For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.7_dev-net_14.3 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 100.000%
5. Komodo 2551.00 100.000%
6. Ethereal 12.19 100.000%
7. rofChade 2.303 100.000% 94.412% 5.588%
8. Fire 8_beta 100.000% 5.588% 94.412%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202005232210 100.000%

Speculate Stockfish 202005232210 – Ethereal 12.19 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.7_dev-net_14.3 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 100.000%
5. Komodo 2551.00 100.000%
6. Ethereal 12.19 100.000%
7. rofChade 2.303 100.000% 94.600% 5.400%
8. Fire 8_beta 100.000% 5.400% 94.600%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202005232210 100.000%

Speculate Stockfish 202005232210 – Ethereal 12.19 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.7_dev-net_14.3 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 100.000%
5. Komodo 2551.00 100.000%
6. Ethereal 12.19 100.000%
7. rofChade 2.303 100.000% 94.574% 5.426%
8. Fire 8_beta 100.000% 5.426% 94.574%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202005232210 100.000%

Speculate Stockfish 202005232210 – Ethereal 12.19 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.7_dev-net_14.3 100.000%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 100.000%
5. Komodo 2551.00 100.000%
6. Ethereal 12.19 100.000%
7. rofChade 2.303 100.000% 94.622% 5.378%
8. Fire 8_beta 100.000% 5.378% 94.622%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202005232210 LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 Stockfish 202005232210 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Stockfish 202004181536/202003092246/Latest/202005232210 25.0 25.65 0.41 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 LCZero v0.24-sv-t60-3010/v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 24.0 24.66 0.41 2.00 0 100 0 0 0 0 0
3 AllieStein v0.6-n14.3beta/v0.7_dev-net_14.3 23.5 23.50 0.00 3.00 0 0 100 0 0 0 0
4 Stoofvlees II a14 23.0 23.00 0.00 4.00 0 0 0 100 0 0 0
5 Komodo 2522.05/2551.00 21.0 21.00 0.00 5.00 0 0 0 0 100 0 0
6 Ethereal 12.09/12.19 18.5 18.85 0.41 6.00 0 0 0 0 0 100 0
7 rofChade 2.217/2.301/2.303 16.0 16.00 0.00 7.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
8 Fire 021819/8_beta 15.0 15.34 0.41 8.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.92h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-06-15 01:29 168 LCZero v0.25.1-sv-t60-3010 Fire 8_beta