For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
|
99.998% |
0.002% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
|
0.002% |
99.998% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.013% |
1.843% |
0.144% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Stoofvlees II a14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.902% |
93.240% |
4.758% |
0.100% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.085% |
4.876% |
94.917% |
0.122% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.041% |
0.177% |
85.440% |
|
14.342% |
|
12.628% |
1.714% |
| 7. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
3.245% |
|
96.753% |
|
58.128% |
38.625% |
| 8. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
11.093% |
|
88.905% |
|
29.244% |
59.661% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
99.998% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
0.002% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
100.000% |
Speculate Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df – Komodo 2576.00 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.075% |
1.925% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Stoofvlees II a14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.925% |
97.639% |
0.353% |
0.083% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.349% |
99.136% |
0.513% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.087% |
0.501% |
85.271% |
|
14.141% |
|
12.389% |
1.752% |
| 7. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
3.206% |
|
96.785% |
|
58.554% |
38.231% |
| 8. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
10.927% |
|
89.072% |
|
29.055% |
60.017% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
100.000% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
100.000% |
Speculate Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df – Komodo 2576.00 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.053% |
1.843% |
0.104% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Stoofvlees II a14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.928% |
93.657% |
4.327% |
0.088% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.019% |
4.484% |
95.481% |
0.016% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
0.088% |
85.437% |
|
14.459% |
|
12.744% |
1.715% |
| 7. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.332% |
|
96.668% |
|
58.179% |
38.489% |
| 8. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.127% |
|
88.873% |
|
29.077% |
59.796% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
100.000% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
100.000% |
Speculate Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df – Komodo 2576.00 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
|
99.988% |
0.012% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
|
0.012% |
99.988% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.062% |
2.044% |
0.894% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Stoofvlees II a14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.833% |
72.690% |
25.356% |
0.121% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.105% |
25.262% |
73.633% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.117% |
85.725% |
|
14.154% |
|
12.455% |
1.699% |
| 7. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.211% |
|
96.789% |
|
58.452% |
38.337% |
| 8. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.943% |
|
89.057% |
|
29.093% |
59.964% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
99.988% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
0.012% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
100.000% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
| 1 |
Stockfish 2020071122/Latest/20200816_nn-82215d0fd0df/202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/128GiB_202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
32.5 |
34.33 |
0.73 |
1.00 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2 |
LCZero v0.26.0_sv-t60-4229-mlh_opt2/v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
31.0 |
32.15 |
0.59 |
2.00 |
0 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 3 |
AllieStein v0.7_dev2-net_15.0/v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
28.0 |
29.02 |
0.60 |
3.06 |
0 |
0 |
95 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 4 |
Stoofvlees II a14 |
26.5 |
27.50 |
0.60 |
4.15 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
76 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
| 5 |
Komodo 2570.00/2576.00 |
25.5 |
26.82 |
0.74 |
4.84 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
74 |
5 |
0 |
| 6 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
24.5 |
25.49 |
0.61 |
6.18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
74 |
19 |
| 7 |
Fire 8_beta |
23.0 |
24.44 |
0.73 |
7.26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
43 |
| 8 |
Ethereal 12.28/12.42/12.43 |
23.0 |
24.25 |
0.74 |
7.50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
37 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.87h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-09-25 07:19 |
216 |
Fire 8_beta |
Ethereal 12.43 |
| 2020-09-25 10:11 |
217 |
Fire 8_beta |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
| 2020-09-25 13:03 |
218 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
| 2020-09-25 15:55 |
219 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
| 2020-09-25 18:47 |
220 |
Stoofvlees II a14 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-09-25 21:39 |
221 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 |
Stoofvlees II a14 |
| 2020-09-26 00:31 |
222 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
| 2020-09-26 03:23 |
223 |
LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
| 2020-09-26 06:15 |
224 |
Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df |
Fire 8_beta |