For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
55.613% |
21.636% |
|
77.249% |
|
10.159% |
6.293% |
3.979% |
2.006% |
0.314% |
|
|
|
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
16.706% |
23.774% |
|
40.480% |
|
14.570% |
9.891% |
13.418% |
16.525% |
5.116% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
14.260% |
20.725% |
|
34.985% |
|
26.281% |
23.108% |
10.061% |
4.159% |
1.406% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
4.506% |
16.974% |
|
21.480% |
|
24.588% |
26.257% |
16.326% |
9.119% |
2.230% |
|
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.921% |
5.524% |
|
7.445% |
|
11.155% |
14.564% |
25.374% |
25.956% |
15.506% |
|
|
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
6.815% |
9.671% |
|
16.486% |
|
9.765% |
13.580% |
17.539% |
24.823% |
17.806% |
0.001% |
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.179% |
1.696% |
|
1.875% |
|
3.482% |
6.307% |
13.303% |
17.412% |
57.621% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
78.172% |
21.827% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.827% |
78.173% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
18.900% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.796% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
13.269% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.799% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.127% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.825% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
3.800% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.562% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.304% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.099% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
28.699% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
21.396% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.376% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.387% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
5.525% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
3.283% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.822% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.474% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.368% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2.356% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Counter 3.5dev 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
36.422% |
22.087% |
|
58.509% |
|
14.475% |
9.439% |
7.368% |
6.298% |
3.911% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
17.057% |
20.429% |
|
37.486% |
|
18.522% |
18.086% |
16.250% |
8.050% |
1.606% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
14.343% |
20.982% |
|
35.325% |
|
24.240% |
20.945% |
11.985% |
5.709% |
1.796% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
19.626% |
16.979% |
|
36.605% |
|
16.150% |
12.893% |
14.312% |
15.285% |
4.755% |
|
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.428% |
12.768% |
|
22.196% |
|
16.460% |
21.028% |
23.193% |
14.117% |
3.006% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.579% |
5.402% |
|
7.981% |
|
7.420% |
13.428% |
18.245% |
32.437% |
20.489% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.545% |
1.353% |
|
1.898% |
|
2.733% |
4.181% |
8.647% |
18.104% |
64.437% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
77.570% |
22.430% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.430% |
77.570% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.152% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.956% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.795% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.121% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.416% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.384% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.681% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.099% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.042% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.951% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.340% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
16.211% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.955% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.334% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.136% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
6.083% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.139% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.982% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.220% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.779% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Counter 3.5dev 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
57.186% |
23.900% |
|
81.086% |
|
9.933% |
5.187% |
2.381% |
1.285% |
0.128% |
|
|
|
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
17.842% |
22.412% |
|
40.254% |
|
14.378% |
9.182% |
13.347% |
17.583% |
5.256% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
15.888% |
19.880% |
|
35.768% |
|
25.631% |
23.194% |
9.834% |
4.176% |
1.397% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
4.043% |
17.540% |
|
21.583% |
|
25.205% |
26.441% |
15.401% |
9.083% |
2.287% |
|
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.989% |
5.573% |
|
7.562% |
|
11.337% |
14.173% |
25.628% |
25.576% |
15.724% |
|
|
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
2.930% |
8.908% |
|
11.838% |
|
10.053% |
15.509% |
19.937% |
25.874% |
16.789% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.122% |
1.787% |
|
1.909% |
|
3.463% |
6.314% |
13.472% |
16.423% |
58.419% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
77.986% |
22.014% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.014% |
77.986% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
18.544% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.920% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
13.118% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.949% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.062% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.488% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.204% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.442% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.107% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.984% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
29.493% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
23.180% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.534% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.130% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
6.188% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.042% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.528% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2.399% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.177% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.784% |
Speculate ChessFighter 3.3 – Counter 3.5dev 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
86.150% |
9.996% |
|
96.146% |
|
2.636% |
0.890% |
0.309% |
0.019% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
6.496% |
37.715% |
|
44.211% |
|
16.798% |
11.383% |
12.394% |
10.515% |
4.699% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
5.678% |
27.075% |
|
32.753% |
|
31.433% |
23.697% |
8.761% |
2.663% |
0.693% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
0.998% |
17.976% |
|
18.974% |
|
28.519% |
32.095% |
14.193% |
5.170% |
1.049% |
|
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.626% |
3.855% |
|
4.481% |
|
14.252% |
17.231% |
34.042% |
22.141% |
7.853% |
|
|
|
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
0.027% |
1.356% |
|
1.383% |
|
2.381% |
6.963% |
13.937% |
35.177% |
40.155% |
0.004% |
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.025% |
2.027% |
|
2.052% |
|
3.981% |
7.741% |
16.364% |
24.315% |
45.547% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
78.436% |
21.560% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.560% |
78.440% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
36.838% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
25.740% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
17.138% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.753% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.314% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.069% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.023% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.342% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
0.999% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
0.614% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
41.591% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
30.054% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
17.575% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.525% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.036% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
1.529% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.365% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.802% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
0.620% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.536% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.67 |
0.90 |
2.39 |
46 |
18 |
12 |
10 |
7 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.25 |
0.82 |
3.05 |
19 |
27 |
18 |
14 |
11 |
7 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.5 |
11.13 |
0.75 |
3.33 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
17 |
14 |
9 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
10.90 |
0.69 |
3.88 |
8 |
15 |
20 |
21 |
17 |
13 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.5 |
10.64 |
0.88 |
4.49 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
18 |
19 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.29 |
0.76 |
5.34 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
13 |
17 |
26 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.14 |
0.90 |
5.52 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
15 |
21 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.45 |
0.84 |
8.29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
29 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.75 |
0.88 |
8.71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
71 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
1.77 |
0.66 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 05:31 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 06:39 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:47 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:55 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 10:03 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 11:10 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:18 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:26 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:34 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:42 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:50 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:57 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 19:05 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 20:13 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:21 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:29 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:37 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |