Aug 19 2021
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish 14_202108051641 100.000%
2. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 90.900% 9.100%
3. KomodoDragon 2774.00 9.100% 90.900%

Speculate LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 – Stockfish 14_202108051641 1-0

eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish 14_202108051641 100.000%
2. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 100.000%
3. KomodoDragon 2774.00 100.000%

Speculate LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 – Stockfish 14_202108051641 1/2-1/2

eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish 14_202108051641 100.000%
2. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 100.000%
3. KomodoDragon 2774.00 100.000%

Speculate LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 – Stockfish 14_202108051641 0-1

eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish 14_202108051641 100.000%
2. KomodoDragon 2774.00 100.000%
3. LCZero 0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 100.000%

Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2
1 Stockfish 2021061923/14_202107131735/14_202108051641 4.5 5.00 0.43 1.00 100 0
2 LCZero 0.27.0-pr1540ish-w_68653/0.28.0-rc1_69146/0.28-dev+_69626/0.28-dev+_69722-vf2 3.0 3.50 0.43 2.50 0 50
3 KomodoDragon 2747.00/2762.02/2774.00 3.5 3.50 0.00 2.50 0 50
Posted inBayesElo