For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.530% |
22.137% |
|
84.667% |
|
9.602% |
3.703% |
1.548% |
0.447% |
0.033% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
23.277% |
26.780% |
|
50.057% |
|
25.285% |
13.764% |
3.691% |
3.804% |
3.399% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
6.221% |
24.035% |
|
30.256% |
|
23.599% |
15.465% |
15.288% |
7.126% |
8.266% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.582% |
7.923% |
|
10.505% |
|
13.866% |
32.679% |
17.179% |
15.536% |
10.235% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.389% |
7.128% |
|
7.517% |
|
13.909% |
17.253% |
27.896% |
24.164% |
9.261% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.148% |
4.881% |
|
5.029% |
|
8.375% |
7.729% |
21.570% |
28.883% |
28.414% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
4.853% |
7.116% |
|
11.969% |
|
5.364% |
9.407% |
12.828% |
20.040% |
40.392% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
20.899% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
19.631% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
18.678% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.546% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.515% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.140% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.895% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.752% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.918% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.002% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
38.309% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
21.123% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.517% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.710% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.548% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.411% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.759% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.091% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.354% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
0.731% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Combusken 1.1.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.211% |
16.443% |
|
78.654% |
|
16.947% |
2.953% |
1.054% |
0.356% |
0.036% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.380% |
54.148% |
|
66.528% |
|
22.765% |
8.647% |
1.777% |
0.270% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
22.444% |
18.354% |
|
40.798% |
|
29.662% |
22.202% |
4.895% |
1.566% |
0.877% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.479% |
5.912% |
|
8.391% |
|
10.608% |
35.803% |
27.576% |
8.987% |
8.635% |
|
|
|
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.077% |
1.762% |
|
1.839% |
|
7.589% |
9.895% |
36.770% |
32.851% |
11.056% |
|
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.220% |
3.017% |
|
3.237% |
|
11.518% |
15.498% |
21.598% |
45.903% |
2.246% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.189% |
0.364% |
|
0.553% |
|
0.911% |
5.002% |
6.330% |
10.067% |
77.137% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
45.366% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.681% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.835% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.254% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.248% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.345% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.721% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.098% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.489% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.038% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
46.025% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.935% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.083% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.443% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.724% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.491% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.303% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
0.593% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.457% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.391% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Combusken 1.1.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.601% |
23.689% |
|
86.290% |
|
7.784% |
3.775% |
1.657% |
0.453% |
0.041% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
23.867% |
29.569% |
|
53.436% |
|
23.535% |
11.220% |
3.395% |
4.288% |
4.126% |
|
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
5.280% |
18.655% |
|
23.935% |
|
25.784% |
17.772% |
18.331% |
7.908% |
6.270% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.667% |
8.358% |
|
11.025% |
|
15.211% |
31.705% |
13.649% |
17.533% |
10.877% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.409% |
8.027% |
|
8.436% |
|
14.384% |
18.238% |
30.694% |
17.292% |
10.956% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.178% |
5.643% |
|
5.821% |
|
8.616% |
7.060% |
17.199% |
28.809% |
32.495% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
4.998% |
6.059% |
|
11.057% |
|
4.686% |
10.230% |
15.075% |
23.717% |
35.235% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
22.208% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.339% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.610% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.435% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
7.118% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.501% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.126% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.729% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.887% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.980% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
43.547% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.706% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.098% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.436% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.504% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.593% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.313% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.999% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.603% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
0.736% |
Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Combusken 1.1.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
61.643% |
21.919% |
|
83.562% |
|
10.583% |
4.042% |
1.391% |
0.407% |
0.015% |
|
|
|
2. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
14.630% |
34.142% |
|
48.772% |
|
24.153% |
16.448% |
6.171% |
3.754% |
0.702% |
|
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
20.982% |
21.361% |
|
42.343% |
|
31.453% |
17.370% |
3.789% |
3.888% |
1.157% |
|
|
|
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.942% |
5.264% |
|
7.206% |
|
10.329% |
36.553% |
26.543% |
14.666% |
4.703% |
|
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.353% |
9.876% |
|
10.229% |
|
11.257% |
11.199% |
19.244% |
39.349% |
8.722% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.234% |
5.924% |
|
6.158% |
|
10.626% |
5.355% |
23.132% |
20.563% |
34.166% |
|
|
|
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
0.216% |
1.514% |
|
1.730% |
|
1.599% |
9.033% |
19.730% |
17.373% |
50.535% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
32.638% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.893% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.513% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.462% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
9.089% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.683% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.566% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.779% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.506% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.256% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
33.881% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
29.355% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
11.535% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
9.091% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.685% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.345% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.586% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.256% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
0.736% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
0.375% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.5 |
11.58 |
0.62 |
1.96 |
55 |
19 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.0 |
11.20 |
0.59 |
2.89 |
20 |
30 |
18 |
15 |
10 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
10.89 |
0.69 |
3.75 |
16 |
13 |
18 |
18 |
13 |
12 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
9.5 |
10.67 |
0.60 |
4.40 |
3 |
16 |
13 |
16 |
23 |
20 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
9.5 |
10.65 |
0.61 |
4.59 |
2 |
10 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
20 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.5 |
10.53 |
0.61 |
4.97 |
1 |
8 |
14 |
15 |
18 |
20 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.28 |
0.75 |
5.44 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
11 |
12 |
19 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
6.5 |
7.18 |
0.58 |
8.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
4.89 |
0.60 |
9.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.5 |
2.12 |
0.55 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.11h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 12:11 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 13:18 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 14:24 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 15:31 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:38 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 17:45 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 18:52 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 19:59 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 21:06 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 22:13 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |