For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
36.448% |
22.202% |
|
58.650% |
|
14.491% |
9.307% |
7.318% |
6.412% |
3.822% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
16.801% |
20.493% |
|
37.294% |
|
18.530% |
18.118% |
16.353% |
8.097% |
1.608% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
14.472% |
20.929% |
|
35.401% |
|
24.227% |
20.903% |
12.079% |
5.591% |
1.799% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
19.662% |
17.205% |
|
36.867% |
|
16.039% |
12.718% |
14.295% |
15.427% |
4.654% |
|
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.317% |
12.425% |
|
21.742% |
|
16.620% |
21.368% |
23.165% |
14.021% |
3.084% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.769% |
5.461% |
|
8.230% |
|
7.337% |
13.340% |
18.245% |
32.742% |
20.106% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.531% |
1.285% |
|
1.816% |
|
2.756% |
4.246% |
8.545% |
17.710% |
64.927% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
77.603% |
22.397% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.397% |
77.603% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.319% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.929% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.730% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.196% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.537% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.414% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.606% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.260% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.865% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.846% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.343% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
16.267% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.083% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.405% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.029% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
6.277% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.013% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.857% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.052% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.697% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – FabChess 1.14.2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
37.292% |
22.680% |
|
59.972% |
|
14.887% |
9.883% |
7.557% |
6.255% |
1.446% |
|
|
|
2. |
Monolith 2 |
|
15.294% |
21.701% |
|
36.995% |
|
25.163% |
21.507% |
12.112% |
3.303% |
0.920% |
|
|
|
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
16.601% |
20.252% |
|
36.853% |
|
18.794% |
18.311% |
16.845% |
9.027% |
0.170% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
18.934% |
16.937% |
|
35.871% |
|
16.833% |
13.670% |
15.502% |
17.036% |
1.088% |
|
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.015% |
12.719% |
|
21.734% |
|
15.765% |
20.862% |
25.558% |
15.720% |
0.361% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.856% |
5.633% |
|
8.489% |
|
8.193% |
14.741% |
20.078% |
36.998% |
11.501% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.008% |
0.078% |
|
0.086% |
|
0.365% |
1.026% |
2.348% |
11.661% |
84.514% |
|
|
|
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50.740% |
49.260% |
|
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
49.260% |
50.740% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.224% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.218% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
10.325% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.749% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.125% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.522% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.493% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.228% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.085% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.883% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
17.450% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.746% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.900% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.939% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.140% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
6.256% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.234% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.143% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.045% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.574% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – FabChess 1.14.2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
36.768% |
22.265% |
|
59.033% |
|
14.688% |
9.299% |
7.120% |
6.418% |
3.442% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
17.126% |
20.306% |
|
37.432% |
|
18.559% |
18.229% |
16.570% |
7.974% |
1.236% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
14.858% |
21.157% |
|
36.015% |
|
24.560% |
20.816% |
11.367% |
5.383% |
1.859% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
19.165% |
17.259% |
|
36.424% |
|
16.446% |
13.057% |
14.586% |
15.748% |
3.739% |
|
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.234% |
12.722% |
|
21.956% |
|
16.548% |
21.222% |
23.951% |
14.183% |
2.140% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.704% |
5.589% |
|
8.293% |
|
7.583% |
13.992% |
18.544% |
34.961% |
16.627% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.145% |
0.702% |
|
0.847% |
|
1.616% |
3.385% |
7.862% |
15.333% |
70.957% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76.261% |
23.739% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.739% |
76.261% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.334% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.024% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.895% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.986% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.752% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.666% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.538% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.139% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.010% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.993% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.690% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
16.647% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.949% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.294% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.054% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
6.095% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.189% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.087% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.130% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.751% |
Speculate Bagatur 2.1 – FabChess 1.14.2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
35.217% |
21.485% |
|
56.702% |
|
14.530% |
9.540% |
7.166% |
5.715% |
6.347% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
16.596% |
20.348% |
|
36.944% |
|
18.746% |
17.240% |
16.252% |
7.458% |
3.360% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
13.887% |
19.900% |
|
33.787% |
|
22.117% |
21.144% |
13.736% |
7.137% |
2.079% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
19.812% |
16.718% |
|
36.530% |
|
14.931% |
12.012% |
13.064% |
13.751% |
9.712% |
|
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.752% |
12.440% |
|
22.192% |
|
15.886% |
21.005% |
20.014% |
13.356% |
7.547% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.089% |
3.951% |
|
6.040% |
|
7.432% |
8.354% |
13.087% |
31.046% |
34.041% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.647% |
5.158% |
|
7.805% |
|
6.358% |
10.705% |
16.681% |
21.537% |
36.914% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
91.944% |
8.056% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.056% |
91.943% |
0.001% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
99.999% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
10.882% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.764% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.282% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.085% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.066% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.809% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.652% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.068% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.847% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.554% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.416% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
15.348% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.436% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.154% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.854% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
5.938% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.931% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.354% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.025% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.916% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.22 |
0.82 |
3.07 |
26 |
19 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.5 |
11.20 |
0.74 |
3.20 |
22 |
19 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
9 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.5 |
11.16 |
0.76 |
3.31 |
20 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
10 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.10 |
0.77 |
3.47 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
12 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
10.93 |
0.69 |
3.89 |
10 |
15 |
18 |
19 |
17 |
14 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.31 |
0.75 |
5.40 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
16 |
25 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.0 |
10.11 |
0.89 |
5.65 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
9 |
13 |
22 |
43 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.44 |
0.83 |
8.29 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
71 |
29 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.75 |
0.87 |
8.71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
29 |
71 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
1.77 |
0.66 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 06:32 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 07:40 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 08:48 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 09:55 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 11:03 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 12:11 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 13:19 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 14:26 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 15:34 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 16:42 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:50 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 18:57 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 20:05 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 21:13 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 22:21 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 23:28 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |