For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games
Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | 74.976% | 25.024% | |
2. | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | 25.024% | 74.976% |
Speculate LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 – Stockfish 14_202107131735 1-0
eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games
Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | 66.860% | 33.140% | |
2. | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | 33.140% | 66.860% |
Speculate LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 – Stockfish 14_202107131735 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games
Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | 75.978% | 24.022% | |
2. | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | 24.022% | 75.978% |
Speculate LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 – Stockfish 14_202107131735 0-1
eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games
Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | 83.412% | 16.588% | |
2. | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | 16.588% | 83.412% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stockfish 2021061923/14_202107131735 | 12.0 | 52.84 | 5.39 | 1.29 | 71 |
2 | LCZero 0.27.0-pr1540ish-w_68653/0.28.0-rc1_69146/0.28-dev+_69626 | 10.0 | 47.16 | 5.39 | 1.71 | 29 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.83h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC | No | White | Black |
---|---|---|---|
2021-07-24 09:01 | 24 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-24 12:51 | 25 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-24 16:41 | 26 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-24 20:30 | 27 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-25 00:20 | 28 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-25 04:10 | 29 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-25 07:59 | 30 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-25 11:49 | 31 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-25 15:39 | 32 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-25 19:28 | 33 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-25 23:18 | 34 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-26 03:08 | 35 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-26 06:57 | 36 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-26 10:47 | 37 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-26 14:37 | 38 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-26 18:26 | 39 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-26 22:16 | 40 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-27 02:05 | 41 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-27 05:55 | 42 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-27 09:45 | 43 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-27 13:34 | 44 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-27 17:24 | 45 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-27 21:14 | 46 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-28 01:03 | 47 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-28 04:53 | 48 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-28 08:43 | 49 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-28 12:32 | 50 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-28 16:22 | 51 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-28 20:12 | 52 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-29 00:01 | 53 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-29 03:51 | 54 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-29 07:41 | 55 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-29 11:30 | 56 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-29 15:20 | 57 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-29 19:09 | 58 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-29 22:59 | 59 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-30 02:49 | 60 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-30 06:38 | 61 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-30 10:28 | 62 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-30 14:18 | 63 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-30 18:07 | 64 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-30 21:57 | 65 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-31 01:47 | 66 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-31 05:36 | 67 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-31 09:26 | 68 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-31 13:16 | 69 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-07-31 17:05 | 70 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-07-31 20:55 | 71 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-01 00:45 | 72 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-01 04:34 | 73 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-01 08:24 | 74 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-01 12:14 | 75 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-01 16:03 | 76 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-01 19:53 | 77 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-01 23:42 | 78 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-02 03:32 | 79 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-02 07:22 | 80 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-02 11:11 | 81 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-02 15:01 | 82 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-02 18:51 | 83 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-02 22:40 | 84 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-03 02:30 | 85 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-03 06:20 | 86 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-03 10:09 | 87 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-03 13:59 | 88 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-03 17:49 | 89 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-03 21:38 | 90 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-04 01:28 | 91 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-04 05:18 | 92 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-04 09:07 | 93 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-04 12:57 | 94 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-04 16:46 | 95 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-04 20:36 | 96 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-05 00:26 | 97 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-05 04:15 | 98 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |
2021-08-05 08:05 | 99 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 |
2021-08-05 11:55 | 100 | Stockfish 14_202107131735 | LCZero 0.28-dev+_69626 |