For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 1-8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14.
1. Koivisto 4.44 46.486% 26.810% 13.531% 6.643% 3.487% 1.793% 0.814% 0.320% 99.884% 0.085% 0.029% 0.002%
2. ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 34.203% 31.700% 17.169% 8.978% 4.379% 2.153% 0.934% 0.361% 99.877% 0.100% 0.021% 0.002%
3. Booot 6.5 11.118% 17.707% 20.920% 17.125% 12.976% 9.243% 5.835% 3.323% 98.247% 1.339% 0.364% 0.047% 0.003%
4. Stash 30 3.442% 8.396% 13.768% 16.345% 16.697% 15.049% 12.161% 8.187% 94.045% 4.243% 1.407% 0.249% 0.047% 0.009%
5. Invictus r324 1.737% 5.888% 13.487% 17.497% 17.669% 15.825% 12.938% 8.900% 93.941% 4.398% 1.333% 0.262% 0.056% 0.010%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 1.478% 4.615% 9.848% 14.640% 17.271% 17.551% 15.352% 10.923% 91.678% 5.706% 2.003% 0.477% 0.115% 0.019% 0.002%
7. Cheng 4.41 0.679% 2.328% 5.591% 9.227% 12.656% 16.007% 18.368% 17.847% 82.703% 11.192% 4.532% 1.234% 0.286% 0.052% 0.001%
8. Nirvana 2.5 0.832% 2.366% 4.877% 7.536% 10.453% 13.821% 16.909% 17.783% 74.577% 13.623% 7.847% 2.863% 0.936% 0.149% 0.005%
9. Berserk 4.2.0-dev 0.018% 0.168% 0.681% 1.638% 3.442% 6.150% 10.842% 18.688% 41.627% 27.839% 18.790% 7.955% 2.954% 0.776% 0.059%
10. Drofa 3.0.0 0.007% 0.021% 0.109% 0.313% 0.807% 1.821% 4.264% 9.225% 16.567% 18.792% 31.305% 19.032% 10.167% 3.561% 0.576%
11. Bagatur 2.2c 0.001% 0.017% 0.051% 0.133% 0.443% 1.112% 2.777% 4.534% 7.072% 15.446% 27.032% 24.957% 17.015% 3.944%
12. Cheese 2.2 0.002% 0.006% 0.027% 0.121% 0.387% 1.348% 1.891% 4.341% 12.228% 26.712% 32.418% 18.789% 3.621%
13. tomitankChess 5.0 0.001% 0.003% 0.022% 0.081% 0.301% 0.408% 1.183% 4.254% 12.328% 22.372% 40.124% 19.331%
14. Francesca 0.30a 0.001% 0.003% 0.017% 0.021% 0.087% 0.441% 1.805% 5.689% 19.496% 72.461%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
1. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.088%
2. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.084%
3. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.083%
4. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.081%
5. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.074%
6. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.073%
7. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.072%
8. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Cheng 4.41 Nirvana 2.5 0.068%
9. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.068%
10. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Stash 30 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.067%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 40.316%
2. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 14.139%
3. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 9.682%
4. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 5.470%
5. Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 4.672%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.757%
7. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 3.411%
8. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.305%
9. Amoeba 3.3.1 Bagatur 2.2c Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 1.433%
10. Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 1.413%

Speculate Bagatur 2.2c – ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 1-0

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 1-8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14.
1. Koivisto 4.44 56.184% 21.538% 10.948% 5.654% 3.012% 1.513% 0.742% 0.293% 99.884% 0.091% 0.024% 0.001%
2. ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 18.386% 27.639% 21.242% 14.183% 8.803% 5.127% 2.803% 1.246% 99.429% 0.431% 0.118% 0.020% 0.002%
3. Booot 6.5 14.096% 20.718% 19.006% 15.494% 11.864% 8.532% 5.479% 3.037% 98.226% 1.292% 0.375% 0.087% 0.017% 0.002% 0.001%
4. Stash 30 4.768% 10.583% 14.056% 15.689% 15.980% 14.211% 11.141% 7.691% 94.119% 3.939% 1.461% 0.392% 0.081% 0.008%
5. Invictus r324 2.389% 7.824% 13.254% 16.465% 16.814% 15.468% 12.430% 8.620% 93.264% 4.602% 1.603% 0.462% 0.060% 0.009%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 2.089% 5.548% 9.793% 13.670% 16.462% 17.228% 15.015% 10.699% 90.504% 6.051% 2.430% 0.791% 0.196% 0.027% 0.001%
7. Cheng 4.41 0.916% 2.873% 5.696% 8.914% 12.147% 15.154% 17.826% 17.133% 80.659% 11.259% 5.494% 2.004% 0.512% 0.072%
8. Nirvana 2.5 1.124% 2.977% 5.087% 7.579% 10.182% 13.304% 16.187% 16.673% 73.113% 13.084% 8.184% 4.101% 1.291% 0.210% 0.017%
9. Berserk 4.2.0-dev 0.041% 0.230% 0.686% 1.715% 3.186% 5.917% 10.437% 17.367% 39.579% 24.720% 19.487% 11.023% 4.120% 1.000% 0.071%
10. Drofa 3.0.0 0.006% 0.040% 0.134% 0.310% 0.755% 1.771% 3.971% 8.553% 15.540% 16.343% 25.784% 23.879% 13.265% 4.507% 0.682%
11. Bagatur 2.2c 0.001% 0.029% 0.098% 0.313% 0.754% 1.635% 3.491% 7.121% 13.442% 13.448% 22.097% 26.910% 16.409% 6.736% 0.958%
12. Cheese 2.2 0.012% 0.034% 0.112% 0.410% 1.291% 1.859% 3.651% 9.625% 20.880% 38.392% 21.744% 3.849%
13. tomitankChess 5.0 0.001% 0.002% 0.007% 0.027% 0.068% 0.261% 0.366% 1.026% 3.002% 8.142% 20.796% 45.244% 21.424%
14. Francesca 0.30a 0.001% 0.015% 0.016% 0.063% 0.316% 1.308% 4.859% 20.441% 72.997%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
1. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.088%
2. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.070%
3. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.066%
4. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.062%
5. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.059%
6. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Cheng 4.41 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 0.059%
7. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Cheng 4.41 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 0.057%
8. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Amoeba 3.3.1 Invictus r324 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.056%
9. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Stash 30 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.056%
10. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.055%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 36.673%
2. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 12.548%
3. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 8.904%
4. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 4.864%
5. Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 4.387%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 Bagatur 2.2c Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 3.870%
7. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.357%
8. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.112%
9. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 2.907%
10. Amoeba 3.3.1 Bagatur 2.2c Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 2.803%

Speculate Bagatur 2.2c – ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 1-8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14.
1. Koivisto 4.44 50.900% 24.341% 12.416% 6.283% 3.277% 1.635% 0.704% 0.307% 99.863% 0.125% 0.008% 0.004%
2. ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 27.577% 31.579% 19.482% 10.779% 5.650% 2.854% 1.395% 0.514% 99.830% 0.141% 0.025% 0.004%
3. Booot 6.5 12.265% 18.552% 20.324% 16.802% 12.531% 9.023% 5.693% 3.065% 98.255% 1.312% 0.362% 0.062% 0.009%
4. Stash 30 3.968% 9.040% 13.708% 16.160% 16.618% 15.105% 11.716% 7.929% 94.244% 4.020% 1.402% 0.276% 0.053% 0.005%
5. Invictus r324 1.904% 6.296% 13.310% 17.237% 17.654% 15.957% 12.674% 8.763% 93.795% 4.445% 1.372% 0.313% 0.069% 0.006%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 1.712% 4.865% 9.682% 14.301% 16.950% 17.474% 15.279% 10.934% 91.197% 5.944% 2.137% 0.550% 0.153% 0.019%
7. Cheng 4.41 0.767% 2.458% 5.325% 8.875% 12.414% 15.800% 18.340% 17.814% 81.793% 11.292% 4.901% 1.567% 0.368% 0.077% 0.002%
8. Nirvana 2.5 0.867% 2.647% 4.903% 7.522% 10.533% 13.450% 16.865% 17.642% 74.429% 13.279% 7.864% 3.184% 1.067% 0.165% 0.012%
9. Berserk 4.2.0-dev 0.034% 0.187% 0.694% 1.619% 3.306% 6.099% 11.010% 18.306% 41.255% 26.696% 18.664% 8.957% 3.512% 0.858% 0.058%
10. Drofa 3.0.0 0.005% 0.030% 0.130% 0.317% 0.776% 1.764% 4.074% 8.982% 16.078% 17.934% 29.055% 20.827% 11.481% 4.014% 0.611%
11. Bagatur 2.2c 0.001% 0.005% 0.024% 0.090% 0.234% 0.686% 1.747% 4.101% 6.888% 9.466% 18.770% 29.010% 22.232% 11.609% 2.025%
12. Cheese 2.2 0.002% 0.013% 0.052% 0.126% 0.422% 1.346% 1.961% 4.240% 11.350% 23.789% 34.785% 20.263% 3.612%
13. tomitankChess 5.0 0.002% 0.005% 0.025% 0.079% 0.283% 0.394% 1.034% 3.653% 9.992% 21.095% 42.993% 20.839%
14. Francesca 0.30a 0.002% 0.002% 0.014% 0.018% 0.072% 0.437% 1.465% 5.176% 19.991% 72.841%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
1. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.093%
2. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.085%
3. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.075%
4. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.074%
5. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.073%
6. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.069%
7. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Cheng 4.41 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 0.069%
8. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.069%
9. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Stash 30 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.065%
10. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Cheng 4.41 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 0.062%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 39.166%
2. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 13.639%
3. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 9.652%
4. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 5.237%
5. Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 4.750%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.692%
7. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.413%
8. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 3.231%
9. Amoeba 3.3.1 Bagatur 2.2c Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 2.093%
10. Amoeba 3.3.1 Bagatur 2.2c Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 1.466%

Speculate Bagatur 2.2c – ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 0-1

eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 1-8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14.
1. ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 42.047% 32.184% 14.852% 6.283% 2.860% 1.139% 0.439% 0.158% 99.962% 0.030% 0.006% 0.002%
2. Koivisto 4.44 41.735% 29.834% 14.787% 7.136% 3.588% 1.672% 0.806% 0.324% 99.882% 0.098% 0.020%
3. Booot 6.5 9.547% 16.657% 22.188% 17.963% 13.437% 9.378% 5.844% 3.324% 98.338% 1.280% 0.333% 0.043% 0.004% 0.001% 0.001%
4. Stash 30 2.831% 7.510% 13.673% 16.810% 17.151% 15.387% 12.250% 8.379% 93.991% 4.416% 1.361% 0.199% 0.031% 0.002%
5. Invictus r324 1.335% 5.279% 13.891% 17.911% 17.977% 16.069% 12.845% 8.859% 94.166% 4.388% 1.203% 0.193% 0.044% 0.006%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 1.225% 4.100% 9.781% 15.003% 17.591% 17.672% 15.548% 10.927% 91.847% 5.746% 1.883% 0.420% 0.090% 0.013% 0.001%
7. Cheng 4.41 0.546% 2.074% 5.413% 9.357% 12.746% 16.350% 18.771% 18.045% 83.302% 11.019% 4.405% 0.988% 0.244% 0.042%
8. Nirvana 2.5 0.701% 2.179% 4.668% 7.548% 10.490% 13.936% 17.278% 18.228% 75.028% 13.855% 7.782% 2.439% 0.748% 0.137% 0.011%
9. Berserk 4.2.0-dev 0.030% 0.155% 0.637% 1.671% 3.356% 6.311% 10.974% 19.081% 42.215% 29.013% 18.775% 6.929% 2.430% 0.588% 0.050%
10. Drofa 3.0.0 0.003% 0.028% 0.107% 0.302% 0.710% 1.788% 4.220% 9.464% 16.622% 19.518% 33.479% 17.609% 8.918% 3.288% 0.566%
11. Cheese 2.2 0.001% 0.003% 0.035% 0.116% 0.414% 1.387% 1.956% 4.654% 13.505% 29.819% 29.717% 16.982% 3.367%
12. Bagatur 2.2c 0.002% 0.012% 0.055% 0.165% 0.530% 1.493% 2.257% 4.611% 11.974% 25.714% 28.473% 21.381% 5.590%
13. tomitankChess 5.0 0.001% 0.004% 0.017% 0.079% 0.320% 0.421% 1.277% 4.746% 13.541% 23.154% 38.028% 18.833%
14. Francesca 0.30a 0.002% 0.011% 0.013% 0.095% 0.528% 2.104% 6.147% 19.532% 71.581%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
1. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.109%
2. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.100%
3. ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.087%
4. ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Koivisto 4.44 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.086%
5. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Cheng 4.41 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 0.083%
6. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.082%
7. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Invictus r324 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.079%
8. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.072%
9. Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Stash 30 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41 0.071%
10. Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Booot 6.5 Stash 30 Cheng 4.41 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5 0.069%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 41.271%
2. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 14.578%
3. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 9.841%
4. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30 5.677%
5. Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 4.909%
6. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.768%
7. Amoeba 3.3.1 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 3.614%
8. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 3.340%
9. Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30 1.368%
10. Amoeba 3.3.1 Booot 6.5 Cheng 4.41 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5 1.151%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 Koivisto 4.41_fix/4.44 4.5 19.33 2.17 2.21 45 24 14 8 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
2 ClassicAra 0.9.1-Dev/0.9.2.post0/0.9.2.post1 4.5 18.64 2.09 2.65 29 27 18 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
3 Booot 6.5 3.0 17.66 2.14 3.46 15 21 21 16 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
4 Stash 29.16/30 3.0 16.17 2.26 4.87 5 10 15 17 16 14 11 7 4 1 0 0 0
5 Invictus r305/r323/r324 4.0 15.48 2.24 5.57 2 6 10 14 16 16 14 11 6 2 1 0 0
6 Amoeba 3.3.1 3.5 15.36 2.24 5.65 2 5 10 14 16 17 15 11 6 2 1 0 0
7 Cheng 4.41 3.0 14.73 2.22 6.26 1 3 7 11 14 17 18 15 9 4 1 0 0
8 Nirvana 2.5 3.5 13.75 2.53 7.14 1 2 4 7 9 12 16 19 16 9 4 1 0
9 Berserk 4.1.0-dev/4.2.0-dev 2.5 12.37 2.21 8.43 0 0 1 2 4 7 12 19 26 17 7 2 1
10 Drofa 3.0.0 2.5 10.58 2.20 9.86 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 9 18 32 19 9 4
11 Bagatur 2.2a/2.2b/2.2c 1.5 8.55 2.39 11.24 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 7 15 27 22 17
12 Cheese 2.2 2.0 7.72 1.93 11.84 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 9 22 33 25
13 tomitankChess 5.0 1.0 6.92 2.16 12.34 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 6 15 23 33
14 Francesca 0.30a 0.5 4.75 1.96 13.48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 8 20

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.13h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2021-05-12 14:04 41 Koivisto 4.44 Booot 6.5
2021-05-12 15:11 42 Cheese 2.2 Stash 30
2021-05-12 16:19 43 Stash 30 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-12 17:26 44 Booot 6.5 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-12 18:34 45 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-12 19:42 46 Drofa 3.0.0 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-12 20:49 47 Nirvana 2.5 Invictus r324
2021-05-12 21:57 48 Berserk 4.2.0-dev tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-12 23:04 49 Cheng 4.41 Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-13 00:12 50 Francesca 0.30a Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-13 01:20 51 tomitankChess 5.0 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-13 02:27 52 Invictus r324 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-13 03:35 53 Bagatur 2.2c Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-13 04:42 54 Koivisto 4.44 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-13 05:50 55 Cheese 2.2 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-13 06:58 56 Stash 30 Booot 6.5
2021-05-13 08:05 57 Booot 6.5 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-13 09:13 58 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Stash 30
2021-05-13 10:21 59 Drofa 3.0.0 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-13 11:28 60 Nirvana 2.5 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-13 12:36 61 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-13 13:43 62 Cheng 4.41 Invictus r324
2021-05-13 14:51 63 Amoeba 3.3.1 tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-13 15:59 64 Francesca 0.30a tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-13 17:06 65 Invictus r324 Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-13 18:14 66 Bagatur 2.2c Cheng 4.41
2021-05-13 19:21 67 Koivisto 4.44 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-13 20:29 68 Cheese 2.2 Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-13 21:37 69 Stash 30 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-13 22:44 70 Booot 6.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-13 23:52 71 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-14 00:59 72 Drofa 3.0.0 Booot 6.5
2021-05-14 02:07 73 Nirvana 2.5 Stash 30
2021-05-14 03:15 74 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Cheese 2.2
2021-05-14 04:22 75 Cheng 4.41 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-14 05:30 76 Amoeba 3.3.1 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-14 06:37 77 tomitankChess 5.0 Invictus r324
2021-05-14 07:45 78 Francesca 0.30a Invictus r324
2021-05-14 08:53 79 Bagatur 2.2c tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-14 10:00 80 Koivisto 4.44 Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-14 11:08 81 Cheese 2.2 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-14 12:15 82 Stash 30 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-14 13:23 83 Booot 6.5 Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-14 14:31 84 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-14 15:38 85 Drofa 3.0.0 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-14 16:46 86 Nirvana 2.5 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-14 17:53 87 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Booot 6.5
2021-05-14 19:01 88 Cheng 4.41 Stash 30
2021-05-14 20:09 89 Amoeba 3.3.1 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-14 21:16 90 tomitankChess 5.0 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-14 22:24 91 Invictus r324 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-14 23:31 92 Francesca 0.30a Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-15 00:39 93 Invictus r324 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-15 01:47 94 tomitankChess 5.0 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-15 02:54 95 Amoeba 3.3.1 Stash 30
2021-05-15 04:02 96 Cheng 4.41 Booot 6.5
2021-05-15 05:09 97 Berserk 4.2.0-dev ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-15 06:17 98 Nirvana 2.5 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-15 07:25 99 Nirvana 2.5 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-15 08:32 100 Drofa 3.0.0 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-15 09:40 101 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-15 10:47 102 Booot 6.5 Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-15 11:55 103 Stash 30 tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-15 13:03 104 Cheese 2.2 Invictus r324
2021-05-15 14:10 105 Koivisto 4.44 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-15 15:18 106 Francesca 0.30a Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-15 16:25 107 Bagatur 2.2c Cheese 2.2
2021-05-15 17:33 108 Invictus r324 Stash 30
2021-05-15 18:41 109 tomitankChess 5.0 Booot 6.5
2021-05-15 19:48 110 Amoeba 3.3.1 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-15 20:56 111 Cheng 4.41 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-15 22:03 112 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-15 23:11 113 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-16 00:19 114 Nirvana 2.5 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-16 01:26 115 Drofa 3.0.0 Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-16 02:34 116 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-16 03:42 117 Booot 6.5 Invictus r324
2021-05-16 04:49 118 Stash 30 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-16 05:57 119 Cheese 2.2 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-16 07:04 120 Francesca 0.30a Cheese 2.2
2021-05-16 08:12 121 Koivisto 4.44 Stash 30
2021-05-16 09:20 122 Bagatur 2.2c Booot 6.5
2021-05-16 10:27 123 Invictus r324 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-16 11:35 124 tomitankChess 5.0 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-16 12:42 125 Amoeba 3.3.1 Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-16 13:50 126 Cheng 4.41 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-16 14:58 127 Cheng 4.41 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-16 16:05 128 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-16 17:13 129 Nirvana 2.5 tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-16 18:20 130 Drofa 3.0.0 Invictus r324
2021-05-16 19:28 131 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-16 20:36 132 Booot 6.5 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-16 21:43 133 Stash 30 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-16 22:51 134 Francesca 0.30a Stash 30
2021-05-16 23:58 135 Cheese 2.2 Booot 6.5
2021-05-17 01:06 136 Koivisto 4.44 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-17 02:14 137 Bagatur 2.2c Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-17 03:21 138 Invictus r324 Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-17 04:29 139 tomitankChess 5.0 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-17 05:36 140 Amoeba 3.3.1 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-17 06:44 141 Amoeba 3.3.1 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-17 07:52 142 Cheng 4.41 tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-17 08:59 143 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Invictus r324
2021-05-17 10:07 144 Nirvana 2.5 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-17 11:14 145 Drofa 3.0.0 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-17 12:22 146 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-17 13:30 147 Booot 6.5 Stash 30
2021-05-17 14:37 148 Francesca 0.30a Booot 6.5
2021-05-17 15:45 149 Stash 30 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-17 16:52 150 Cheese 2.2 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-17 18:00 151 Koivisto 4.44 Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-17 19:08 152 Bagatur 2.2c Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-17 20:15 153 Invictus r324 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-17 21:23 154 tomitankChess 5.0 Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-17 22:30 155 tomitankChess 5.0 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-17 23:38 156 Amoeba 3.3.1 Invictus r324
2021-05-18 00:46 157 Cheng 4.41 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-18 01:53 158 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-18 03:01 159 Nirvana 2.5 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-18 04:08 160 Drofa 3.0.0 Stash 30
2021-05-18 05:16 161 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Booot 6.5
2021-05-18 06:24 162 Francesca 0.30a ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-18 07:31 163 Booot 6.5 Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-18 08:39 164 Stash 30 Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-18 09:46 165 Cheese 2.2 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-18 10:54 166 Koivisto 4.44 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-18 12:02 167 Bagatur 2.2c Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-18 13:09 168 Invictus r324 tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-18 14:17 169 Invictus r324 Francesca 0.30a
2021-05-18 15:24 170 tomitankChess 5.0 Bagatur 2.2c
2021-05-18 16:32 171 Amoeba 3.3.1 Koivisto 4.44
2021-05-18 17:40 172 Cheng 4.41 Cheese 2.2
2021-05-18 18:47 173 Berserk 4.2.0-dev Stash 30
2021-05-18 19:55 174 Nirvana 2.5 Booot 6.5
2021-05-18 21:03 175 Drofa 3.0.0 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1
2021-05-18 22:10 176 Francesca 0.30a Drofa 3.0.0
2021-05-18 23:18 177 ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 Nirvana 2.5
2021-05-19 00:25 178 Booot 6.5 Berserk 4.2.0-dev
2021-05-19 01:33 179 Stash 30 Cheng 4.41
2021-05-19 02:41 180 Cheese 2.2 Amoeba 3.3.1
2021-05-19 03:48 181 Koivisto 4.44 tomitankChess 5.0
2021-05-19 04:56 182 Bagatur 2.2c Invictus r324