For
standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see
previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 68.931 and eloDraw = 250.999 updated on 2022-02-06 based on Season 21 and 22 games
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
|
95.398% |
4.077% |
|
99.475% |
|
0.444% |
0.072% |
0.008% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
|
2.837% |
37.021% |
|
39.858% |
|
27.985% |
17.831% |
9.851% |
3.718% |
|
0.757% |
|
0.748% |
0.009% |
| 3. |
RubiChess 20220223 |
|
1.341% |
35.975% |
|
37.316% |
|
28.353% |
19.515% |
10.949% |
3.146% |
|
0.721% |
|
0.709% |
0.012% |
| 4. |
rofChade 2.321 |
|
0.083% |
11.017% |
|
11.100% |
|
20.205% |
25.313% |
23.229% |
15.127% |
|
5.026% |
|
4.963% |
0.063% |
| 5. |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
|
0.336% |
10.702% |
|
11.038% |
|
17.852% |
23.452% |
25.285% |
16.025% |
|
6.348% |
|
6.058% |
0.290% |
| 6. |
Revenge 20220211 |
|
0.005% |
1.003% |
|
1.008% |
|
4.221% |
10.749% |
21.959% |
37.609% |
|
24.454% |
|
21.977% |
2.477% |
| 7. |
Nemorino 6.11 |
|
|
0.205% |
|
0.205% |
|
0.938% |
3.054% |
8.549% |
22.910% |
|
64.344% |
|
56.741% |
7.603% |
| 8. |
Minic 3.18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.014% |
0.170% |
1.464% |
|
98.350% |
|
8.804% |
89.546% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
36.811% |
| 2. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
35.804% |
| 3. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
rofChade 2.321 |
10.979% |
| 4. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
10.604% |
| 5. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
2.615% |
| 6. |
RubiChess 20220223 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
1.139% |
| 7. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
Revenge 20220211 |
0.995% |
| 8. |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
0.267% |
| 9. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
0.205% |
| 10. |
RubiChess 20220223 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
0.156% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
39.426% |
| 2. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
36.943% |
| 3. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
rofChade 2.321 |
11.032% |
| 4. |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
10.871% |
| 5. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
Revenge 20220211 |
0.998% |
| 6. |
RubiChess 20220223 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
0.288% |
| 7. |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
0.205% |
| 8. |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
0.100% |
| 9. |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
RubiChess 20220223 |
0.059% |
| 10. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
rofChade 2.321 |
0.039% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.59h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2022-03-02 16:12 |
76 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
| 2022-03-02 17:47 |
77 |
Minic 3.18 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
| 2022-03-02 19:22 |
78 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-02 20:58 |
79 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
| 2022-03-02 22:33 |
80 |
rofChade 2.321 |
Revenge 20220211 |
| 2022-03-03 00:08 |
81 |
Revenge 20220211 |
Minic 3.18 |
| 2022-03-03 01:44 |
82 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-03 03:19 |
83 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
| 2022-03-03 04:54 |
84 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
| 2022-03-03 06:30 |
85 |
Minic 3.18 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
| 2022-03-03 08:05 |
86 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
| 2022-03-03 09:41 |
87 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-03 11:16 |
88 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
Revenge 20220211 |
| 2022-03-03 12:51 |
89 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
Minic 3.18 |
| 2022-03-03 14:27 |
90 |
Revenge 20220211 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-03 16:02 |
91 |
rofChade 2.321 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
| 2022-03-03 17:37 |
92 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
| 2022-03-03 19:13 |
93 |
Minic 3.18 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
| 2022-03-03 20:48 |
94 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-03 22:23 |
95 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
Revenge 20220211 |
| 2022-03-03 23:59 |
96 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
| 2022-03-04 01:34 |
97 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
Minic 3.18 |
| 2022-03-04 03:09 |
98 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
Nemorino 6.11 |
| 2022-03-04 04:45 |
99 |
Revenge 20220211 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
| 2022-03-04 06:20 |
100 |
rofChade 2.321 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
| 2022-03-04 07:56 |
101 |
Minic 3.18 |
rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-04 09:31 |
102 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
Revenge 20220211 |
| 2022-03-04 11:06 |
103 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
| 2022-03-04 12:42 |
104 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-04 14:17 |
105 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
Minic 3.18 |
| 2022-03-04 15:52 |
106 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
| 2022-03-04 17:28 |
107 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
| 2022-03-04 19:03 |
108 |
Revenge 20220211 |
rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-04 20:38 |
109 |
Minic 3.18 |
Revenge 20220211 |
| 2022-03-04 22:14 |
110 |
rofChade 2.321 |
Ethereal 13.56_NNUE-A27E |
| 2022-03-04 23:49 |
111 |
Koivisto 7.15_L1 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-05 01:25 |
112 |
RubiChess 20220223 |
Nemorino 6.11 |