For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish 14_202108051641 76.956% 19.045% 3.999%
2. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 14.491% 63.765% 21.744%
3. KomodoDragon 2774.00 8.553% 17.190% 74.257%

Speculate KomodoDragon 2774.00 – Stockfish 14_202108051641 1-0

eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. KomodoDragon 2774.00 41.677% 29.155% 29.168%
2. Stockfish 14_202108051641 31.253% 48.190% 20.557%
3. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 27.070% 22.655% 50.275%

Speculate KomodoDragon 2774.00 – Stockfish 14_202108051641 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish 14_202108051641 81.382% 16.602% 2.016%
2. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 13.671% 67.082% 19.247%
3. KomodoDragon 2774.00 4.947% 16.316% 78.737%

Speculate KomodoDragon 2774.00 – Stockfish 14_202108051641 0-1

eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish 14_202108051641 94.681% 5.277% 0.042%
2. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 5.135% 83.485% 11.380%
3. KomodoDragon 2774.00 0.184% 11.238% 88.578%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2
1 Stockfish 2021061923/14_202107131735/14_202108051641 2.5 4.69 0.86 1.46 64 26
2 LCZero 0.27.0-pr1540ish-w_68653/0.28.0-rc1_69146/0.28-dev+_69626/0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 2.0 3.96 0.86 2.03 26 46
3 KomodoDragon 2747.00/2762.02/2774.00 1.5 3.35 0.86 2.51 10 28

Expected start time based on estimate of 12.22h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2021-08-17 01:30 8 LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 KomodoDragon 2774.00
2021-08-17 13:43 9 Stockfish 14_202108051641 LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2
2021-08-18 01:56 10 Stockfish 14_202108051641 KomodoDragon 2774.00
2021-08-18 14:09 11 KomodoDragon 2774.00 LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2
2021-08-19 02:22 12 LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 Stockfish 14_202108051641