For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
|
3-4. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
81.800% |
17.237% |
|
99.037% |
|
|
0.963% |
|
0.954% |
0.009% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
|
17.189% |
66.745% |
|
83.934% |
|
|
16.066% |
|
15.459% |
0.607% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
0.996% |
15.418% |
|
16.414% |
|
|
83.586% |
|
70.035% |
13.551% |
| 4. |
Komodo 14.1 |
|
0.015% |
0.600% |
|
0.615% |
|
|
99.385% |
|
13.552% |
85.833% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
66.359% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
16.614% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
14.866% |
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.613% |
| 5. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.575% |
| 6. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
0.550% |
| 7. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.383% |
| 8. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.025% |
| 9. |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.010% |
| 10. |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.003% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
82.973% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
15.479% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.933% |
| 4. |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.585% |
| 5. |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.028% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.002% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 – Komodo 14.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
|
3-4. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
80.999% |
17.310% |
|
98.309% |
|
|
1.691% |
|
1.685% |
0.006% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
|
16.882% |
56.554% |
|
73.436% |
|
|
26.564% |
|
26.238% |
0.326% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
2.118% |
26.012% |
|
28.130% |
|
|
71.870% |
|
69.815% |
2.055% |
| 4. |
Komodo 14.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.124% |
|
0.125% |
|
|
99.875% |
|
2.262% |
97.613% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
55.669% |
| 2. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
25.210% |
| 3. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
16.076% |
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
1.234% |
| 5. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.884% |
| 6. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
0.802% |
| 7. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.120% |
| 8. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.004% |
| 9. |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.001% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
71.745% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
26.444% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
1.686% |
| 4. |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.120% |
| 5. |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.005% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 – Komodo 14.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
|
3-4. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
81.523% |
17.634% |
|
99.157% |
|
|
0.843% |
|
0.824% |
0.019% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
|
17.604% |
67.322% |
|
84.926% |
|
|
15.074% |
|
14.450% |
0.624% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
0.865% |
14.477% |
|
15.342% |
|
|
84.658% |
|
71.907% |
12.751% |
| 4. |
Komodo 14.1 |
|
0.008% |
0.567% |
|
0.575% |
|
|
99.425% |
|
12.819% |
86.606% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
67.003% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
17.084% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
13.975% |
| 4. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.545% |
| 5. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.545% |
| 6. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
0.500% |
| 7. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.318% |
| 8. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.020% |
| 9. |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.005% |
| 10. |
Komodo 14.1 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
0.002% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
84.087% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
14.520% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.818% |
| 4. |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.550% |
| 5. |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.021% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.004% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 – Komodo 14.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
|
3-4. |
|
3. |
4. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
|
82.125% |
17.372% |
|
99.497% |
|
|
0.503% |
|
0.488% |
0.015% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
|
17.546% |
73.881% |
|
91.427% |
|
|
8.573% |
|
7.499% |
1.074% |
| 3. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
0.287% |
6.827% |
|
7.114% |
|
|
92.886% |
|
51.671% |
41.215% |
| 4. |
Komodo 14.1 |
|
0.042% |
1.920% |
|
1.962% |
|
|
98.038% |
|
40.342% |
57.696% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
73.760% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
17.170% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
6.533% |
| 4. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Komodo 14.1 |
1.832% |
| 5. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
0.291% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.176% |
| 7. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.108% |
| 8. |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.085% |
| 9. |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
0.026% |
| 10. |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.013% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
90.930% |
| 2. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
6.709% |
| 3. |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
1.858% |
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.399% |
| 5. |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
0.098% |
| 6. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Komodo 14.1 |
0.006% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
| 1 |
LCZero v0.26.0_sv-t60-4229-mlh_opt2/v0.26.2-rc1_J92-100/v0.26.3-rc1_T60.SV.JH.92-190/v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-270/v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
8.5 |
14.37 |
1.42 |
1.37 |
69 |
26 |
5 |
| 2 |
Stockfish 2020071122/Latest/20200816_nn-82215d0fd0df/202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/128GiB_202008260719_nn-82215d0fd0df/202009282242_nn-baeb9ef2d183/202010181354_nn-eba324f53044/2020102823_nn-2eb2e0707c2b/202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
7.0 |
13.14 |
1.41 |
1.92 |
28 |
55 |
15 |
| 3 |
AllieStein v0.7_dev2-net_15.0/v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
6.0 |
11.04 |
1.44 |
3.01 |
3 |
15 |
58 |
| 4 |
Komodo 2570.00/2576.00/2602.00/14.1 |
4.5 |
9.45 |
1.43 |
3.70 |
0 |
4 |
22 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.00h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2020-11-22 19:14 |
28 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-22 20:14 |
29 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-22 21:14 |
30 |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
| 2020-11-22 22:14 |
31 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
| 2020-11-22 23:13 |
32 |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-23 00:13 |
33 |
Komodo 14.1 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-23 01:13 |
34 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
| 2020-11-23 02:13 |
35 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-23 03:12 |
36 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
Komodo 14.1 |
| 2020-11-23 04:12 |
37 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-23 05:12 |
38 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Komodo 14.1 |
| 2020-11-23 06:11 |
39 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Komodo 14.1 |
| 2020-11-23 07:11 |
40 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-23 08:11 |
41 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-23 09:11 |
42 |
Komodo 14.1 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
| 2020-11-23 10:10 |
43 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
| 2020-11-23 11:10 |
44 |
Komodo 14.1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-23 12:10 |
45 |
Komodo 14.1 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2020-11-23 13:09 |
46 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
| 2020-11-23 14:09 |
47 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.SV.JH.92-330 |
| 2020-11-23 15:09 |
48 |
Stockfish 202011101829_nn-c3ca321c51c9 |
Komodo 14.1 |