Aug 12 2020
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000% 100.000%
2. Roc 20200804 100.000% 100.000%
3. Combusken 1.3.0-TCEC19 100.000%
4. Monolith 20200804 100.000%
5. chess22k 1.14 100.000%
6. ChessFighter 3.5.1 100.000%
7. Weiss 1.0-dev 52.860% 47.140%
8. FabChess 1.15 47.140% 52.860%
9. Asymptote 0.9-dev_20200804 100.000%
10. Tucano 8.28_dev_16GiB 100.000%
11. Bagatur 2.2 100.000%
12. A0lite v0.1.1_BadGyal9_LittleEnder12p 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 Roc 20200804 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Roc 20200804 SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000%

Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Tucano 8.28_dev_16GiB 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000% 100.000%
2. Roc 20200804 100.000% 100.000%
3. Combusken 1.3.0-TCEC19 100.000%
4. Monolith 20200804 100.000%
5. chess22k 1.14 100.000%
6. ChessFighter 3.5.1 100.000%
7. Weiss 1.0-dev 53.017% 46.983%
8. FabChess 1.15 46.983% 53.017%
9. Asymptote 0.9-dev_20200804 100.000%
10. Tucano 8.28_dev_16GiB 100.000%
11. Bagatur 2.2 100.000%
12. A0lite v0.1.1_BadGyal9_LittleEnder12p 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 Roc 20200804 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Roc 20200804 SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000%

Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Tucano 8.28_dev_16GiB 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000% 100.000%
2. Roc 20200804 100.000% 100.000%
3. Combusken 1.3.0-TCEC19 100.000%
4. Monolith 20200804 100.000%
5. chess22k 1.14 100.000%
6. ChessFighter 3.5.1 100.000%
7. Weiss 1.0-dev 53.149% 46.851%
8. FabChess 1.15 46.851% 53.149%
9. Asymptote 0.9-dev_20200804 100.000%
10. Tucano 8.28_dev_16GiB 100.000%
11. Bagatur 2.2 100.000%
12. A0lite v0.1.1_BadGyal9_LittleEnder12p 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 Roc 20200804 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Roc 20200804 SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000%

Speculate chess22k 1.14 – Tucano 8.28_dev_16GiB 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000% 100.000%
2. Roc 20200804 100.000% 100.000%
3. Combusken 1.3.0-TCEC19 100.000%
4. Monolith 20200804 100.000%
5. chess22k 1.14 100.000%
6. ChessFighter 3.5.1 100.000%
7. Weiss 1.0-dev 53.046% 46.954%
8. FabChess 1.15 46.954% 53.046%
9. Asymptote 0.9-dev_20200804 100.000%
10. Tucano 8.28_dev_16GiB 100.000%
11. Bagatur 2.2 100.000%
12. A0lite v0.1.1_BadGyal9_LittleEnder12p 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 Roc 20200804 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Roc 20200804 SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1 SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 18.0 122.68 -nan 1.08 94 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Roc 20200804 15.0 99.77 -nan 2.76 4 51 23 12 5 2 1 0 0 0 0
3 Monolith 20200804 13.5 91.88 -nan 3.85 1 20 28 23 14 8 4 2 1 0 0
4 Combusken 1.3.0-TCEC19 14.0 91.47 -nan 3.92 1 18 27 23 14 9 5 2 1 0 0
5 chess22k 1.14 11.5 83.36 -nan 5.27 0 3 10 19 26 21 13 6 2 0 0
6 FabChess 1.15 10.5 77.92 -nan 6.28 0 2 5 10 16 20 21 15 8 2 0
7 ChessFighter 3.5/3.5.1 11.5 77.56 -nan 6.34 0 1 4 9 16 22 22 15 8 2 0
8 Asymptote 0.9-dev_20200804 9.0 68.35 9.49 7.95 0 0 1 2 5 9 17 26 25 10 3
9 Weiss 1.0-dev 10.0 66.58 9.68 8.23 0 0 1 2 4 8 14 24 30 13 5
10 Bagatur 2.2 5.0 52.14 9.16 10.32 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 13 33 31
11 Tucano 8.28_dev/8.28_dev_16GiB/8.28_dev_16th_4GiB/8.28_dev_32GiB 7.0 50.25 8.82 10.56 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 10 29 36
12 A0lite v0.1_BadGyal9_LittleEnder12p/v0.1.1_BadGyal9_LittleEnder12p 5.0 42.04 8.83 11.43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 23

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-08-12 14:52 132 SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25 Weiss 1.0-dev
Posted inBayesElo