For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 100.000% 100.000%
2. Komodo 14.1 95.298% 95.298% 4.634% 0.068%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.237% 0.237% 68.929% 30.834%
4. EtherealClassical 12.89 4.465% 4.465% 26.437% 69.098%
5. LCZeroCPU v0.26.2_T70.JH.104.1-30 100.000%
6. rofChade 2.309 91.304% 8.696% 7.780% 0.916%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 6.445% 93.555% 85.384% 8.171%
8. RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 2.251% 97.749% 6.836% 90.913%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 Komodo 14.1 95.298%
2. StockfishClassical 202007311012 EtherealClassical 12.89 4.465%
3. StockfishClassical 202007311012 SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.237%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Komodo 14.1 StockfishClassical 202007311012 95.298%
2. EtherealClassical 12.89 StockfishClassical 202007311012 4.465%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx StockfishClassical 202007311012 0.237%

Speculate RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 – StockfishClassical 202007311012 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 100.000% 100.000%
2. Komodo 14.1 95.182% 95.182% 4.765% 0.053%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.278% 0.278% 69.088% 30.634%
4. EtherealClassical 12.89 4.540% 4.540% 26.147% 69.313%
5. LCZeroCPU v0.26.2_T70.JH.104.1-30 100.000%
6. rofChade 2.309 81.972% 18.028% 15.262% 2.766%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 5.858% 94.142% 73.232% 20.910%
8. RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 12.170% 87.830% 11.506% 76.324%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 Komodo 14.1 95.182%
2. StockfishClassical 202007311012 EtherealClassical 12.89 4.540%
3. StockfishClassical 202007311012 SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.278%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Komodo 14.1 StockfishClassical 202007311012 95.182%
2. EtherealClassical 12.89 StockfishClassical 202007311012 4.540%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx StockfishClassical 202007311012 0.278%

Speculate RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 – StockfishClassical 202007311012 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 100.000% 100.000%
2. Komodo 14.1 95.200% 95.200% 4.745% 0.055%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.247% 0.247% 68.954% 30.799%
4. EtherealClassical 12.89 4.553% 4.553% 26.301% 69.146%
5. LCZeroCPU v0.26.2_T70.JH.104.1-30 100.000%
6. rofChade 2.309 91.858% 8.142% 7.164% 0.978%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 6.061% 93.939% 85.060% 8.879%
8. RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 2.081% 97.919% 7.776% 90.143%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 Komodo 14.1 95.200%
2. StockfishClassical 202007311012 EtherealClassical 12.89 4.553%
3. StockfishClassical 202007311012 SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.247%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Komodo 14.1 StockfishClassical 202007311012 95.200%
2. EtherealClassical 12.89 StockfishClassical 202007311012 4.553%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx StockfishClassical 202007311012 0.247%

Speculate RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 – StockfishClassical 202007311012 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 100.000% 100.000%
2. Komodo 14.1 95.211% 95.211% 4.723% 0.066%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.253% 0.253% 68.935% 30.812%
4. EtherealClassical 12.89 4.536% 4.536% 26.342% 69.122%
5. LCZeroCPU v0.26.2_T70.JH.104.1-30 100.000%
6. rofChade 2.309 93.394% 6.606% 6.551% 0.055%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 6.501% 93.499% 91.695% 1.804%
8. RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 0.105% 99.895% 1.754% 98.141%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. StockfishClassical 202007311012 Komodo 14.1 95.211%
2. StockfishClassical 202007311012 EtherealClassical 12.89 4.536%
3. StockfishClassical 202007311012 SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx 0.253%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Komodo 14.1 StockfishClassical 202007311012 95.211%
2. EtherealClassical 12.89 StockfishClassical 202007311012 4.536%
3. SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx StockfishClassical 202007311012 0.253%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 StockfishClassical 202007311012 18.0 19.76 0.73 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Komodo 14.1 15.5 16.63 0.59 2.11 0 89 10 0 0 0 0
3 EtherealClassical 12.89 14.5 15.60 0.61 3.33 0 7 53 40 0 0 0
4 SlowChess Blitz 2.41 avx/Blitz 2.5 avx 14.5 15.39 0.60 3.56 0 4 36 60 0 0 0
5 LCZeroCPU v0.26.2_T70.JH.104.1-30 12.5 13.56 0.61 5.00 0 0 0 0 100 0 0
6 rofChade 2.306/2.308/2.309 10.0 10.90 0.61 6.36 0 0 0 0 0 67 31
7 Xiphos 0.6.1 9.5 10.52 0.60 6.90 0 0 0 0 0 29 53
8 RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 8.5 9.64 0.72 7.74 0 0 0 0 0 5 16

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2021-02-13 18:45 105 RubiChessClassical 2.0.1 Xiphos 0.6.1
2021-02-13 19:52 106 StockfishClassical 202007311012 Komodo 14.1
2021-02-13 20:59 107 EtherealClassical 12.89 SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx
2021-02-13 22:07 108 LCZeroCPU v0.26.2_T70.JH.104.1-30 rofChade 2.309
2021-02-13 23:14 109 Xiphos 0.6.1 LCZeroCPU v0.26.2_T70.JH.104.1-30
2021-02-14 00:21 110 rofChade 2.309 EtherealClassical 12.89
2021-02-14 01:28 111 SlowChess Blitz 2.5 avx StockfishClassical 202007311012
2021-02-14 02:35 112 Komodo 14.1 RubiChessClassical 2.0.1