For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
38.152% |
25.107% |
|
63.259% |
|
16.623% |
9.509% |
4.379% |
3.121% |
3.109% |
|
|
|
2. |
Monolith 2 |
|
17.406% |
23.188% |
|
40.594% |
|
24.448% |
14.594% |
10.378% |
7.794% |
2.192% |
|
|
|
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.399% |
18.387% |
|
39.786% |
|
20.970% |
18.080% |
11.535% |
6.732% |
2.897% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.773% |
14.351% |
|
27.124% |
|
16.151% |
22.745% |
13.213% |
12.343% |
8.424% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
5.803% |
9.093% |
|
14.896% |
|
9.451% |
14.070% |
23.330% |
24.005% |
14.248% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.282% |
6.356% |
|
9.638% |
|
6.380% |
13.775% |
22.128% |
13.988% |
34.091% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.185% |
3.518% |
|
4.703% |
|
5.977% |
7.227% |
15.037% |
32.017% |
35.039% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.072% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
13.377% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.126% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.642% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.589% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.281% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.199% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.727% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.250% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.166% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
21.503% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.661% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.923% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.832% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.617% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.320% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.263% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.080% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
4.157% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.657% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Monolith 2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.366% |
22.154% |
|
84.520% |
|
9.697% |
3.753% |
1.541% |
0.448% |
0.041% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
23.424% |
26.889% |
|
50.313% |
|
25.187% |
13.704% |
3.748% |
3.778% |
3.270% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.288% |
24.295% |
|
30.583% |
|
23.648% |
15.324% |
15.247% |
7.152% |
8.046% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.661% |
7.626% |
|
10.287% |
|
14.026% |
32.895% |
17.124% |
15.445% |
10.223% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.399% |
7.219% |
|
7.618% |
|
13.635% |
17.129% |
28.082% |
24.196% |
9.340% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.160% |
4.783% |
|
4.943% |
|
8.546% |
7.691% |
21.377% |
28.870% |
28.573% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
4.702% |
7.034% |
|
11.736% |
|
5.261% |
9.504% |
12.881% |
20.111% |
40.507% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.991% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.667% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
18.758% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.686% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.312% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.994% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.945% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.625% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.842% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.000% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
38.425% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.185% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.312% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.904% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.687% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.284% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.627% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.003% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.403% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.692% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Monolith 2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
43.532% |
23.839% |
|
67.371% |
|
13.065% |
8.272% |
4.930% |
3.075% |
3.287% |
|
|
|
2. |
Monolith 2 |
|
15.493% |
26.215% |
|
41.708% |
|
28.743% |
15.375% |
7.840% |
5.407% |
0.927% |
|
|
|
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
15.400% |
19.637% |
|
35.037% |
|
23.504% |
20.961% |
11.617% |
6.788% |
2.093% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
14.422% |
11.779% |
|
26.201% |
|
14.561% |
25.473% |
12.998% |
12.295% |
8.472% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
6.797% |
9.651% |
|
16.448% |
|
8.490% |
9.496% |
23.539% |
25.966% |
16.061% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.173% |
5.767% |
|
8.940% |
|
6.341% |
12.955% |
25.172% |
13.112% |
33.480% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.183% |
3.112% |
|
4.295% |
|
5.296% |
7.468% |
13.904% |
33.357% |
35.680% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
15.819% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.664% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.662% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.536% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.483% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.350% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.023% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.693% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.548% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.116% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
23.355% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.357% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.145% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.397% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.035% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.000% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.211% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
4.209% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.678% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.586% |
Speculate Counter 3.5dev – Monolith 2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Monolith 2 |
|
65.003% |
27.423% |
|
92.426% |
|
4.461% |
2.198% |
0.785% |
0.128% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.696% |
28.350% |
|
48.046% |
|
32.204% |
12.614% |
3.784% |
2.798% |
0.554% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
9.989% |
20.412% |
|
30.401% |
|
15.941% |
13.793% |
10.570% |
20.386% |
8.909% |
|
|
|
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.415% |
10.803% |
|
11.218% |
|
8.855% |
28.068% |
12.419% |
11.397% |
28.043% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.682% |
7.022% |
|
9.704% |
|
9.900% |
20.382% |
30.961% |
21.081% |
7.972% |
|
|
|
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
0.148% |
1.957% |
|
2.105% |
|
21.921% |
16.447% |
28.225% |
17.285% |
14.017% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.067% |
4.033% |
|
6.100% |
|
6.718% |
6.498% |
13.256% |
26.925% |
40.503% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
26.293% |
2. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.885% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
17.332% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
10.625% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.574% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.632% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.009% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
1.718% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.559% |
10. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.134% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
43.625% |
2. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
26.459% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
10.795% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
7.350% |
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2.574% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.692% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.623% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.468% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.291% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.039% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.0 |
11.20 |
0.59 |
2.90 |
22 |
26 |
19 |
15 |
10 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Monolith 2 |
9.5 |
11.12 |
0.76 |
3.23 |
25 |
17 |
17 |
13 |
12 |
10 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.11 |
0.77 |
3.24 |
28 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
10.91 |
0.70 |
3.76 |
15 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
9.5 |
10.67 |
0.60 |
4.43 |
4 |
14 |
13 |
16 |
23 |
21 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.5 |
10.51 |
0.61 |
5.02 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
14 |
19 |
22 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.30 |
0.76 |
5.43 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
18 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
6.5 |
7.17 |
0.58 |
8.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
4.89 |
0.60 |
9.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.5 |
2.12 |
0.55 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 11:07 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 12:14 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 13:21 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 14:28 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 15:35 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:42 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 17:49 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 18:56 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 20:03 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 21:10 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 22:17 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |