For
standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see
previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 59.940 and eloDraw = 372.378 based on Season 20 Superfinal games
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
| 1. |
Berserk 9-dev4 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
Bit-Genie 9.23 |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
Chiron 5.01 |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Zahak 9.0 |
|
|
|
|
94.658% |
|
94.658% |
|
5.342% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Mantissa 3.3.0 |
|
|
|
|
5.342% |
|
5.342% |
|
94.658% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
BlackMarlin 5.0dev3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7. |
Counter 4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80.234% |
7.170% |
9.580% |
3.016% |
|
|
|
|
| 8. |
Velvet 3.1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.235% |
79.977% |
8.117% |
11.671% |
|
|
|
|
| 9. |
Invictus r391b |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.459% |
1.476% |
57.164% |
20.010% |
7.891% |
|
|
|
| 10. |
ChessFighter 3.10.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.072% |
11.377% |
25.083% |
56.782% |
0.686% |
|
|
|
| 11. |
Asymptote 0.9-dev_20220126 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.056% |
8.521% |
91.423% |
|
|
|
| 12. |
Cheese 3.0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.023% |
3.977% |
|
| 13. |
Bagatur 3.2-fix |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.977% |
96.023% |
|
| 14. |
tomitankChess 5.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
| 1. |
Berserk 9-dev4 |
Bit-Genie 9.23 |
Chiron 5.01 |
Zahak 9.0 |
94.658% |
| 2. |
Berserk 9-dev4 |
Bit-Genie 9.23 |
Chiron 5.01 |
Mantissa 3.3.0 |
5.342% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Berserk 9-dev4 |
Bit-Genie 9.23 |
Chiron 5.01 |
Zahak 9.0 |
94.658% |
| 2. |
Berserk 9-dev4 |
Bit-Genie 9.23 |
Chiron 5.01 |
Mantissa 3.3.0 |
5.342% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2022-02-05 19:08 |
179 |
Bagatur 3.2-fix |
BlackMarlin 5.0dev3 |
| 2022-02-05 20:14 |
180 |
Invictus r391b |
Counter 4.0 |
| 2022-02-05 21:19 |
181 |
Berserk 9-dev4 |
Mantissa 3.3.0 |
| 2022-02-05 22:25 |
182 |
ChessFighter 3.10.1 |
Chiron 5.01 |