For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3-4. 3. 4.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 67.728% 28.852% 96.580% 3.420% 3.139% 0.281%
2. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 29.844% 54.266% 84.110% 15.890% 14.107% 1.783%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 2.105% 14.313% 16.418% 83.582% 62.854% 20.728%
4. Komodo 14.1 0.323% 2.569% 2.892% 97.108% 19.900% 77.208%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 53.183%
2. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 27.571%
3. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 12.596%
4. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Komodo 14.1 1.949%
5. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 1.703%
6. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 1.076%
7. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.979%
8. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 Komodo 14.1 0.570%
9. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 0.205%
10. Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.104%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 80.754%
2. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 13.672%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 2.682%
4. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 2.154%
5. Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.674%
6. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 14.1 0.064%

Speculate AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 – Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3-4. 3. 4.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 75.965% 19.397% 95.362% 4.638% 4.255% 0.383%
2. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 18.084% 44.493% 62.577% 37.423% 32.875% 4.548%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 5.587% 33.242% 38.829% 61.171% 50.008% 11.163%
4. Komodo 14.1 0.364% 2.868% 3.232% 96.768% 12.862% 83.906%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 42.113%
2. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 31.476%
3. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 15.980%
4. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 3.161%
5. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Komodo 14.1 2.376%
6. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 2.304%
7. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 1.734%
8. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 Komodo 14.1 0.370%
9. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 0.256%
10. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 14.1 0.122%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 58.093%
2. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 34.637%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 4.038%
4. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 2.632%
5. Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.446%
6. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 14.1 0.154%

Speculate AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 – Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3-4. 3. 4.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 68.285% 28.315% 96.600% 3.400% 3.125% 0.275%
2. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 29.468% 55.718% 85.186% 14.814% 13.259% 1.555%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 1.935% 13.394% 15.329% 84.671% 64.100% 20.571%
4. Komodo 14.1 0.312% 2.573% 2.885% 97.115% 19.516% 77.599%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 54.703%
2. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 27.146%
3. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 11.623%
4. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Komodo 14.1 1.959%
5. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 1.750%
6. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 0.985%
7. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.908%
8. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 Komodo 14.1 0.572%
9. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 0.184%
10. Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.107%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 81.849%
2. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 12.608%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 2.658%
4. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 2.143%
5. Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.679%
6. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 14.1 0.063%

Speculate AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 – Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3-4. 3. 4.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 56.033% 41.419% 97.452% 2.548% 2.359% 0.189%
2. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 43.248% 52.632% 95.880% 4.120% 3.801% 0.319%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 0.492% 4.005% 4.497% 95.503% 64.913% 30.590%
4. Komodo 14.1 0.227% 1.944% 2.171% 97.829% 28.927% 68.902%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 52.255%
2. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 41.085%
3. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 2.605%
4. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 1.397%
5. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Komodo 14.1 1.173%
6. Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 Komodo 14.1 0.766%
7. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.264%
8. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 0.223%
9. Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.113%
10. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 0.111%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 93.340%
2. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 2.828%
3. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 1.661%
4. Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 1.284%
5. Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 0.879%
6. AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 14.1 0.008%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3
1 LCZero v0.26.0_sv-t60-4229-mlh_opt2/v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100/v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190/v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-270/v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 6.0 14.07 1.66 1.56 56 34 9
2 Stockfish 2020071122/Latest/20200816_nn-82215d0fd0df/202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/128GiB_202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183/202010181354_nn-eba324f53044/2020102823_nn-2eb2e0707c2b/202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 5.0 13.44 1.67 1.83 38 45 14
3 AllieStein v0.7_dev2-net_15.0/v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 4.0 10.79 1.70 3.08 5 15 49
4 Komodo 2570.00/2576.00/2602.00/14.1 3.0 9.70 1.69 3.54 1 7 29

Expected start time based on estimate of 0.98h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2020-11-22 11:04 20 Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-22 12:03 21 Komodo 14.1 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-11-22 13:02 22 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9
2020-11-22 14:01 23 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-22 15:01 24 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 Komodo 14.1
2020-11-22 16:00 25 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-11-22 16:59 26 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Komodo 14.1
2020-11-22 17:58 27 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 14.1
2020-11-22 18:57 28 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-22 19:56 29 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-11-22 20:55 30 Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9
2020-11-22 21:54 31 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9
2020-11-22 22:53 32 Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-22 23:52 33 Komodo 14.1 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-11-23 00:51 34 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9
2020-11-23 01:50 35 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-23 02:49 36 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 Komodo 14.1
2020-11-23 03:48 37 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-11-23 04:47 38 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Komodo 14.1
2020-11-23 05:46 39 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Komodo 14.1
2020-11-23 06:46 40 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-23 07:45 41 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-11-23 08:44 42 Komodo 14.1 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9
2020-11-23 09:43 43 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9
2020-11-23 10:42 44 Komodo 14.1 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-23 11:41 45 Komodo 14.1 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0
2020-11-23 12:40 46 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9
2020-11-23 13:39 47 AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330
2020-11-23 14:38 48 Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 Komodo 14.1