For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
55.109% |
28.442% |
|
83.551% |
|
15.043% |
1.406% |
| 2. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
|
24.576% |
37.922% |
|
62.498% |
|
31.681% |
5.821% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
19.489% |
29.778% |
|
49.267% |
|
39.128% |
11.605% |
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
|
0.826% |
3.858% |
|
4.684% |
|
14.148% |
81.168% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
30.193% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
22.111% |
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
16.425% |
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
11.625% |
| 5. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
7.483% |
| 6. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
7.479% |
| 7. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
2.805% |
| 8. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.672% |
| 9. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.392% |
| 10. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.381% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
46.618% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
33.736% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
14.962% |
| 4. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
3.197% |
| 5. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.918% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.569% |
Speculate SlowChess Blitz 2.4 – AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
59.750% |
26.702% |
|
86.452% |
|
11.069% |
2.479% |
| 2. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
|
27.471% |
40.633% |
|
68.104% |
|
23.045% |
8.851% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
10.135% |
21.488% |
|
31.623% |
|
34.321% |
34.056% |
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
|
2.644% |
11.177% |
|
13.821% |
|
31.565% |
54.614% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
36.032% |
| 2. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
19.565% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
15.047% |
| 4. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
8.671% |
| 5. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
5.892% |
| 6. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
5.830% |
| 7. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
3.813% |
| 8. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
2.076% |
| 9. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
1.245% |
| 10. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
0.788% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
55.597% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
20.939% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
9.916% |
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
9.643% |
| 5. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
2.864% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
1.041% |
Speculate SlowChess Blitz 2.4 – AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
55.598% |
28.224% |
|
83.822% |
|
14.731% |
1.447% |
| 2. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
|
25.118% |
38.197% |
|
63.315% |
|
30.653% |
6.032% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
18.596% |
29.933% |
|
48.529% |
|
41.081% |
10.390% |
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
|
0.688% |
3.646% |
|
4.334% |
|
13.535% |
82.131% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
30.959% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
22.023% |
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
16.751% |
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
11.170% |
| 5. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
7.754% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
7.009% |
| 7. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
2.616% |
| 8. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.613% |
| 9. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.417% |
| 10. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.303% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
47.710% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
33.193% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
14.763% |
| 4. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
2.919% |
| 5. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.842% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.573% |
Speculate SlowChess Blitz 2.4 – AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
48.826% |
30.278% |
|
79.104% |
|
20.065% |
0.831% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
30.494% |
36.589% |
|
67.083% |
|
31.319% |
1.598% |
| 3. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
|
20.559% |
32.318% |
|
52.877% |
|
43.225% |
3.898% |
| 4. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
|
0.121% |
0.815% |
|
0.936% |
|
5.391% |
93.673% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
27.559% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
20.792% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
18.761% |
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
11.489% |
| 5. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
11.468% |
| 6. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
8.995% |
| 7. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.475% |
| 8. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.244% |
| 9. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.096% |
| 10. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.049% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
46.320% |
| 2. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
32.260% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
20.484% |
| 4. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.524% |
| 5. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.279% |
| 6. |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
0.133% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| 1 |
LCZero v0.26.0_sv-t60-4229-mlh_opt2/v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100/v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190/v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-270/v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
4.0 |
10.57 |
1.41 |
1.59 |
59 |
26 |
13 |
| 2 |
AllieStein v0.7_dev2-net_15.0/v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
3.5 |
9.32 |
1.44 |
2.33 |
21 |
35 |
34 |
| 3 |
Ethereal 12.28/12.42/12.43/12.75 |
4.0 |
9.22 |
1.44 |
2.41 |
19 |
33 |
36 |
| 4 |
SlowChess Blitz Classic 2.25/Blitz Classic 2.26 16GiB/Blitz Classic 2.26/Blitz 2.4 |
2.5 |
6.89 |
1.43 |
3.67 |
1 |
6 |
17 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.00h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-11-20 17:16 |
16 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
| 2020-11-20 18:16 |
17 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
| 2020-11-20 19:16 |
18 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-20 20:16 |
19 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-20 21:16 |
20 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
| 2020-11-20 22:16 |
21 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
| 2020-11-20 23:16 |
22 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-21 00:17 |
23 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
| 2020-11-21 01:17 |
24 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-21 02:17 |
25 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
| 2020-11-21 03:17 |
26 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-21 04:17 |
27 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-21 05:17 |
28 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
| 2020-11-21 06:17 |
29 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
| 2020-11-21 07:17 |
30 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-21 08:17 |
31 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-21 09:17 |
32 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
| 2020-11-21 10:17 |
33 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
| 2020-11-21 11:17 |
34 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-21 12:17 |
35 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.4 |
Ethereal 12.75 |
| 2020-11-21 13:17 |
36 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |