Jun 18 2021
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 170.829 and eloDraw = 189.560 based on Season 20 League 1 games

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Igel 3.0.5 64.815% 35.185% 100.000%
2. Ethereal 12.95 35.185% 64.815% 100.000%
3. RubiChess TCEC-S21 85.670% 14.330%
4. SlowChess Blitz 2.54 avx 14.330% 81.847% 3.735% 0.088%
5. Pedone 20210528 0.444% 38.395% 27.345% 33.816% 17.916% 15.900%
6. rofChade 2.309 3.241% 31.870% 29.209% 35.680% 25.527% 10.153%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 0.116% 21.360% 29.838% 48.686% 31.504% 17.182%
8. Nemorino 6.08 0.022% 4.640% 13.520% 81.818% 25.053% 56.765%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Igel 3.0.5 Ethereal 12.95 64.815%
2. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 35.185%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 100.000%

Speculate Pedone 20210528 – Nemorino 6.08 1-0

eloAdvantage = 170.829 and eloDraw = 189.560 based on Season 20 League 1 games

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Igel 3.0.5 64.741% 35.259% 100.000%
2. Ethereal 12.95 35.259% 64.741% 100.000%
3. RubiChess TCEC-S21 85.569% 14.431%
4. SlowChess Blitz 2.54 avx 14.431% 81.502% 3.888% 0.179%
5. Pedone 20210528 0.816% 51.693% 32.336% 15.155% 13.973% 1.182%
6. rofChade 2.309 3.117% 29.249% 32.007% 35.627% 30.826% 4.801%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 0.134% 15.142% 33.977% 50.747% 41.395% 9.352%
8. Nemorino 6.08 0.028% 1.501% 98.471% 13.806% 84.665%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Igel 3.0.5 Ethereal 12.95 64.741%
2. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 35.259%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 100.000%

Speculate Pedone 20210528 – Nemorino 6.08 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 170.829 and eloDraw = 189.560 based on Season 20 League 1 games

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Igel 3.0.5 64.754% 35.246% 100.000%
2. Ethereal 12.95 35.246% 64.754% 100.000%
3. RubiChess TCEC-S21 85.799% 14.201%
4. SlowChess Blitz 2.54 avx 14.201% 82.319% 3.468% 0.012%
5. rofChade 2.309 3.312% 34.343% 27.581% 34.764% 20.067% 14.697%
6. Pedone 20210528 0.024% 31.645% 25.090% 43.241% 19.142% 24.099%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 0.144% 25.575% 27.389% 46.892% 22.725% 24.167%
8. Nemorino 6.08 4.969% 19.928% 75.103% 38.066% 37.037%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Igel 3.0.5 Ethereal 12.95 64.754%
2. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 35.246%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 100.000%

Speculate Pedone 20210528 – Nemorino 6.08 0-1

eloAdvantage = 170.829 and eloDraw = 189.560 based on Season 20 League 1 games

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Igel 3.0.5 64.971% 35.029% 100.000%
2. Ethereal 12.95 35.029% 64.971% 100.000%
3. RubiChess TCEC-S21 85.754% 14.246%
4. SlowChess Blitz 2.54 avx 14.246% 82.254% 3.446% 0.053% 0.001% 0.001%
5. rofChade 2.309 3.150% 34.875% 23.104% 38.871% 20.526% 18.345%
6. Nemorino 6.08 0.197% 24.989% 43.015% 31.799% 29.200% 2.599%
7. Xiphos 0.6.1 0.153% 30.503% 19.709% 49.635% 21.565% 28.070%
8. Pedone 20210528 6.187% 14.119% 79.694% 28.708% 50.986%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Igel 3.0.5 Ethereal 12.95 64.971%
2. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 35.029%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Ethereal 12.95 Igel 3.0.5 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Igel 3.0.5 16.5 17.69 0.59 1.24 76 24 0 0 0 0 0
2 Ethereal 12.95 16.0 17.19 0.60 1.76 24 76 0 0 0 0 0
3 RubiChess 2.2-dev/2.2-dev 128GiB/TCEC-S21 14.0 15.12 0.61 3.10 0 0 90 10 0 0 0
4 SlowChess Blitz 2.54 avx 13.0 13.90 0.61 3.96 0 0 10 85 6 0 0
5 rofChade 2.309 11.0 12.39 0.75 5.93 0 0 0 3 40 28 18
6 Pedone 20210528 10.5 12.09 0.75 6.38 0 0 0 1 27 27 22
7 Xiphos 0.6.1 10.5 11.89 0.74 6.66 0 0 0 1 18 24 29
8 Nemorino 6.06/6.08 10.5 11.73 0.73 6.97 0 0 0 0 9 21 31

Expected start time based on estimate of 3.01h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2021-06-18 14:38 104 Xiphos 0.6.1 rofChade 2.309
2021-06-18 17:38 105 Xiphos 0.6.1 RubiChess TCEC-S21
2021-06-18 20:38 106 rofChade 2.309 Pedone 20210528
2021-06-18 23:39 107 Nemorino 6.08 Ethereal 12.95
2021-06-19 02:39 108 SlowChess Blitz 2.54 avx Igel 3.0.5
2021-06-19 05:39 109 RubiChess TCEC-S21 SlowChess Blitz 2.54 avx
2021-06-19 08:40 110 Igel 3.0.5 Nemorino 6.08
2021-06-19 11:40 111 Ethereal 12.95 rofChade 2.309
2021-06-19 14:40 112 Pedone 20210528 Xiphos 0.6.1
Posted inBayesElo