For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1-8. |
|
9. |
10. |
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
|
80.559% |
15.015% |
3.523% |
0.761% |
0.116% |
0.025% |
0.001% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
|
12.639% |
42.120% |
27.241% |
12.204% |
3.878% |
1.309% |
0.438% |
0.128% |
|
99.957% |
|
0.037% |
0.006% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Booot 6.5 |
|
4.806% |
27.562% |
30.527% |
19.327% |
9.278% |
4.560% |
2.473% |
1.054% |
|
99.587% |
|
0.366% |
0.047% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Stash 30 |
|
1.781% |
11.317% |
22.756% |
28.642% |
16.390% |
9.525% |
5.326% |
2.800% |
|
98.537% |
|
1.192% |
0.271% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Cheng 4.41 |
|
0.107% |
1.724% |
6.017% |
13.344% |
20.266% |
19.013% |
16.055% |
12.659% |
|
89.185% |
|
7.705% |
3.108% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
6. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
|
0.038% |
0.825% |
3.676% |
9.463% |
17.808% |
21.013% |
19.658% |
15.306% |
|
87.787% |
|
9.158% |
3.050% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
7. |
Invictus r324 |
|
0.022% |
0.608% |
3.125% |
7.902% |
13.966% |
17.640% |
19.253% |
18.780% |
|
81.296% |
|
13.826% |
4.862% |
0.016% |
|
|
|
8. |
Nirvana 2.5 |
|
0.048% |
0.750% |
2.527% |
6.081% |
12.489% |
15.811% |
17.982% |
17.690% |
|
73.378% |
|
15.713% |
10.884% |
0.024% |
0.001% |
|
|
9. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
|
|
0.066% |
0.527% |
1.947% |
4.735% |
8.596% |
13.445% |
20.332% |
|
49.648% |
|
28.716% |
21.543% |
0.092% |
0.001% |
|
|
10. |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
|
|
0.013% |
0.081% |
0.329% |
1.074% |
2.508% |
5.369% |
11.251% |
|
20.625% |
|
23.263% |
55.658% |
0.434% |
0.019% |
0.001% |
|
11. |
Bagatur 2.2c |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.017% |
0.416% |
60.119% |
32.820% |
5.893% |
0.735% |
12. |
Cheese 2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.147% |
35.271% |
49.842% |
12.888% |
1.845% |
13. |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
3.392% |
13.471% |
54.159% |
28.970% |
14. |
Francesca 0.30a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.645% |
3.846% |
27.059% |
68.450% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.369% |
2. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.302% |
3. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.247% |
4. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
0.241% |
5. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Invictus r324 |
0.219% |
6. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.219% |
7. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
0.217% |
8. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
0.212% |
9. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.198% |
10. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
0.196% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
35.486% |
2. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
16.057% |
3. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
12.336% |
4. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
7.794% |
5. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
6.669% |
6. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
6.461% |
7. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
3.359% |
8. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
2.308% |
9. |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
2.245% |
10. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
1.649% |
Speculate Cheese 2.2 – Cheng 4.41 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1-8. |
|
9. |
10. |
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
|
80.085% |
15.464% |
3.613% |
0.740% |
0.085% |
0.011% |
0.002% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
|
12.882% |
42.255% |
27.848% |
12.425% |
3.157% |
0.988% |
0.315% |
0.093% |
|
99.963% |
|
0.027% |
0.010% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Booot 6.5 |
|
5.017% |
28.074% |
31.998% |
19.817% |
8.259% |
3.836% |
1.888% |
0.795% |
|
99.684% |
|
0.279% |
0.037% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Stash 30 |
|
1.869% |
11.628% |
24.408% |
31.522% |
15.232% |
7.959% |
4.150% |
2.106% |
|
98.874% |
|
0.908% |
0.218% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
|
0.043% |
0.826% |
3.990% |
11.537% |
21.762% |
20.595% |
17.218% |
13.113% |
|
89.084% |
|
8.056% |
2.853% |
0.007% |
|
|
|
6. |
Invictus r324 |
|
0.030% |
0.650% |
3.194% |
9.069% |
16.406% |
18.867% |
18.921% |
16.493% |
|
83.630% |
|
11.798% |
4.557% |
0.015% |
|
|
|
7. |
Nirvana 2.5 |
|
0.061% |
0.729% |
2.594% |
6.667% |
15.070% |
18.003% |
17.645% |
15.915% |
|
76.684% |
|
13.595% |
9.675% |
0.045% |
0.001% |
|
|
8. |
Cheng 4.41 |
|
0.010% |
0.298% |
1.666% |
5.553% |
12.509% |
16.380% |
18.615% |
19.402% |
|
74.433% |
|
16.378% |
9.147% |
0.042% |
|
|
|
9. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
|
0.003% |
0.061% |
0.619% |
2.286% |
6.079% |
10.093% |
14.680% |
19.852% |
|
53.673% |
|
25.950% |
20.211% |
0.164% |
0.002% |
|
|
10. |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
|
|
0.015% |
0.070% |
0.384% |
1.441% |
3.268% |
6.563% |
12.229% |
|
23.970% |
|
22.965% |
52.292% |
0.723% |
0.047% |
0.003% |
|
11. |
Cheese 2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.026% |
0.566% |
53.433% |
40.337% |
5.217% |
0.419% |
12. |
Bagatur 2.2c |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.001% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.018% |
0.425% |
43.522% |
48.572% |
6.642% |
0.818% |
13. |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
1.753% |
8.595% |
59.586% |
30.059% |
14. |
Francesca 0.30a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.296% |
2.446% |
28.552% |
68.704% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.315% |
2. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.295% |
3. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Booot 6.5 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.254% |
4. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
0.244% |
5. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
0.231% |
6. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
0.217% |
7. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.214% |
8. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.213% |
9. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
0.207% |
10. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.204% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
30.367% |
2. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
15.057% |
3. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
12.960% |
4. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
10.065% |
5. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
6.687% |
6. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
5.510% |
7. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
5.459% |
8. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
2.806% |
9. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
2.554% |
10. |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
1.942% |
Speculate Cheese 2.2 – Cheng 4.41 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1-8. |
|
9. |
10. |
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
|
80.628% |
14.970% |
3.547% |
0.730% |
0.105% |
0.016% |
0.004% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
|
12.418% |
42.396% |
27.391% |
12.402% |
3.577% |
1.249% |
0.397% |
0.130% |
|
99.960% |
|
0.033% |
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Booot 6.5 |
|
4.933% |
27.872% |
30.947% |
19.704% |
8.745% |
4.312% |
2.123% |
0.959% |
|
99.595% |
|
0.358% |
0.047% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Stash 30 |
|
1.866% |
11.506% |
23.769% |
29.550% |
15.766% |
8.719% |
4.886% |
2.561% |
|
98.623% |
|
1.092% |
0.285% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Cheng 4.41 |
|
0.046% |
0.985% |
4.089% |
10.519% |
18.538% |
19.307% |
17.855% |
14.766% |
|
86.105% |
|
9.889% |
4.002% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
6. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
|
0.042% |
0.774% |
3.858% |
10.111% |
19.025% |
20.435% |
19.137% |
14.790% |
|
88.172% |
|
8.761% |
3.063% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
7. |
Invictus r324 |
|
0.023% |
0.627% |
3.187% |
8.360% |
14.591% |
17.839% |
19.104% |
18.195% |
|
81.926% |
|
13.145% |
4.917% |
0.012% |
|
|
|
8. |
Nirvana 2.5 |
|
0.042% |
0.787% |
2.598% |
6.332% |
13.481% |
16.449% |
17.288% |
17.257% |
|
74.234% |
|
15.264% |
10.468% |
0.033% |
0.001% |
|
|
9. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
|
0.002% |
0.075% |
0.533% |
1.944% |
5.028% |
8.954% |
13.655% |
19.952% |
|
50.143% |
|
28.266% |
21.487% |
0.102% |
0.002% |
|
|
10. |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
|
|
0.008% |
0.081% |
0.348% |
1.144% |
2.720% |
5.551% |
11.389% |
|
21.241% |
|
23.167% |
55.067% |
0.508% |
0.017% |
|
|
11. |
Bagatur 2.2c |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.022% |
0.470% |
56.231% |
36.433% |
6.066% |
0.777% |
12. |
Cheese 2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.184% |
39.727% |
48.694% |
10.210% |
1.182% |
13. |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
2.813% |
11.577% |
56.261% |
29.347% |
14. |
Francesca 0.30a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.566% |
3.276% |
27.463% |
68.694% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.291% |
2. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.271% |
3. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.264% |
4. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
0.225% |
5. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
0.224% |
6. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.222% |
7. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
0.218% |
8. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
0.214% |
9. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
0.212% |
10. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
0.212% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
34.629% |
2. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
15.317% |
3. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
11.770% |
4. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
8.376% |
5. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
7.480% |
6. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
6.485% |
7. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
3.224% |
8. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
3.006% |
9. |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
2.241% |
10. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
1.596% |
Speculate Cheese 2.2 – Cheng 4.41 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1-8. |
|
9. |
10. |
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
|
80.259% |
15.195% |
3.619% |
0.787% |
0.113% |
0.023% |
0.003% |
0.001% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
|
12.752% |
41.418% |
26.356% |
12.696% |
4.461% |
1.530% |
0.566% |
0.167% |
|
99.946% |
|
0.046% |
0.008% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Booot 6.5 |
|
4.893% |
27.198% |
29.594% |
19.091% |
9.769% |
5.225% |
2.623% |
1.174% |
|
99.567% |
|
0.382% |
0.051% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Stash 30 |
|
1.782% |
11.121% |
22.047% |
26.903% |
17.429% |
10.319% |
5.856% |
3.037% |
|
98.494% |
|
1.203% |
0.303% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Cheng 4.41 |
|
0.171% |
2.975% |
9.324% |
17.609% |
23.539% |
18.718% |
13.403% |
8.524% |
|
94.263% |
|
4.442% |
1.294% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
6. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
|
0.049% |
0.747% |
3.370% |
8.486% |
16.021% |
21.686% |
20.988% |
16.222% |
|
87.569% |
|
9.352% |
3.073% |
0.006% |
|
|
|
7. |
Invictus r324 |
|
0.033% |
0.572% |
2.799% |
6.929% |
12.395% |
17.152% |
20.006% |
20.248% |
|
80.134% |
|
14.570% |
5.284% |
0.012% |
|
|
|
8. |
Nirvana 2.5 |
|
0.058% |
0.707% |
2.390% |
5.509% |
11.366% |
15.070% |
18.116% |
19.148% |
|
72.364% |
|
16.696% |
10.909% |
0.031% |
|
|
|
9. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
|
0.002% |
0.060% |
0.444% |
1.714% |
4.022% |
8.051% |
13.336% |
20.351% |
|
47.980% |
|
29.832% |
22.115% |
0.072% |
0.001% |
|
|
10. |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
0.057% |
0.276% |
0.885% |
2.226% |
5.103% |
11.127% |
|
19.682% |
|
23.453% |
56.442% |
0.409% |
0.014% |
|
|
11. |
Bagatur 2.2c |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.022% |
0.454% |
69.099% |
24.612% |
5.082% |
0.730% |
12. |
Cheese 2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.056% |
25.582% |
53.077% |
17.921% |
3.362% |
13. |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
3.924% |
17.176% |
50.458% |
28.433% |
14. |
Francesca 0.30a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.864% |
5.120% |
26.539% |
67.475% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
1. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.403% |
2. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.360% |
3. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.294% |
4. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.260% |
5. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
0.256% |
6. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
0.238% |
7. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Invictus r324 |
0.217% |
8. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
0.215% |
9. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Stash 30 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Invictus r324 |
0.215% |
10. |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Invictus r324 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
0.205% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
37.400% |
2. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
16.912% |
3. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
13.198% |
4. |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
8.127% |
5. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
7.174% |
6. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
3.591% |
7. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
3.356% |
8. |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
2.282% |
9. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
1.857% |
10. |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Booot 6.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Stash 30 |
1.299% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
Koivisto 4.41_fix/4.44 |
10.0 |
20.42 |
1.50 |
1.45 |
70 |
19 |
7 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
ClassicAra 0.9.1-Dev/0.9.2.post0/0.9.2.post1 |
8.5 |
18.52 |
1.66 |
2.81 |
15 |
34 |
26 |
14 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Booot 6.5 |
7.5 |
18.15 |
1.67 |
3.13 |
11 |
28 |
28 |
17 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Stash 29.16/30 |
7.5 |
17.01 |
1.74 |
4.27 |
3 |
12 |
20 |
26 |
16 |
10 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
6.5 |
15.44 |
1.73 |
5.94 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
14 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
7 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
7.0 |
15.19 |
1.71 |
6.24 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
18 |
19 |
17 |
14 |
9 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Invictus r305/r323/r324 |
7.0 |
14.75 |
1.68 |
6.74 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
14 |
18 |
20 |
18 |
12 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
6.5 |
14.29 |
1.87 |
7.19 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
Berserk 4.1.0-dev/4.2.0-dev |
6.0 |
13.24 |
1.79 |
8.26 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
12 |
19 |
27 |
25 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
5.5 |
12.37 |
1.78 |
9.01 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
13 |
24 |
47 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
Bagatur 2.2a/2.2b/2.2c |
3.0 |
7.34 |
1.64 |
11.51 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
56 |
30 |
10 |
12 |
Cheese 2.2 |
2.5 |
6.62 |
1.53 |
11.91 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
32 |
45 |
17 |
13 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
1.5 |
4.85 |
1.47 |
12.97 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
18 |
48 |
14 |
Francesca 0.30a |
1.0 |
3.82 |
1.45 |
13.55 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
25 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2021-05-14 11:52 |
82 |
Stash 30 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
2021-05-14 12:59 |
83 |
Booot 6.5 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
2021-05-14 14:07 |
84 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-14 15:14 |
85 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Francesca 0.30a |
2021-05-14 16:21 |
86 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-14 17:29 |
87 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-14 18:36 |
88 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-14 19:43 |
89 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-14 20:51 |
90 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-14 21:58 |
91 |
Invictus r324 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-14 23:05 |
92 |
Francesca 0.30a |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-15 00:13 |
93 |
Invictus r324 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-15 01:20 |
94 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-15 02:27 |
95 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-15 03:35 |
96 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-15 04:42 |
97 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-15 05:49 |
98 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-15 06:57 |
99 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Francesca 0.30a |
2021-05-15 08:04 |
100 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
2021-05-15 09:11 |
101 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Cheng 4.41 |
2021-05-15 10:18 |
102 |
Booot 6.5 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
2021-05-15 11:26 |
103 |
Stash 30 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
2021-05-15 12:33 |
104 |
Cheese 2.2 |
Invictus r324 |
2021-05-15 13:40 |
105 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-15 14:48 |
106 |
Francesca 0.30a |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-15 15:55 |
107 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-15 17:02 |
108 |
Invictus r324 |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-15 18:10 |
109 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-15 19:17 |
110 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-15 20:24 |
111 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-15 21:32 |
112 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Nirvana 2.5 |
2021-05-15 22:39 |
113 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Francesca 0.30a |
2021-05-15 23:46 |
114 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheng 4.41 |
2021-05-16 00:54 |
115 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
2021-05-16 02:01 |
116 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
2021-05-16 03:08 |
117 |
Booot 6.5 |
Invictus r324 |
2021-05-16 04:16 |
118 |
Stash 30 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-16 05:23 |
119 |
Cheese 2.2 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-16 06:30 |
120 |
Francesca 0.30a |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-16 07:37 |
121 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-16 08:45 |
122 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-16 09:52 |
123 |
Invictus r324 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-16 10:59 |
124 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-16 12:07 |
125 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
2021-05-16 13:14 |
126 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
2021-05-16 14:21 |
127 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Francesca 0.30a |
2021-05-16 15:29 |
128 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
2021-05-16 16:36 |
129 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
2021-05-16 17:43 |
130 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Invictus r324 |
2021-05-16 18:51 |
131 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-16 19:58 |
132 |
Booot 6.5 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-16 21:05 |
133 |
Stash 30 |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-16 22:13 |
134 |
Francesca 0.30a |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-16 23:20 |
135 |
Cheese 2.2 |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-17 00:27 |
136 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-17 01:35 |
137 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-17 02:42 |
138 |
Invictus r324 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
2021-05-17 03:49 |
139 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
2021-05-17 04:56 |
140 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Cheng 4.41 |
2021-05-17 06:04 |
141 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Francesca 0.30a |
2021-05-17 07:11 |
142 |
Cheng 4.41 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
2021-05-17 08:18 |
143 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Invictus r324 |
2021-05-17 09:26 |
144 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-17 10:33 |
145 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-17 11:40 |
146 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-17 12:48 |
147 |
Booot 6.5 |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-17 13:55 |
148 |
Francesca 0.30a |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-17 15:02 |
149 |
Stash 30 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-17 16:10 |
150 |
Cheese 2.2 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-17 17:17 |
151 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
2021-05-17 18:24 |
152 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
2021-05-17 19:32 |
153 |
Invictus r324 |
Cheng 4.41 |
2021-05-17 20:39 |
154 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
2021-05-17 21:46 |
155 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Francesca 0.30a |
2021-05-17 22:54 |
156 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Invictus r324 |
2021-05-18 00:01 |
157 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-18 01:08 |
158 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-18 02:15 |
159 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-18 03:23 |
160 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-18 04:30 |
161 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-18 05:37 |
162 |
Francesca 0.30a |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-18 06:45 |
163 |
Booot 6.5 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-18 07:52 |
164 |
Stash 30 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
2021-05-18 08:59 |
165 |
Cheese 2.2 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
2021-05-18 10:07 |
166 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
Cheng 4.41 |
2021-05-18 11:14 |
167 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
2021-05-18 12:21 |
168 |
Invictus r324 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
2021-05-18 13:29 |
169 |
Invictus r324 |
Francesca 0.30a |
2021-05-18 14:36 |
170 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
2021-05-18 15:43 |
171 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
2021-05-18 16:51 |
172 |
Cheng 4.41 |
Cheese 2.2 |
2021-05-18 17:58 |
173 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
Stash 30 |
2021-05-18 19:05 |
174 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
Booot 6.5 |
2021-05-18 20:13 |
175 |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
2021-05-18 21:20 |
176 |
Francesca 0.30a |
Drofa 3.0.0 |
2021-05-18 22:27 |
177 |
ClassicAra 0.9.2.post1 |
Nirvana 2.5 |
2021-05-18 23:34 |
178 |
Booot 6.5 |
Berserk 4.2.0-dev |
2021-05-19 00:42 |
179 |
Stash 30 |
Cheng 4.41 |
2021-05-19 01:49 |
180 |
Cheese 2.2 |
Amoeba 3.3.1 |
2021-05-19 02:56 |
181 |
Koivisto 4.44 |
tomitankChess 5.0 |
2021-05-19 04:04 |
182 |
Bagatur 2.2c |
Invictus r324 |