For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
38.149% |
21.947% |
|
60.096% |
|
14.215% |
9.553% |
6.133% |
4.881% |
5.122% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.352% |
21.001% |
|
42.353% |
|
20.412% |
16.151% |
10.799% |
6.761% |
3.524% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
17.214% |
22.999% |
|
40.213% |
|
24.453% |
15.018% |
10.222% |
7.816% |
2.278% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.021% |
13.877% |
|
25.898% |
|
16.376% |
22.367% |
15.030% |
12.558% |
7.771% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
5.693% |
9.031% |
|
14.724% |
|
9.402% |
13.083% |
22.432% |
25.222% |
15.137% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.745% |
5.724% |
|
8.469% |
|
7.038% |
15.365% |
21.371% |
15.342% |
32.415% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.826% |
5.421% |
|
8.247% |
|
8.104% |
8.463% |
14.013% |
27.420% |
33.753% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.551% |
4.449% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.449% |
95.551% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.386% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
13.032% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.214% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.897% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.231% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.180% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.009% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.582% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.801% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.756% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.617% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
20.246% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.479% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.725% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.528% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.409% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.245% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.671% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.571% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.563% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – Bagatur 2.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
37.830% |
21.888% |
|
59.718% |
|
14.393% |
9.624% |
6.254% |
4.908% |
5.103% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.960% |
20.348% |
|
42.308% |
|
20.359% |
16.285% |
10.676% |
6.928% |
3.444% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
16.632% |
23.209% |
|
39.841% |
|
24.342% |
15.031% |
10.471% |
7.938% |
2.377% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.229% |
13.914% |
|
26.143% |
|
16.405% |
22.043% |
15.261% |
12.485% |
7.663% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
5.863% |
9.150% |
|
15.013% |
|
9.635% |
13.227% |
22.559% |
24.838% |
14.728% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.864% |
5.913% |
|
8.777% |
|
7.075% |
15.363% |
20.786% |
15.369% |
32.630% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.622% |
5.578% |
|
8.200% |
|
7.791% |
8.427% |
13.993% |
27.534% |
34.055% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.723% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
13.079% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.959% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.892% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.390% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.319% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.997% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.751% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.958% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.893% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.113% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
20.038% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.643% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.562% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.515% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.578% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.281% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.841% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.791% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.649% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – Bagatur 2.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
38.200% |
21.880% |
|
60.080% |
|
14.333% |
9.621% |
6.095% |
4.861% |
5.010% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.630% |
21.012% |
|
42.642% |
|
20.465% |
16.111% |
10.559% |
6.647% |
3.576% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
16.925% |
23.116% |
|
40.041% |
|
24.760% |
14.893% |
10.184% |
7.764% |
2.358% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.112% |
13.993% |
|
26.105% |
|
16.313% |
22.516% |
15.004% |
12.305% |
7.757% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
5.667% |
8.841% |
|
14.508% |
|
9.236% |
13.030% |
22.576% |
25.394% |
15.256% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.753% |
5.635% |
|
8.388% |
|
7.210% |
15.429% |
21.395% |
15.301% |
32.277% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.713% |
5.523% |
|
8.236% |
|
7.683% |
8.400% |
14.187% |
27.728% |
33.766% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.659% |
1.341% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.341% |
98.659% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.515% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
13.002% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.091% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.887% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.306% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.200% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.119% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.735% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.890% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.650% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.821% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
20.093% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.622% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.745% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.613% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.468% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.063% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.568% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.681% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.483% |
Speculate Tucano 8.07_dev2 – Bagatur 2.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
38.293% |
22.240% |
|
60.533% |
|
14.202% |
9.601% |
6.156% |
4.694% |
4.814% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.359% |
20.817% |
|
42.176% |
|
20.901% |
16.141% |
10.425% |
6.868% |
3.489% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
17.570% |
23.333% |
|
40.903% |
|
24.747% |
14.702% |
9.773% |
7.695% |
2.180% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.963% |
14.121% |
|
26.084% |
|
16.000% |
22.694% |
15.218% |
12.356% |
7.648% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
5.455% |
8.655% |
|
14.110% |
|
8.969% |
12.828% |
22.677% |
25.645% |
15.771% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.662% |
5.435% |
|
8.097% |
|
7.368% |
15.711% |
21.625% |
15.029% |
32.170% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.698% |
5.399% |
|
8.097% |
|
7.813% |
8.323% |
14.126% |
27.713% |
33.928% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57.384% |
42.616% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.616% |
57.384% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.541% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
13.192% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.667% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.803% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.259% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.187% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.072% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.684% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.900% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.483% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
20.859% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.728% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.487% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.953% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.581% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.490% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.898% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.421% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.582% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.386% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.5 |
11.21 |
0.74 |
3.05 |
25 |
23 |
16 |
12 |
11 |
9 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Monolith 2 |
9.5 |
11.13 |
0.76 |
3.20 |
24 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.11 |
0.77 |
3.27 |
25 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
12 |
10 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
10.91 |
0.70 |
3.79 |
13 |
15 |
18 |
18 |
14 |
12 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
9.5 |
10.66 |
0.60 |
4.50 |
3 |
11 |
15 |
17 |
23 |
21 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.0 |
10.53 |
0.76 |
4.80 |
7 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
15 |
19 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.30 |
0.75 |
5.40 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
13 |
19 |
39 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.5 |
6.72 |
0.72 |
8.12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
12 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.33 |
0.75 |
8.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
88 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.5 |
2.11 |
0.55 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.11h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 08:44 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 09:50 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 10:57 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 12:04 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 13:11 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 14:18 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 15:24 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:31 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 17:38 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 18:45 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 19:52 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 20:58 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 22:05 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |