For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
|
74.622% |
25.378% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
|
25.378% |
74.617% |
|
99.995% |
|
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
|
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
99.645% |
0.350% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.350% |
99.479% |
0.171% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.171% |
99.829% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
86.743% |
|
13.257% |
|
13.257% |
|
| 7. |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.257% |
|
86.743% |
|
86.729% |
0.014% |
| 8. |
rofChade 2.309 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.014% |
99.986% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
74.617% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
25.378% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
0.005% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
99.995% |
| 2. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
0.005% |
Speculate rofChade 2.309 – Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
|
74.573% |
25.426% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
|
25.427% |
74.568% |
|
99.995% |
|
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
99.609% |
0.385% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.385% |
99.440% |
0.175% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.175% |
99.825% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94.970% |
|
5.030% |
|
5.030% |
|
| 7. |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.030% |
|
94.970% |
|
94.940% |
0.030% |
| 8. |
rofChade 2.309 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.030% |
99.970% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
74.568% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
25.426% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
0.005% |
| 4. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
0.001% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
99.994% |
| 2. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
0.005% |
| 3. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
0.001% |
Speculate rofChade 2.309 – Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
|
74.908% |
25.091% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
|
25.092% |
74.908% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
99.664% |
0.335% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.335% |
99.497% |
0.168% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.168% |
99.832% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87.650% |
|
12.350% |
|
12.350% |
|
| 7. |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.350% |
|
87.650% |
|
87.650% |
|
| 8. |
rofChade 2.309 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
74.908% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
25.091% |
| 3. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
0.001% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
99.999% |
| 2. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
0.001% |
Speculate rofChade 2.309 – Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
|
74.909% |
25.091% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
|
25.091% |
74.907% |
|
99.998% |
|
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
99.651% |
0.347% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.347% |
99.503% |
0.150% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.150% |
99.850% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74.075% |
|
25.925% |
|
25.925% |
|
| 7. |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.925% |
|
74.075% |
|
74.075% |
|
| 8. |
rofChade 2.309 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
74.907% |
| 2. |
Stockfish 20201225 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
25.091% |
| 3. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
0.002% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
99.998% |
| 2. |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
0.002% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
| Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
| 1 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
32.5 |
37.70 |
1.20 |
1.37 |
63 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 2 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
32.0 |
37.13 |
1.18 |
1.64 |
37 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 3 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
29.0 |
32.91 |
1.14 |
3.04 |
0 |
1 |
95 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 4 |
AllieStein v0.8-a0fb846_net-15.0/v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
26.5 |
30.15 |
1.14 |
3.99 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
92 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| 5 |
Stoofvlees II a15.1/II a16 |
23.5 |
27.12 |
1.22 |
4.97 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
96 |
0 |
0 |
| 6 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
18.5 |
21.66 |
1.21 |
6.32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
68 |
31 |
| 7 |
Ethereal TCEC-S20/TCEC S20 DivP (PEXT)/TCEC S20 DivP |
17.5 |
20.85 |
1.20 |
6.69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32 |
68 |
| 8 |
rofChade 2.306/2.308/2.309 |
13.5 |
16.48 |
1.18 |
7.99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.07h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2021-01-12 09:58 |
195 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
| 2021-01-12 12:02 |
196 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
| 2021-01-12 14:06 |
197 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
| 2021-01-12 16:10 |
198 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
| 2021-01-12 18:15 |
199 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
| 2021-01-12 20:19 |
200 |
rofChade 2.309 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
| 2021-01-12 22:23 |
201 |
rofChade 2.309 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2021-01-13 00:28 |
202 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
| 2021-01-13 02:32 |
203 |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
| 2021-01-13 04:36 |
204 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
| 2021-01-13 06:41 |
205 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
| 2021-01-13 08:45 |
206 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
| 2021-01-13 10:49 |
207 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
| 2021-01-13 12:54 |
208 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
rofChade 2.309 |
| 2021-01-13 14:58 |
209 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2021-01-13 17:02 |
210 |
rofChade 2.309 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
| 2021-01-13 19:07 |
211 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
| 2021-01-13 21:11 |
212 |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
| 2021-01-13 23:15 |
213 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
| 2021-01-14 01:19 |
214 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
| 2021-01-14 03:24 |
215 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
rofChade 2.309 |
| 2021-01-14 05:28 |
216 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
| 2021-01-14 07:32 |
217 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
| 2021-01-14 09:37 |
218 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
| 2021-01-14 11:41 |
219 |
rofChade 2.309 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
| 2021-01-14 13:45 |
220 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
| 2021-01-14 15:50 |
221 |
AllieStein v0.8-120f959_net-15.0 |
KomodoDragon 2647.00 |
| 2021-01-14 17:54 |
222 |
Ethereal TCEC S20 DivP |
rofChade 2.309 |
| 2021-01-14 19:58 |
223 |
ScorpioNN 3.0.11 |
Stockfish 20201225 |
| 2021-01-14 22:03 |
224 |
Stoofvlees II a16 |
LCZero v0.26.3_T60.66740 |