Dec 17 2020
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9-10. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000% 100.000%
2. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000% 100.000%
3. Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S19 100.000%
4. Winter 9.1 88.591% 11.409%
5. Pedone 20201206 11.409% 76.645% 11.946%
6. Fritz 17_20200830 11.946% 88.054%
7. Arasan 22.1_d5259e9 100.000%
8. Seer 1.2.1_20201210 100.000%
9. Minic 3.01_ne_nu 100.000% 100.000%
10. Wasp 4.10 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000%

Speculate Pedone 20201206 – Winter 9.1 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9-10. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000% 100.000%
2. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000% 100.000%
3. Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S19 100.000%
4. Pedone 20201206 100.000%
5. Winter 9.1 100.000%
6. Fritz 17_20200830 100.000%
7. Arasan 22.1_d5259e9 100.000%
8. Seer 1.2.1_20201210 100.000%
9. Minic 3.01_ne_nu 100.000% 100.000%
10. Wasp 4.10 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000%

Speculate Pedone 20201206 – Winter 9.1 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9-10. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000% 100.000%
2. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000% 100.000%
3. Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S19 100.000%
4. Winter 9.1 100.000%
5. Pedone 20201206 100.000%
6. Fritz 17_20200830 100.000%
7. Arasan 22.1_d5259e9 100.000%
8. Seer 1.2.1_20201210 100.000%
9. Minic 3.01_ne_nu 100.000% 100.000%
10. Wasp 4.10 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000%

Speculate Pedone 20201206 – Winter 9.1 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9-10. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000% 100.000%
2. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000% 100.000%
3. Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S19 100.000%
4. Winter 9.1 100.000%
5. Fritz 17_20200830 100.000%
6. Pedone 20201206 100.000%
7. Arasan 22.1_d5259e9 100.000%
8. Seer 1.2.1_20201210 100.000%
9. Minic 3.01_ne_nu 100.000% 100.000%
10. Wasp 4.10 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Nemorino 6.04_NNUE Defenchess 2.3_dev2 100.000%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Defenchess 2.3_dev2 Nemorino 6.04_NNUE 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 Nemorino 6.03_NNUE/6.04_NNUE 12.5 12.50 0.00 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S19 11.0 11.00 0.00 2.00 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Defenchess 2.3_dev2 11.0 11.00 0.00 3.00 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Winter 9.1 9.5 10.02 0.43 4.35 0 0 0 65 35 0 0 0 0
5 Pedone 20201206 9.0 9.48 0.43 4.65 0 0 0 35 65 0 0 0 0
6 Fritz 17_20200830 9.0 9.00 0.00 6.00 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0
7 Arasan 22.1_d5259e9 8.5 8.50 0.00 7.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0
8 Minic 3.01_ne_nu/3.01 6.5 6.50 0.00 8.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0
9 Seer 1.2.1/1.2.1_dev/1.2.1_20201210 6.5 6.50 0.00 9.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100
10 Wasp 4.10/4.10 copy 5.5 5.50 0.00 10.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Posted inBayesElo