Feb 11 2022
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 68.931 and eloDraw = 250.999 updated on 2022-02-06 based on Season 21 and 22 games

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9-12. 9. 10. 11. 12.
1. Berserk 9-dev4 100.000% 100.000%
2. Weiss 2.1-dev 100.000% 100.000%
3. Bit-Genie 9.23 100.000% 100.000%
4. Drofa 3.3.0 81.043% 81.043% 18.957%
5. Chiron 5.01 18.957% 18.957% 81.043%
6. Zahak 9.0 100.000%
7. Stash 32.7 100.000%
8. Mr_Bob dev-20220119 100.000%
9. Monolith 20210221 100.000% 100.000%
10. Cheng 4.42_dev 100.000% 100.000%
11. Amoeba 3.4-tcec 100.000% 100.000%
12. Nirvana 2.5 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2. 3. 4.
1. Berserk 9-dev4 Weiss 2.1-dev Bit-Genie 9.23 Drofa 3.3.0 81.043%
2. Berserk 9-dev4 Weiss 2.1-dev Bit-Genie 9.23 Chiron 5.01 18.957%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Berserk 9-dev4 Bit-Genie 9.23 Drofa 3.3.0 Weiss 2.1-dev 81.043%
2. Berserk 9-dev4 Bit-Genie 9.23 Chiron 5.01 Weiss 2.1-dev 18.957%

Expected start time based on estimate of 0.97h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2022-02-11 06:09 132 Weiss 2.1-dev Bit-Genie 9.23
Posted inBayesElo