For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
82.649% |
11.009% |
|
93.658% |
|
6.248% |
0.094% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
11.867% |
85.592% |
|
97.459% |
|
1.536% |
0.875% |
0.130% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
|
5.484% |
1.440% |
|
6.924% |
|
50.221% |
31.040% |
9.980% |
1.835% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
|
|
0.952% |
|
0.952% |
|
20.221% |
58.485% |
18.758% |
1.584% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
RubiChess 1.8 |
|
|
1.007% |
|
1.007% |
|
10.392% |
5.289% |
62.138% |
20.798% |
0.376% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
rofChade 2.306 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.382% |
4.217% |
8.173% |
68.687% |
7.541% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7. |
Igel 2.7.2-dev_nn-night-nurse1.5-dkappe |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.821% |
7.096% |
88.505% |
3.578% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 8. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.578% |
89.394% |
|
7.028% |
|
7.028% |
|
| 9. |
Fritz 17_20200130 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.028% |
|
92.972% |
|
92.972% |
|
| 10. |
Arasan 22.1_7982ba9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
80.752% |
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
Fire 8_beta |
10.427% |
| 3. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
4.840% |
| 4. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
1.440% |
| 5. |
Fire 8_beta |
RubiChess 1.8 |
1.007% |
| 6. |
Fire 8_beta |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
0.890% |
| 7. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.582% |
| 8. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
0.062% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
91.179% |
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
6.280% |
| 3. |
Fire 8_beta |
RubiChess 1.8 |
1.007% |
| 4. |
Fire 8_beta |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
0.890% |
| 5. |
Fire 8_beta |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
0.582% |
| 6. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
0.062% |
Speculate RubiChess 1.8 – Xiphos 0.6.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
82.725% |
11.012% |
|
93.737% |
|
6.263% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
11.268% |
79.451% |
|
90.719% |
|
1.379% |
6.731% |
1.171% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
RubiChess 1.8 |
|
|
8.629% |
|
8.629% |
|
85.108% |
6.263% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
|
6.007% |
0.908% |
|
6.915% |
|
5.929% |
58.749% |
24.949% |
3.458% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.013% |
71.962% |
13.025% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
rofChade 2.306 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.321% |
13.244% |
1.918% |
75.517% |
8.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7. |
Igel 2.7.2-dev_nn-night-nurse1.5-dkappe |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.000% |
88.471% |
3.529% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 8. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.529% |
89.298% |
|
7.173% |
|
7.173% |
|
| 9. |
Fritz 17_20200130 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.173% |
|
92.827% |
|
92.827% |
|
| 10. |
Arasan 22.1_7982ba9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
74.096% |
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
Fire 8_beta |
10.360% |
| 3. |
Fire 8_beta |
RubiChess 1.8 |
8.629% |
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
5.355% |
| 5. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
0.908% |
| 6. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.652% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
84.456% |
| 2. |
Fire 8_beta |
RubiChess 1.8 |
8.629% |
| 3. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
6.263% |
| 4. |
Fire 8_beta |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
0.652% |
Speculate RubiChess 1.8 – Xiphos 0.6.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
82.593% |
10.942% |
|
93.535% |
|
6.465% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
11.287% |
88.083% |
|
99.370% |
|
0.630% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
|
6.120% |
0.975% |
|
7.095% |
|
63.595% |
20.467% |
6.977% |
1.866% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.936% |
72.337% |
12.727% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
RubiChess 1.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.751% |
79.926% |
14.323% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
rofChade 2.306 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.374% |
1.445% |
0.370% |
75.745% |
8.066% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7. |
Igel 2.7.2-dev_nn-night-nurse1.5-dkappe |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.066% |
88.242% |
3.692% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 8. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.692% |
89.344% |
|
6.964% |
|
6.964% |
|
| 9. |
Fritz 17_20200130 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.964% |
|
93.036% |
|
93.036% |
|
| 10. |
Arasan 22.1_7982ba9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
82.593% |
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
Fire 8_beta |
10.312% |
| 3. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
5.490% |
| 4. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
0.975% |
| 5. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.630% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
92.905% |
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
6.465% |
| 3. |
Fire 8_beta |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
0.630% |
Speculate RubiChess 1.8 – Xiphos 0.6.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
82.969% |
10.211% |
|
93.180% |
|
5.909% |
0.911% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
16.343% |
74.214% |
|
90.557% |
|
8.755% |
0.688% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
|
|
9.443% |
|
9.443% |
|
85.336% |
5.221% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
|
0.688% |
6.132% |
|
6.820% |
|
|
77.879% |
15.301% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
rofChade 2.306 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.301% |
76.728% |
3.752% |
4.219% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
RubiChess 1.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.248% |
3.752% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7. |
Igel 2.7.2-dev_nn-night-nurse1.5-dkappe |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.971% |
|
88.428% |
3.601% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 8. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.601% |
89.160% |
|
7.239% |
|
7.239% |
|
| 9. |
Fritz 17_20200130 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.239% |
|
92.761% |
|
92.761% |
|
| 10. |
Arasan 22.1_7982ba9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
74.214% |
| 2. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
Fire 8_beta |
10.211% |
| 3. |
Fire 8_beta |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
8.755% |
| 4. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
6.132% |
| 5. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
0.688% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
84.425% |
| 2. |
Fire 8_beta |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
8.755% |
| 3. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
6.132% |
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
0.688% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
| 1 |
Fire 8_beta |
10.5 |
11.11 |
0.42 |
1.14 |
86 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
10.0 |
10.56 |
0.43 |
2.09 |
14 |
67 |
16 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 3 |
Xiphos 0.6.1 |
9.5 |
9.99 |
0.43 |
3.86 |
0 |
12 |
37 |
18 |
19 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 4 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25/Blitz Classic 2.26 16GiB/Blitz Classic 2.26 |
9.5 |
9.89 |
0.42 |
4.00 |
0 |
7 |
25 |
35 |
25 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 5 |
rofChade 2.305/2.306 |
9.0 |
9.57 |
0.42 |
5.25 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
25 |
29 |
16 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| 6 |
RubiChess 1.8-dev_TCEC_Cup6/1.8 |
9.0 |
9.51 |
0.43 |
5.08 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
19 |
15 |
44 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| 7 |
Igel 2.6-dev-3/2.6.0/2.7.2-experimental_nn-night-nurse-dkappe/2.7.2-dev_nn-night-nurse1.5-dkappe |
8.5 |
8.93 |
0.42 |
6.57 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
19 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
| 8 |
Defenchess 2.3_dev2 |
7.5 |
8.18 |
0.40 |
8.07 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
93 |
7 |
| 9 |
Fritz 17_20200130 |
7.0 |
7.44 |
0.43 |
8.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
93 |
| 10 |
Arasan 22.1_94f0c64/22.1_7982ba9 |
4.5 |
4.82 |
0.40 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.41h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-08-28 13:59 |
87 |
Fritz 17_20200130 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
| 2020-08-28 15:23 |
88 |
Defenchess 2.3_dev2 |
Arasan 22.1_7982ba9 |
| 2020-08-28 16:48 |
89 |
rofChade 2.306 |
Igel 2.7.2-dev_nn-night-nurse1.5-dkappe |
| 2020-08-28 18:12 |
90 |
Fire 8_beta |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.26 |