For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
35.065% |
21.491% |
|
56.556% |
|
14.597% |
9.427% |
7.061% |
5.806% |
6.553% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
16.727% |
20.281% |
|
37.008% |
|
18.869% |
17.166% |
16.073% |
7.442% |
3.442% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
13.734% |
19.927% |
|
33.661% |
|
21.852% |
21.172% |
14.113% |
7.154% |
2.048% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
19.892% |
16.894% |
|
36.786% |
|
15.057% |
11.905% |
13.149% |
13.558% |
9.545% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.879% |
12.470% |
|
22.349% |
|
15.868% |
21.185% |
19.944% |
13.056% |
7.598% |
|
|
|
| 6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.017% |
3.972% |
|
5.989% |
|
7.557% |
8.381% |
13.026% |
31.094% |
33.953% |
|
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.686% |
4.965% |
|
7.651% |
|
6.200% |
10.764% |
16.634% |
21.890% |
36.861% |
|
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
92.026% |
7.974% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.974% |
92.026% |
|
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
11.009% |
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.587% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.196% |
| 4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.223% |
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.106% |
| 6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.884% |
| 7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.690% |
| 8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.092% |
| 9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.893% |
| 10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.477% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
15.302% |
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.277% |
| 3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
14.486% |
| 4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.335% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.890% |
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
5.886% |
| 7. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.948% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.361% |
| 9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.052% |
| 10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.007% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
37.494% |
23.966% |
|
61.460% |
|
18.635% |
10.049% |
5.284% |
3.214% |
1.358% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
31.460% |
20.996% |
|
52.456% |
|
15.225% |
9.996% |
8.289% |
6.456% |
7.578% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
11.091% |
20.474% |
|
31.565% |
|
17.465% |
18.394% |
21.244% |
7.996% |
3.336% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
9.641% |
16.747% |
|
26.388% |
|
20.289% |
27.467% |
16.778% |
7.080% |
1.998% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.545% |
11.023% |
|
17.568% |
|
15.705% |
18.526% |
25.567% |
15.093% |
7.541% |
|
|
|
| 6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.442% |
2.668% |
|
4.110% |
|
7.259% |
8.464% |
11.187% |
33.547% |
35.433% |
|
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.327% |
4.126% |
|
6.453% |
|
5.422% |
7.104% |
11.651% |
26.614% |
42.756% |
|
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
84.150% |
15.850% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.850% |
84.150% |
|
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
17.596% |
| 2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.066% |
| 3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
8.256% |
| 4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.195% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.027% |
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.811% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
5.407% |
| 8. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.485% |
| 9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.940% |
| 10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.431% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
24.791% |
| 2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.198% |
| 3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
10.279% |
| 4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.967% |
| 5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.892% |
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.052% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.780% |
| 8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.627% |
| 9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.220% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.194% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
36.906% |
21.746% |
|
58.652% |
|
14.145% |
9.281% |
6.517% |
5.445% |
5.960% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.412% |
20.106% |
|
39.518% |
|
19.013% |
16.596% |
14.345% |
7.111% |
3.417% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
15.211% |
20.797% |
|
36.008% |
|
22.330% |
18.969% |
12.884% |
7.654% |
2.155% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.315% |
13.299% |
|
24.614% |
|
16.309% |
21.399% |
17.552% |
12.646% |
7.480% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
11.830% |
13.989% |
|
25.819% |
|
14.055% |
13.204% |
16.819% |
18.191% |
11.912% |
|
|
|
| 6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.461% |
4.565% |
|
7.026% |
|
7.507% |
8.348% |
13.543% |
29.852% |
33.724% |
|
|
|
| 7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.865% |
5.498% |
|
8.363% |
|
6.641% |
12.203% |
18.340% |
19.101% |
35.352% |
|
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.596% |
4.404% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.404% |
95.596% |
|
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
12.722% |
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
10.838% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.146% |
| 4. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.634% |
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.531% |
| 6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.498% |
| 7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.207% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.774% |
| 9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.064% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.831% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.929% |
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
17.472% |
| 3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.901% |
| 4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.362% |
| 5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.620% |
| 6. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.777% |
| 7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.232% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.961% |
| 9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
3.796% |
| 10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.025% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Tucano 8.07_dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
37.472% |
21.863% |
|
59.335% |
|
14.384% |
10.175% |
6.384% |
5.527% |
4.195% |
|
|
|
| 2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
23.653% |
21.382% |
|
45.035% |
|
21.146% |
17.885% |
7.732% |
5.479% |
2.723% |
|
|
|
| 3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
17.772% |
25.889% |
|
43.661% |
|
27.522% |
14.382% |
7.633% |
4.903% |
1.899% |
|
|
|
| 4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
13.218% |
15.792% |
|
29.010% |
|
16.662% |
25.935% |
14.209% |
7.814% |
6.370% |
|
|
|
| 5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.544% |
5.372% |
|
7.916% |
|
8.084% |
13.331% |
27.025% |
24.876% |
18.768% |
|
|
|
| 6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.787% |
5.961% |
|
8.748% |
|
7.851% |
10.059% |
22.555% |
26.531% |
24.256% |
|
|
|
| 7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.554% |
3.741% |
|
6.295% |
|
4.351% |
8.233% |
14.462% |
24.870% |
41.789% |
|
|
|
| 8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.994% |
1.006% |
|
| 9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.006% |
98.993% |
0.001% |
| 10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
99.999% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.128% |
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
13.714% |
| 3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.289% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.788% |
| 5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.485% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.286% |
| 7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.277% |
| 8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.125% |
| 9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.509% |
| 10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.548% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.253% |
| 2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
21.003% |
| 3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.762% |
| 4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
9.173% |
| 5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.849% |
| 6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.798% |
| 7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.346% |
| 8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.589% |
| 9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.414% |
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.013% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
| 1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.5 |
11.24 |
0.82 |
3.11 |
26 |
19 |
16 |
14 |
12 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.5 |
11.18 |
0.74 |
3.33 |
20 |
19 |
17 |
15 |
14 |
11 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| 3 |
Monolith 2 |
9.5 |
11.15 |
0.76 |
3.44 |
19 |
18 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| 4 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.11 |
0.77 |
3.53 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
12 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| 5 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
10.93 |
0.69 |
4.01 |
9 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
17 |
14 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| 6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.0 |
10.52 |
0.77 |
5.02 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
22 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
| 7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.29 |
0.76 |
5.56 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
14 |
20 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| 8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.0 |
6.45 |
0.83 |
8.18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
82 |
18 |
| 9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.34 |
0.74 |
8.82 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18 |
82 |
| 10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
1.78 |
0.66 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-05-07 07:27 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
| 2020-05-07 08:35 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-07 09:42 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 10:50 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 11:57 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
| 2020-05-07 13:05 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 14:13 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
| 2020-05-07 15:20 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
| 2020-05-07 16:28 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
| 2020-05-07 17:35 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
| 2020-05-07 18:43 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
| 2020-05-07 19:50 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
| 2020-05-07 20:58 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
| 2020-05-07 22:06 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
| 2020-05-07 23:13 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |