0.82 |
2.70 |
29 |
24 |
19 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.25 |
0.82 |
3.10 |
15 |
27 |
22 |
16 |
11 |
7 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
10.64 |
0.88 |
4.45 |
6 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
8.5 |
10.56 |
0.89 |
4.59 |
6 |
9 |
13 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.27 |
0.75 |
5.29 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
14 |
19 |
26 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.16 |
0.90 |
5.44 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
14 |
16 |
20 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.48 |
0.84 |
8.28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
72 |
28 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.75 |
0.87 |
8.72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
28 |
72 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
1.76 |
0.65 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 04:11 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 05:19 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:26 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:34 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:42 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:49 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:57 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:05 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:12 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:20 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:28 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:35 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:43 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:51 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:58 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:06 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:14 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:21 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |