For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 98.102% 1.898%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 1.898% 97.758% 0.344%
5. Komodo 2576.00 0.344% 99.656%
6. Fire 8_beta 72.033% 27.967% 26.284% 1.683%
7. ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 26.476% 73.524% 62.122% 11.402%
8. Ethereal 12.43 1.491% 98.509% 11.594% 86.915%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000%

Speculate Komodo 2576.00 – LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 98.096% 1.904%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 1.904% 95.646% 2.450%
5. Komodo 2576.00 2.450% 97.550%
6. Fire 8_beta 71.803% 28.197% 26.478% 1.719%
7. ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 26.645% 73.355% 61.504% 11.851%
8. Ethereal 12.43 1.552% 98.448% 12.018% 86.430%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000%

Speculate Komodo 2576.00 – LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 98.098% 1.902%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 1.902% 98.019% 0.079%
5. Komodo 2576.00 0.079% 99.921%
6. Fire 8_beta 71.862% 28.138% 26.461% 1.677%
7. ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 26.633% 73.367% 61.981% 11.386%
8. Ethereal 12.43 1.505% 98.495% 11.558% 86.937%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000%

Speculate Komodo 2576.00 – LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000% 100.000%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 98.163% 1.837%
4. Stoofvlees II a14 1.837% 98.163%
5. Komodo 2576.00 100.000%
6. Fire 8_beta 71.818% 28.182% 26.518% 1.664%
7. ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 26.666% 73.334% 61.921% 11.413%
8. Ethereal 12.43 1.516% 98.484% 11.561% 86.923%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Stockfish 2020071122/Latest/20200816_nn-82215d0fd0df/202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/128GiB_202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df 34.0 34.64 0.41 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 LCZero v0.26.0_sv-t60-4229-mlh_opt2/v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 31.0 32.15 0.60 2.00 0 100 0 0 0 0 0
3 AllieStein v0.7_dev2-net_15.0/v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 28.0 29.03 0.61 3.05 0 0 95 5 0 0 0
4 Stoofvlees II a14 26.5 27.50 0.60 4.02 0 0 5 89 7 0 0
5 Komodo 2570.00/2576.00 25.5 26.43 0.60 4.93 0 0 0 7 93 0 0
6 ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 24.5 25.02 0.43 6.44 0 0 0 0 0 63 31
7 Fire 8_beta 24.5 24.86 0.41 6.82 0 0 0 0 0 32 54
8 Ethereal 12.28/12.42/12.43 24.0 24.37 0.41 7.74 0 0 0 0 0 5 15

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.87h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-09-25 19:35 220 Stoofvlees II a14 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-09-25 22:28 221 ScorpioNN 3.0.8.3 Stoofvlees II a14
2020-09-26 01:20 222 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 2576.00
2020-09-26 04:12 223 LCZero v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100 Ethereal 12.43
2020-09-26 07:04 224 Stockfish 202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df Fire 8_beta