For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 55.432% 44.568%
2. LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 44.568% 55.432%

Speculate Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 – LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 64.719% 35.281%
2. LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 35.281% 64.719%

Speculate Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 – LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 53.316% 46.684%
2. LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 46.684% 53.316%

Speculate Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 – LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 57.179% 42.821%
2. Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 42.821% 57.179%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1
1 Stockfish 2020071122/Latest/20200816_nn-82215d0fd0df/202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/128GiB_202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 13.5 50.72 4.70 1.44 56
2 LCZero v0.26.0_sv-t60-4229-mlh_opt2/v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100/v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 13.5 49.28 4.70 1.56 44

Expected start time based on estimate of 3.62h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-10-04 20:28 29 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-05 00:05 30 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-05 03:43 31 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-05 07:20 32 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-05 10:58 33 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-05 14:35 34 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-05 18:13 35 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-05 21:50 36 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-06 01:27 37 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-06 05:05 38 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-06 08:42 39 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-06 12:20 40 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-06 15:57 41 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-06 19:35 42 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-06 23:12 43 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-07 02:50 44 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-07 06:27 45 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-07 10:04 46 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-07 13:42 47 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-07 17:19 48 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-07 20:57 49 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-08 00:34 50 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-08 04:12 51 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-08 07:49 52 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-08 11:27 53 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-08 15:04 54 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-08 18:41 55 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-08 22:19 56 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-09 01:56 57 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-09 05:34 58 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-09 09:11 59 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-09 12:49 60 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-09 16:26 61 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-09 20:04 62 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-09 23:41 63 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-10 03:18 64 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-10 06:56 65 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-10 10:33 66 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-10 14:11 67 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-10 17:48 68 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-10 21:26 69 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-11 01:03 70 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-11 04:41 71 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-11 08:18 72 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-11 11:55 73 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-11 15:33 74 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-11 19:10 75 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-11 22:48 76 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-12 02:25 77 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-12 06:03 78 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-12 09:40 79 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-12 13:18 80 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-12 16:55 81 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-12 20:32 82 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-13 00:10 83 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-13 03:47 84 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-13 07:25 85 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-13 11:02 86 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-13 14:40 87 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-13 18:17 88 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-13 21:55 89 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-14 01:32 90 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-14 05:09 91 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-14 08:47 92 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-14 12:24 93 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-14 16:02 94 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-14 19:39 95 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-14 23:17 96 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-15 02:54 97 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-15 06:32 98 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190
2020-10-15 10:09 99 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183
2020-10-15 13:46 100 Stockfish 202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183 LCZero v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190